US inflation highest in 40 years, with no letup in sight

Mixd

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BGOL Investor
Biden: June inflation figures "unacceptably high" but out-of-date


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xfactor

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BGOL Investor

Mixd

Duppy Maker
BGOL Investor
I actually agree with him on that. I calculated it around 11.4%.

*democrip bot* Good thing my job said no raises and no bonuses this year. I’m really gonna be stacking paper now that I have to return to the office everyday, healthcare premiums are up and food prices have tripled. :yes: *democrip bot*
Don't worry another little $1 billion won't raise inflation even more.

Biden to pledge $1 billion in food security assistance on last day of Middle East tour

 

xfactor

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BGOL Investor
Don't worry another little $1 billion won't raise inflation even more.

Biden to pledge $1 billion in food security assistance on last day of Middle East tour

This type of stuff continues to prove why journalists and the mainstream media have no credibility. Biden should be questioned relentlessly on his moves but it won’t happen because the media is all about propaganda.
 

xfactor

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
Consumer loan applications are up higher than Superman. Job market is on freeze. What’s going on around here? Atleast gas prices are down :rolleyes:
 

xfactor

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
Fed Chair Powell: Rates will rise until 'job is done' bringing down inflation



Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said the central bank’s job on lowering inflation is not done, suggesting that the Fed will continue to aggressively raise interest rates to cool the economy.

“We will keep at it until we are confident the job is done,” Powell said in remarks delivered at the Fed’s annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

“While the lower inflation readings for July are welcome, a single month’s improvement falls far short of what the Committee will need to see before we are confident that inflation is moving down,” Powell said Friday.

Inflation data on Friday morning showed prices in America rose by 6.3% on a year-over-year basis in July, a notch down from the 6.8% pace measured in June. When stripping out food and energy, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index showed prices rising by 4.6% compared to a year ago — still well above the Fed’s target of 2%.

The central bank has delivered four consecutive interest rate hikes over the last six months, moving in June and July to raise rates by 0.75%, the Fed's largest moves since 1994. By raising borrowing costs, the Fed hopes to dampen demand by making home buying, business loans, and other types of credit more expensive.

Short-term interest rates are now in a target range between 2.25% and 2.5%, which some Fed policymakers consider to be the so-called "neutral rate," or the level rates that is neither stimulative nor restrictive to economic activity.

Powell said more rate hikes will be needed, with “another unusually large” increase still on the table for the Fed’s next meeting in September. The Fed chair reiterated that “at some point,” the Fed will move to slow the pace of its price increases.

“In current circumstances, with inflation running far above 2 percent and the labor market extremely tight, estimates of longer-run neutral are not a place to stop or pause,” Powell said Friday.

The Fed chair said central banks need to move quickly, warning historical episodes of inflation have shown that delayed reactions from central banks tend to come with steeper job losses.

“Our aim is to avoid that outcome by acting with resolve now,” Powell said.

With unemployment at a historically low 3.5% in July, Powell said the labor market remains strong but suggested that the Fed’s campaign to hike rates could restrict economic activity and lead to a “softer” labor market.

Combined with the crunch of expensive credit, Powell warned households and businesses may feel some pain as interest rates increases continue.

“These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation,” Powell said. “But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.”

The Fed chair’s speech is a focal point of the annual Jackson Hole conference, and tends to be a longer speech with bigger picture takeaways. But concerns about financial market interpretations of recent Fed moves were likely a factor in Powell’s decision to deliver a shorter and “more direct” speech this year.

The Fed’s next policy-setting meeting is scheduled September 20 and 21.

Brian Cheung is a reporter covering the Fed, economics, and banking for Yahoo Finance. You can follow him on Twitter @bcheungz.
 

