I have to disagree to a point concerning Manny's crossover appeal. While he may not have the Iconic appeal Oscar has (I don't thing ANY fighter has it to that degree), I don't believe a simple loss will effect his status that much. Say, for example, he loses to Clottey in a very close, hard fought fight...while it will have some impact, I still believe it's the way he loses more than IF he loses. To get dominated and knocked out, that would have a huge impact on ANY fighter, Floyd, Manny, it damn sure did on Oscar...that's a big reason why he retired as well. There was no coming back from the way Manny beat him! He sort of survived the Floyd loss, but Manny DOMINATED him. He was no longer considered a TOP contender due to HOW he lost.
Also, I agree with his limited options committing to Welterweight, but I also seeing that commitment being adjusted once he realizes how limited his options are. I was talking to one of my Boys about this and he made a unique prospective on this Welterweight commitment, speaking to the fact that this may be an indication of PED use as well since it would be VERY difficult to cut weight effectively if the weight gain and strength gains were a result of PED's. That is actually a point of contention in conversation concerning RJJ's rapid fall from grace once he decided to 'Drop' back down to Light Heavy to fight Tarver. When Dude moved up to HW, he was a physical monster!!!! Didn't lose any muscle tone or anything, sort of how swollen Manny has become!!!! It does offer a question though, since Dude has come up so much in his career, and a lot of his big money options are still south of WW!?!?!? A Valero fight in Mexico or the Phillipines would be HUGE!!!!
As far as Valero, I agree with the 'high' profile fighter thing to a point, but it is unfair to discount him because 'nobody' knows about him?!?!? He is in an unfortunate situation where he cannot get Sanctioned to fight in the states, but don't get it twisted, Dude is a legitimate challenge to anyone withing 5 pounds either way of his weight class!!!