Judd Legum | 1 hr ago | 17 | 27 |
Compounding the problem was Kerry's inability to compete for any Southern state except Florida: That left him with few options for reaching 270 electoral votes, especially after his bid to open a new front in Western states such as Arizona, Nevada and Colorado fell short.
Four years later, Barack Obama was elected with 365 electoral votes, including Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida. Democrats also increased their margins in the House (which they recaptured in 2006) and took control of the Senate, winning races in Arkansas, Louisiana, Virginia, and North Carolina."Democrats face this terrible arithmetic in the Electoral College where if they don't carry any of the 11 Southern states [of the Old Confederacy] they need to win 70% of everything else," says Merle Black, an expert on Southern politics at Emory University.
The math is just as daunting in the battle for Congress…
Four years later, Donald Trump was elected running precisely the kind of campaign that these strategists claimed would never work again. Republicans were also able to maintain control of the House and Senate. By 2020, things were much different....Republican strategists argued that the party could not win while alienating the growing Hispanic vote with its tough stance on immigration, could no longer afford to nominate candidates who fired up its conservative and Tea Party wings but turned off the more moderate voters in general elections, and that it had to find ways to win more support from women and young voters…[they] argued that demography is destiny, and that the party was falling out of step with a changing country.
...“We have a choice: we can become a shrinking regional party of middle-aged and older white men, or we can fight to become a national governing party,” [GOP strategist John] Weaver said in an interview. “And to do the latter we have to fix our Hispanic problem as quickly as possible, we’ve got to accept science and start calling out these false equivalencies when they occur within our party about things that are just not true, and not tolerate the intolerant.”
Excellent post. Proves both sides are the same and politics is about quid pro quo. Too many of our people are too emotional to understand how the game worksGOP billionaire Ken Langone says he will hold a fundraiser for Democrat Joe Manchin, who has worked to shrink Biden's agenda
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GOP billionaire Ken Langone says he will hold a fundraiser for Democrat Joe Manchin, who has worked to shrink Biden's agenda
Republican billionaire Ken Langone says he will hold a fundraiser for Joe Manchin after the conservative Democrat opposed elements of Joe Biden's agenda.www.cnbc.com
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That was always gonna pass. The House was just holding it hostage as a bargaining chip to get what they wanted in the Build Back Better plan.So no mention of the infrastructure bill being passed huh
DamnThat was always gonna pass. The House was just holding it hostage as a bargaining chip to get what they wanted in the Build Back Better plan.
Wait.....can't even call it that no more. It's name is officially, the Joe Manchin "You gone get what I give you or allow you to have" plan.
That shit prolly won't get thru til Xmas. And they still gotta deal with the debt ceiling in a few more weeks. Expect a govt shutdown next month.
Mufuckas could pass for brothers
Speaking of this C_NTDem Sen. Kyrsten Sinema stands to applaud Trump as Gillibrand, Harris stay seated at SOTU
By Sam Dorman
Published February 5, 2020
Dem Sen. Kyrsten Sinema stands to applaud Trump as Gillibrand, Harris stay seated at SOTU | FOX 10 Phoenix
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, D-Ariz., earned praise from some right-leaning figures on Tuesday as she stood to applaud the opportunity zones President Trump created under his tax reform bill.www.fox10phoenix.com
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I get tired of being ahead of the curve.in favor of what other party?
mind you I'm not saying this is a bad idea I'm asking what are the choices?
People think the democrat party is one big thing and its not...
AOC: 'In any other country, Joe Biden and I would not be in the same party'
its left in the political spectrum but democrats are left leaning to varying degrees.
The Super Progressives
The Very Progressives
- Very liberal on economic and identity/cultural issues, anti-establishment. (Anti-establishment is a very fuzzy term, but in this piece, what I’m referring to is people who see part of their role as not just attacking Republicans, but also highlighting what they see as shortcomings of the Democratic Party itself.)
- Prominent examples: Ocasio-Cortez , Rep. Ilhan Omar of Minnesota, Rep. Mark Pocan of Wisconsin, Rep. Ayanna Pressley of Massachusetts, Rep. Rashida Tlaib of Michigan.
The Progressive New Guard
- Very liberal on economic issues, fairly liberal on identity issues, skeptical of the Democratic establishment.
- Prominent examples: Bill de Blasio, Sen. Jeff Merkley of Oregon, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren.
The Progressive Old Guard
- Liberal on both economic and identity issues but also somewhat concerned about the “electability” of candidates and the appeal of ideas to the political center; generally rose to prominence after Barack Obama was elected president.
- Prominent examples: Stacey Abrams, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Julian Castro, Kamala Harris, Jay Inslee, Beto O’Rourke.
The Moderates
- Solidly center-left on both economic and identity issues, but very concerned about the “electability” of candidates and the appeal of ideas to the political center; generally rose to prominence before Obama was elected president.
- Prominent examples: Joe Biden, Cuomo, Dianne Feinstein, Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer.
Conservative Democrats
- More conservative and business-friendly than other Democrats on economic policies; somewhat liberal on cultural issues; anti-establishment.