Helico-pterFunk

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BGOL Legend


 

xfactor

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Canada is a society that will be the last refuge for the hybrid Neanderthal man before its complete demise :smh:
 

BigATLslim

Rising Star
BGOL Investor

I did not realize how big the industry is that just came out of nowhere, no wonder there is not enough labor. We need to bring back slavery, fuck Juneteenth until automation catches up. There are some people/groups (we have already dealt with it) I would like to auction off that could do this work, when they are done, chain them back up. Decimate their professional class and force them into doing this.

12-years-a-slave.jpg


This personal use of your car, making single trips to deliver food is not going to cut it.
So my next question: who should we enslave and how?
 

BigATLslim

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
America wasn’t this fucked up when Trump was president. It baffles me how much y’all hate Trump but know damn well the country was in better shape when he was in office. This Biden guy that y’all voted for ruined a good thing that Trump had going on.
Yes it was.

And it was this f*cked up with Trump, Obama, Clinton, both Bushes, and wait for it…Reagan.

He is The Godfather of all this bullsh!t.
 

VAiz4hustlaz

Proud ADOS and not afraid to step to da mic!
BGOL Investor
Jesus fucking Christ do I hate those people. Elizabeth Warren is a fucking lawyer. Is she just playing retarded or what? Does she know the Fed had a delayed reaction to inflation and continues to play soft? Didn't an intern brief her that SADLY unemployment must rise to fight inflation?

At this point, all she can do is stfu and ride this shit out. Because just last fucking winter she was blaming corporations instead of getting on Jerome's ass about doing aggressive rate hikes.

Does this batshit bitch want Powell to stop the hikes so Joe can fix the supply chain? :lol: That's not how this shit gets fixed.

The Fed says unemployment will rise. Here's who economists say would lose their jobs first.


The Federal Reserve escalated its fight against inflation this week, instituting a major rate increase and saying more will likely follow. The moves will cause a jump in the number of unemployed Americans by the end of next year, the central bank said.

The Fed has put forward a series of aggressive interest rate hikes in recent months as it tries to slash price increases by slowing the economy and choking off demand. But the approach risks tipping the United States into a recession and causing widespread joblessness.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday acknowledged that rate hikes would cause pain for the U.S. economy, as growth slows and unemployment rises. He added, however, that "a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain later on."

The job losses forecasted by the Fed this week would by the end of 2023 raise the unemployment rate from its current level of 3.7% to 4.4%. That outcome would add an estimated 1.2 million unemployed people, according to Omair Sharif, the founder of research firm Inflation Insights.

Those job losses will disproportionately fall on some of the most vulnerable workers, including minorities and less-educated employees, according to economists and studies of past downturns.

Here are the groups of workers who would most likely lose their jobs if unemployment rises:

Black and Hispanic workers
Black workers would be among the first to lose their jobs if unemployment spikes, since they're disproportionately concentrated in industries sensitive to economic downturns. Racial discrimination often influences choices made by companies about which workers to fire, economists said.

"The Fed's actions really do mean some disparate impact for Black workers in the American economy," Michelle Holder, a labor economist at John Jay College of Criminal Justice, told ABC News.

The vulnerability of Black workers in a downturn manifested during the most recent recession, in spring 2020, when the pandemic caused higher unemployment for Black workers at every education level when compared with their white counterparts, a RAND Corporation study found.

Overall, the unemployment rate for Black workers in the early period of the pandemic peaked at 16.8%, while the unemployment rate for white workers reached only 14.1%.

Between the late 1980s and mid-2000s, government employment data shows "considerable evidence" that Black workers are among the first ones fired as the economy weakens, according to an economic studypublished in 2010 in Demography, an academic journal.

"To be blunt, discrimination still occurs in the American labor market," Holder said.

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell hosts an event on "Fed Listens: Transitioning to the Po...
Kevin Lamarque/Reuters
A similar dynamic of disproportionate job losses impacts Hispanic workers, the economists said.

William Spriggs, the chief economist at the AFL-CIO labor union and a professor of economics at Howard University, said Hispanic workers would suffer acutely in a downturn brought about by interest rate hikes, since they're disproportionately represented in the construction industry.

