No FEMA. Severe Central Texas flooding

They got watches a day ahead of time and warnings 3 hours ahead of time... I get the whole just blame Trump thing is the go to, but sometimes it doesn't hurt to just read lol. Those cuts DID NOT affect the NWS issuing alerts. They brought in extra people to cover the event. I don't get how this is hard to understand, to be honest. The problem came at the local level because they refused to build storm sirens even after receiving funding for it.
 
“The forecasting was good. The warnings were good. It’s always about getting people to receive the message,” said Chris Vagasky, a meteorologist based in Wisconsin. “It appears that is one of the biggest contributors — that last mile.”

The meteorologists said they did not think understaffed offices were a primary factor in the tragic outcome, even though the NWS has leadership gaps after a rash of staffing cuts.

Q: Is it true that if President Donald Trump hadn’t defunded the National Weather Service, the death toll in the Texas flooding would have been far lower or nonexistent?


A: The Trump administration did not defund the NWS but did reduce the staff by 600 people. Those staffing cuts did not cause the high number of deaths in the flash floods on July 4, experts said. Local forecasting offices were sufficiently staffed and issued timely warnings. But experts raised concerns about key positions being vacant, which could have affected coordination with local communities.

Recordings of radio traffic reviewed by CBS News reveal a firefighter, about an hour into the flood response at 4:22 a.m., asked a dispatcher if the CodeRED system could be activated.

"Is there any way we can send a CodeRED out to our Hunt residents asking them to find higher ground or stay home?" one firefighter is heard asking.


"Stand by, we have to get that approved with our supervisor," the dispatcher responds.

The NWS issued a series of alerts as the storm developed, based on real-time data and model forecasts. Below is a detailed timeline of the warning process:

June 30, 2025 (4 Days Prior): The NWS Weather Prediction Center (WPC) issued a Day 3 to 7 U.S. Weather Hazards Outlook, identifying a heavy rain risk in western Texas for July 3. This was based on model forecasts indicating a slow-moving storm system and high moisture content.

July 3, 2025 (Morning): The NWS Austin/San Antonio office analyzed data showing a mesoscale convective vortex and precipitable water values of 2.4 inches, signaling potential for heavy rainfall. Forecast discussions noted the risk of 1–3 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts of 5–7 inches if storms clustered.

July 3, 2025 (~1:18 p.m. CDT): A Flood Watch was issued for south-central Texas, including Kerr County, based on radar and model data predicting heavy rainfall through 7 a.m. on July 4. The watch highlighted the risk of flash flooding in low-lying areas and along rivers.

July 3, 2025 (~11:41 p.m. CDT): The NWS issued a Flash Flood Warning for Bandera County, covering areas like Kerrville, Ingram, Hunt, and Lost Maples State Natural Area. Doppler radar detected intense rainfall rates, and automated gauges confirmed accumulating totals, indicating imminent flooding.

July 4, 2025 (~1:14 a.m. CDT): A Flash Flood Warning was issued for Kerr County, driven by radar estimates of 3–5 inches of rain and gauge reports of rising water levels in creeks and streams. This provided over three hours of lead time before significant flooding.



July 4, 2025 (~4:03 a.m. CDT): The NWS escalated to a Flash Flood Emergency for south-central Kerr County, including Hunt, after gauges reported a “large and deadly flood wave” on the Guadalupe River. Radar showed continued heavy rainfall, with totals approaching 10 inches in some areas.

Some of you sound just like those folks on the other side that refuse to listen to reason. The NWS did what they were supposed to do, the locals did not.
 
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Some of you sound just like those folks on the other side that refuse to listen to reason. The NWS did what they were supposed to do, the locals did not.
The Federal people had a little bit to do with the situation, but I blamed the local officials and Texas officials for this issue more so
 
The Federal people had a little bit to do with the situation, but I blamed the local officials and Texas officials for this issue more so
Because that's whose fault it was. Those camps shouldn't have been allowed to be built on a flood plane for one. They should've had storm sirens secondly. Trump is a piece of shit that's gutting the government no question. However, that's not what this situation was about. Being inept at the local level fucked those folks. It was the citizens there that refused to pay for the sirens because they didn't want to accept money from Biden.
 


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Where in the world is the FEMA head? Agency leader hasn’t been seen in over a week sparking concern

David Richardson has made no public appearances or statements following his appointment on May 8

Gustaf Kilander
11 July 2025


02trump-news-fema-articleLarge.jpg

FEMA Acting Administrator David Richardson
 
They got watches a day ahead of time and warnings 3 hours ahead of time... I get the whole just blame Trump thing is the go to, but sometimes it doesn't hurt to just read lol. Those cuts DID NOT affect the NWS issuing alerts. They brought in extra people to cover the event. I don't get how this is hard to understand, to be honest. The problem came at the local level because they refused to build storm sirens even after receiving funding for it.

Agreed. It’s a tough pillow to swallow because folks want to desperately blame Trump admin, but this problem is a long history of people not paying attention to warnings.

This was happening before the Trump admin and the NWS was already understaffed prior. Few discusses how extremely challenging it is to get a job at NOAA. The understaffing was their own doing long before Trump arrived with the cuts. But people not listening to warnings have been going on a long while. I can go on and on about NOAA’s hiring processes and how “club-ish” it can be. Folks not seeing the several thousand old ass white men running all the high positions preventing up and coming talent from earning jobs. Folks not seeing how NOAA had an entire presentation at the American Meteorological Society conference about how difficult it is to get hired there. It’s not because of lack of talent across the nations. It’s because they have systematically made it difficult to give anyone a shot that isn’t closely networked with major universities.

This tragedy was unavoidable, but there could have been some measures of prevention.
 
Why Are More Than 100 People Still Missing in Texas, 2 Weeks After the Floods?

As days have turned into weeks, the number of missing, still stubbornly high, may be the flood’s biggest lingering question. The total in Kerr County, the epicenter of the disaster, dropped this week to 97 from 173, and then stalled, raising still more questions. At least four others are missing or unidentified from Travis County, just east of Kerr. And one person — Mr. Phillips — is missing from Burnet County, and still others across the region might be out there.

By Orlando Mayorquín and Pooja Salhotra, Orlando Mayorquín reported from Kerr County and San Antonio, Texas, Pooja Salhotra from Burnet County and Kerr County.
July 19, 2025


19nat-texasfloods-missing-01-chgj-mobileMasterAt3x.jpg

Jermaine Jarmon lost his longtime partner, Alissa Martin, and his 15-year-old son, Braxton Jarmon, in the floods when their home was wiped out. His daughter, Felicity, 16, was still missing as of Thursday.
 
Why Are More Than 100 People Still Missing in Texas, 2 Weeks After the Floods?

As days have turned into weeks, the number of missing, still stubbornly high, may be the flood’s biggest lingering question. The total in Kerr County, the epicenter of the disaster, dropped this week to 97 from 173, and then stalled, raising still more questions. At least four others are missing or unidentified from Travis County, just east of Kerr. And one person — Mr. Phillips — is missing from Burnet County, and still others across the region might be out there.

By Orlando Mayorquín and Pooja Salhotra, Orlando Mayorquín reported from Kerr County and San Antonio, Texas, Pooja Salhotra from Burnet County and Kerr County.
July 19, 2025


19nat-texasfloods-missing-01-chgj-mobileMasterAt3x.jpg

Jermaine Jarmon lost his longtime partner, Alissa Martin, and his 15-year-old son, Braxton Jarmon, in the floods when their home was wiped out. His daughter, Felicity, 16, was still missing as of Thursday.
They are really trying to go quiet on this
 
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