- Prominent examples: Rep. Josh Gottheimer of New Jersey, Rep. Conor Lamb of Pennsylvania, Rep. Abigail Spanberger of Virginia.
- Skeptical of liberal views on both economic and cultural issues; often supportive of abortion limits; generally from conservative-leaning areas.
- Prominent examples: Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards, West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin.
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The Six Wings Of The Democratic Party
There’s a lot of news right now about conflicts within the Democratic Party, and similar stories will likely continue to pop up for the next two years. Much of …fivethirtyeight.com
This what you have to deal with...
When? I can’t remember this ever happening. Black folks don’t sit out elections, as a rule.we did that already... it initiated the trump era. I agree that the party has to wrangle in manchin or primary his ass but the burn it down scenario never quite works the way people talk about it.
Let…that…binary…thinking…go.I guess the republicans have our best interest in mind.
Who knew.
I get tired of being ahead of the curve.
I been saying what AOC has been saying, at least since before Obama’s administration.
Each party has a minimum of 3 parties inside of it, which is why I don’t understand the “woe are we” indoctrination of “It’s a two party system so we have to…” Hae to do what, be Black and die?
Man, it’s “We the people.” Now, I know they didn’t mean is, but we have to do it the way we do democracy, make it so.
We been taking lumps, so take the lumps via the necessary steps to splinter these two parties AND create an indigenous party that speaks to all the needs of all the Black people in the diaspora in America.
We can garner international support and never be beat.
When? I can’t remember this ever happening. Black folks don’t sit out elections, as a rule.
Let…that…binary…thinking…go.
Think bigger.
Evolve your mindset.
This is dope.Ideological conferences[edit]
Ideological congressional caucuses can represent a political party within a political party. In the United States two-party dominant political system, these congressional caucuses help congregate and advance the ideals of a more focused ideology within the two major relatively big tent political parties. Some caucuses are organized political factions with a common ideological orientation.[3] Most ideological caucuses are confined to the House of Representatives:
Known caucus membership in the House of Representatives of the 117th United States Congress↓
- On the Democratic side:
- Blue Collar Caucus (BCC) – pro-labor and alter-globalization Democrats
- Blue Dog Coalition (BDC) – conservative Democrats
- Congressional Progressive Caucus (CPC) – progressive and New Deal Democrats
- Expand Social Security Caucus (ESSC) – pro-social security Democrats
- Medicare for All Caucus (MAC) – pro-Medicare for All Democrats
- New Democrat Coalition (NDC) – centrist New Democrats
- On the Republican side:
- Freedom Caucus (FC) – conservatives affiliated with the Tea Party movement
- Liberty Caucus (LC) – libertarian Republicans
- Republican Main Street Partnership (MSP) – centrist Republicans
- Republican Study Committee (RSC) – conservative Republicans
- Tuesday Group (TG) – centrist Republicans
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Caucuses of the United States Congress - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
The link contains all of the current caucuses(including Black) above is just the ideological ones(the ones that are creating or solving the most issues. IMO).This is dope.
Had no idea there was more than one caucus, which I ironically don’t see on this list, the useless and hugely symbolic Black Congressional Caucus.
Just wowThe bill finalized Tuesday authorizes $768 billon for national defense, of which $28 billion funds Energy Department nuclear weapons programs........
The bill authorizes $25 billion more than the Biden administration’s budget request. In there are 12 F/A-18 Super Hornets that were not requested; five more Boeing F-15EX jets than the request for 17 total; and 13 ships total ― including two attack submarines and two destroyers ― for five more than the request.
The bill has been passed 60 years in a row, and defense lawmakers warned that failing to clear the bill this year would stymy Pentagon modernization efforts in the face of China’s growing military might.
FOH
Worth pointing out that the defense bills what 70% more than the build back better plan everyone lost their shit over![]()
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Really fucking disgusting and sickening homie.The US spent $300 million per day for a total of $2.3 Trillion for the 20 years it spent in Afghanistan.
Imagine what America could get done, for all its citizens to improve their quality of life with that money?
And what do we have to show for it Afghanistan?
Good morning. Democratic struggles with working-class voters seem to be getting worse.
Supporters of Glenn Youngkin in Virginia.Carlos Bernate for The New York Times
Culture over money
They are among the most affluent places in America: Arlington, Fairfax and Loudoun Counties, in Northern Virginia; Upper Montclair, N.J.; Scarsdale, N.Y.; Wilmette, Ill.; Palo Alto and Malibu, Calif; and Mercer Island, Wash.
In each, six-figure incomes are the norm, and seven-figure incomes are not rare, which means that many residents would pay higher taxes if Democratic proposals were to become law.
And yet these places vote overwhelmingly for Democrats. Even this week, which did not go well for Democrats, many affluent suburbs were colored blue on election maps. In Arlington, Va., Terry McAuliffe, the Democratic candidate for governor, won about 77 percent of the vote. Last year, President Biden won a similarly large share in Scarsdale and some other high-income towns — and about 90 percent in several California and New England suburbs. (Look up your town.)
Democrats often lament that so many working-class Americans vote against their own economic interests, by supporting Republicans who try to cut health care programs, school funding and more. A 2004 book summarized the liberal frustration with the title, “What’s the Matter With Kansas?”