When the Fed raises rates, it often leads to a spike in mortgage rates, causing prospective homebuyers to put off their purchases and builders to delay further construction. U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgages jumped to 6.29% on Thursday, the highest level in 14 years, according to Freddie Mac's mortgage market survey.

As of last year, Hispanic workers made up nearly a third of all construction workers, according to a National Association of Home Builders analysis of government data published in June.

"We've already seen construction work is slowing," Spriggs told ABC News. "Those construction workers get hit first."

Less-educated workers
Another group that would stand among the first to end up jobless amid a downturn is less-educated workers.

Two years ago, during the pandemic-induced recession, less-educated workers suffered far more acute job losses than their better-educated peers, according to a study published in 2021 by the Institute for New Economic Thinking.

In general, when the economy weakens, poorly educated workers endure a more negative effect on employment than their better-educated counterparts, according to a study published by the Minneapolis Federal Reserve in 2010.

In the Great Recession, the employment rate for workers with just a high school diploma fell 5.6%, while the employment rate for workers with a college degree fell less than 1%, the study found.

"Workers who tend to fare better when the economy contracts are better-educated workers," said Holder.

Young workers
Data from the two most recent recessions, in 2020 and 2007, indicates that young workers suffer disproportionately when the economy contracts.

During the pandemic-induced recession, young workers became jobless at a much higher rate than older workers, according to a studyreleased by the left-leaning Economic Policy Institute in 2020.

From spring 2019 to spring 2020, the overall unemployment rate among workers ages 16 to 24 rose from 8.4% to 24.4%, while unemployment for workers ages 25 and older rose from 2.8% to 11.3%, the study found.

A similar outcome followed the Great Recession. Between 2007 and 2010, workers between the ages of 16 and 24 suffered a more dramatic drop in employment than any other age group, according to a Brookings Institution analysis of government data that focused on the ratio of employed workers in a given demographic compared to its representation in the population as a whole.

 

VAiz4hustlaz

Proud ADOS and not afraid to step to da mic!
BGOL Investor


Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan warns to prepare for a US debt default and a recession that will drag down corporate earnings


  • A US debt default is still an uncomfortable possibility, according to BofA CEO Brian Moynihan.
  • "You hope it doesn't happen, but hope is not a strategy – so you prepare for it," he warned in an interview with CNN.
  • BofA has been warning for months of a recession that could drag earnings and the economy down.
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Prepare for a US debt default and a recession that will drag down corporate earnings, according to Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan.

In an interview with CNN on Monday, the head of the second-largest US bank said he hoped the government wouldn't slip into default on its debt. But it's a possibility, he warned, one which could rattle markets and the economy.

"We have to be prepared for that, not only in this country but in other countries around the world," Moynihan warned. "You hope it doesn't happen, but hope is not a strategy – so you prepare for it."

That ominous warning comes shortly after the US hit its $31.4 trillion borrowing limit in January, which prompted the US Treasury to implement "extraordinary measures" to prevent the nation from defaulting on its debts. The measures will last until June, leaving Congress with little over four months to either raise the debt ceiling or risk a financial meltdown and epic stock market crash, experts say.


But talks to over the government's budget are making little progress, with Republicans and Democrats sparring over possible spending cuts if the US is to raise the debt ceiling.

Moynihan noted the US has needed to borrow more in recent years due to extraordinary circumstances, like the COVID-19 crisis, but he shot down suggestions made by other commentators that the US government should scrap the debt ceiling completely.

"[T]here's got to be an argument about how we make sure we live within our means as a country," the executive said in the interview.

Moynihan added that Bank of America is still expecting a mild recession to hit the economy, as inflation and high interest rates are still a huge concern. Central bankers have raised rates 450 basis-points to lower high prices, but rates that high could drag on corporate earnings and send the economy into a downturn, Bank of America previously warned.


Strategists predicted that a recession could send the S&P 500 falling 24% in the early half of this year. That's similar to estimates from Morgan Stanley, which predicted an earnings recession could send stocks 20% lower.