But working-class conservatives are hardly the only voters who prioritize issues other than their financial situation. The residents of the affluent towns I mentioned above — and I could have listed dozens more — also do. Which raises a different question: What’s the matter with Scarsdale?
The answer, of course, is nothing. Pocketbook issues aren’t the only reasonable ones to decide a person’s vote. Other subjects, like climate change, civil rights, religious rights, abortion, immigration, crime, education and Covid-19, are important, too.
As Democrats try to make sense of this week’s disappointments and look anxiously ahead to next year’s midterms, one problem looms others: the party’s struggles with working-class voters. Defined as people without a four-year college degree, these voters make up a majority of the electorate. And they tend to be more religious, more outwardly patriotic and more culturally conservative than college graduates.
From a survey of 2,508 people, conducted in Sept. 2021.Source: Public Religion Research Institute
A Virginia trouncing
For much of the 20th century, Democrats were the party of the working class, while Republicans were the party of suburban professionals. In recent decades, however, politics has changed.
People vote based less on their income and more on their cultural attitudes, as my colleague Nate Cohn has explained. Sometimes, these attitudes are related to specific matters of policy, like immigration or abortion. Other times, they involve more personal subjects, like religion or patriotism.
“As they’ve grown in numbers, college graduates have instilled increasingly liberal cultural norms while gaining the power to nudge the Democratic Party to the left,” Nate wrote. “Partly as a result, large portions of the party’s traditional working-class base have defected to the Republicans.”
The defections have increased over the past decade. Barack Obama won voters without a bachelor’s degree in both of his presidential victories. Biden lost them narrowly last year. In Virginia this week, McAuliffe was trounced — by between 10 and 20 percentage points, depending on the exit poll — among voters without a bachelor’s degree. He particularly lost ground with white working-class women, according to CNN.
Race plays an important role here. Republicans — including Donald Trump, but not limited to him — have won more working-class votes partly by appealing to white identity. In Virginia, Glenn Youngkin, the Republican governor-elect, used a version of this strategy. He went so far as to release an ad in which a white mother complained about her son’s high school class reading a classic novel by Toni Morrison.
But many Democrats have made the mistake of believing that the working-class shift is all about racism. It’s not. Consider that the contemporary Democrat who fared best with the white working class was Obama. Or that some divisive cultural debates, like those involving religion, don’t map neatly onto race.
The clearest sign that the shift involves both racial and other causes comes from recent election results: Democrats are no longer doing as well as they once did in Asian, Black and Latino communities. Trump fared better with voters of color in 2020 than in 2016. In Virginia, some of McAuliffe’s most disappointing totals came in heavily Hispanic precincts, according to Nate’s analysis.
This year’s mayoral election in New York offered a similar lesson. Eric Adams beat more liberal Democratic candidates with an anti-crime message that appealed to a multiracial coalition of working-class voters across the Bronx, Brooklyn, Queens and Staten Island. The only borough Adams lost in the primary was affluent, highly educated Manhattan.
Values, not white papers
I don’t mean to suggest that there are easy answers for the Democratic Party. The rightward drift of workers has been an international phenomenon. Yet unless Democrats try to address their working-class slide — which has room to become worse — they may struggle to hold power in coming years, especially in the Senate.
What are their options? Democrats can’t win over the working class by talking about only economic issues, any more than Republicans can win Scarsdale simply by saying “Tax cuts now!” Policy proposals, of any kind, may not even be the full answer: Some political scientists believe that Democrats talk too much about policy and not enough about values. Regardless, Democrats likely do need to write off some voters because of their racial attitudes.
Still, that would leave tens of millions of working-class Americans who are open to voting for Democrats without being loyal to the party. These voters span racial groups. They tend to be worried about crime and political correctness, however they define it. They have mixed feelings about immigration and abortion laws. They favor many progressive positions on economic policy. They are skeptical of experts. Most believe in God and in a strong America.
If Democrats are going to win more of these voters, they will probably need to listen to them and make some changes, rather than telling them that they’re irrational for voting Republican. Over the past generation, Democrats have won over more college graduates by listening to them — and then creating a party that reflects their views on almost every issue. Politics is hard, but it is not always mysterious.
#votebluenomatterwhoSenator Joe Manchin’s Yacht
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Why they making Joe Grizzly seem like he Bezos or some shit. Ol' boy got a nice houseboat, not a luxury yacht.Senator Joe Manchin’s Yacht
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Why they making Joe Grizzly seem like he Bezos or some shit. Ol' boy got a nice houseboat, not a luxury yacht.![]()
It's always about money.The major news outlets are not talking about it.
The Senate adjusted the filibuster to pass the debt ceiling.
It shows money is more important than voting rights, abortion and anything that benefits regular Americans living paycheck to paycheck.
Senate Democrats raise debt ceiling after filibuster deal
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Senate Democrats raise debt ceiling after filibuster deal
Senate Democrats on Tuesday voted to raise the debt ceiling, bypassing a GOP filibuster as part of a deal struck by congressional leaders. Senators voted 50-49 along party lines to raise the d…thehill.com