 

Politic Negro

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BGOL Investor

Cities Where Inflation is Rising The Most​



Overall RankMSATotal ScoreConsumer Price Index Change
(Latest month vs 2 months before)
Consumer Price Index Change
(Latest month vs 1 year ago)
1Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL100.001.70%7.30%
2Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA72.561.20%4.60%
3Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI70.091.10%4.70%
4St. Louis, MO-IL68.421.30%3.10%
5Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA66.681.00%4.60%
6San Diego-Carlsbad, CA66.570.90%5.20%
7Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO63.150.80%5.10%
8Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL62.820.50%6.90%
9Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX61.270.80%4.70%
10Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA57.490.80%3.90%
11Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV56.660.90%3.10%
12Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD50.780.70%3.10%
13New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA47.950.70%2.50%
14Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA45.010.60%2.50%
15San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA43.950.50%2.90%
16Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ42.200.20%4.40%
17Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX38.290.50%1.70%
18Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI37.240.40%2.10%
19Minneapolis-St.Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI35.820.40%1.80%
20Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD34.660.20%2.80%
21Urban Honolulu, HI33.820.30%2.00%
22Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH32.550.00%3.60%
23Anchorage, AK11.770.40%-3.30%
 

850credit

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
@Politic Negro surprised that Atlanta area is number 2. Seems like prices have SOMEWHAT stabilized and in some cases retreated in the last couple months to me.

Depends on where you shop though.
 

Mrfreddygoodbud

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
US inflation highest in 40 years, with no letup in sight

Inflation soared over the past year at its highest rate in four decades, hammering America’s consumers, wiping out pay raises and reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s decision to begin raising borrowing rates across the economy
By CHRISTOPHER RUGABER AP Economics Writer
February 10, 2022, 2:35 PM

WASHINGTON -- Inflation soared over the past year at its highest rate in four decades, hammering American consumers, wiping out pay raises and reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s decision to begin raising borrowing rates across the economy.

The Labor Department said Thursday that consumer prices jumped 7.5% last month compared with a year earlier, the steepest year-over-year increase since February 1982.


When measured from December to January, inflation was 0.6%, the same as the previous month and more than economists had expected. Prices rose 0.7% from October to November and 0.9% from September to October.

Shortages of supplies and workers, heavy doses of federal aid, ultra-low interest rates and robust consumer spending combined to send inflation leaping in the past year. And there are few signs that it will slow significantly anytime soon.

Wages are rising at the fastest pace in at least 20 years, which can pressure companies to raise prices to cover higher labor costs. Ports and warehouses are overwhelmed, with hundreds of workers at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, the nation’s busiest, out sick last month. Many products and parts remain in short supply as a result.

The latest inflation data suggested to some economists that the Fed could raise its key rate in March by one-half a percentage point, rather than its typical quarter-point hike.


James Bullard, the president of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, told Bloomberg News that he supported a sharp increase of a full percentage point in the benchmark short-term interest rate by July.

Over time, higher rates will raise the costs for a wide range of borrowing, from mortgages and credit cards to auto and business loans. That could cool spending and inflation, but for the Fed, the decision to steadily tighten credit could also trigger another recession.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled two weeks ago that the central bank would likely raise its benchmark short-term rate multiple times this year.

Stock prices declined after the inflation report was released and fell further after Bullard’s remarks. The broad S&P 500 index fell 1.3% in afternoon trading. The yield on the 10-year bond jumped to 2.03%, a sign that investors see more Fed rate hikes ahead.


Prices for a broad range of goods and services accelerated from December to January — and not just for items directly affected by the pandemic. Apartment rental costs rose 0.5% in January, the fastest pace in 20 years. Electricity prices surged 4.2% in January alone, the sharpest rise in 15 years, and are up 10.7% from a year earlier. Last month, household furniture and supplies rose 1.6%, the largest one-month increase on records dating to 1967.

Food costs, driven by pricier eggs, cereal and dairy products, increased 0.9% in January. New car prices, which have jumped during the pandemic because of a shortage of computer chips, were unchanged last month but are up 12.2% from a year ago. The surge in new-car prices has, in turn, accelerated used-car prices; they rose 1.5% in January and are up a dizzying 41% from a year ago.

“Just as price pressures in some areas ease, inflation in other parts of the economy" is picking up, said Sarah House, an economist at Wells Fargo. “The upshot is that inflation is likely to remain uncomfortably high.”

The steady rise in prices has left many Americans less able to afford food, gas, rent, child care and other necessities. More broadly, inflation has emerged as the biggest risk factor for the economy and as a serious threat to President Joe Biden and congressional Democrats as midterm elections loom later this year.

Among the Americans who are struggling with pricier food and gas is Courtney Luckey, who has changed her shopping habits and taken on additional work shifts at a grocery store in Charlotte, North Carolina, where she lives.

Luckey, 33, used to be able to fill up a grocery cart for $100. Now, she said, $100 barely fills half the cart. Tomatoes have reached nearly $5 a pound, “which I think is ridiculous.” Luckey has switched to canned tomatoes and has begun using coupons for Family Dollar and Food Lion.

To help pay bills, she’s also picked up more hours at a Harris Teeter grocery store. But the store is 30 minutes from her house, so she's had to spend more on gas.

All her forced additional spending has caused Luckey to pull back on the family activities, such as bowling, with her daughter, her brother and his two sons. Those outings now typically happen once a month, rather than every week or two.

In the past year, sharp increases in the costs of gas, food, autos and furniture have upended many other Americans’ budgets, too. In December, economists at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School estimated that the average household had to spend $3,500 more than in 2020 to buy an identical basket of goods and services.

Small businesses have also struggled to deal with higher costs for supplies and labor.

Julio Ortiz, the owner of Gaspachos, which sells fruit cups, smoothies and coffee in Sacramento, said he had to raise prices by about 6%, on average, in November. For some items, prices rose 10%.

“We've seen a spike in pricing for fruits, vegetables, cups, and plates," he said. His company uses compostable packaging, but much of it comes from overseas and has been stuck on ships that haven't been unloaded.

Even excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core inflation jumped 0.6% from December to January and 6% from a year ago.

Many large corporations, in conference calls with investors, have said they expect supply shortages to persist until at least the second half of this year.

Chipotle said it’s increased menu prices 10% to offset the rising costs of beef and transportation as well as higher employee wages. And the restaurant chain said it will consider further price increases if inflation keeps rising.

“We keep thinking that beef is going to level up and then go down, and it just hasn’t happened yet,” said John Hartung, the company’s chief financial officer.

Executives at Chipotle, as well as at Starbucks and some other consumer-facing companies, have said their customers so far don’t seem fazed by the higher prices.

Levi Strauss & Co. raised prices last year by roughly 7% above 2019 levels because of rising costs, including labor, and plans to do so again this year. Even so, the San Francisco-based company has upgraded its sales forecasts for 2022.

“Right now, every signal we’re seeing is positive,” CEO Chip Bergh told analysts.

———

AP business writers Dee-Ann Durbin in Detroit and Anne D’Innocenzio in New York contributed to this report.

Inflation really aint nothing to worry about, its the fact that we been dumbed down through our

indoctrination ahem I mean education system, that we dont know how to pimp inflation in our favor,

Im finding out now, the irs, the treasury dept are NOT the enemies, they have been taken over

by the powers that shouldnt be, to make us THINK they are the enemies.....

this is a debt based system and it is set up to make life easy for the average American.....

since there is NO money... we been indoctrinated to work in our one worst interest...

the irs and treasury dept are NOT the enemies, banks are..

but we can discuss that in another thread..
 

Politic Negro

Rising Star
BGOL Investor
My problem with inflation numbers is the government that count food and gas prices in those numbers. The things we need most. That makes no sense to me..
If I'm reading this right, you want to separate inflation numbers with just discretionary spending items?
 
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