Yeah dude on tv said as of yesterday, at this point in the election, there have been over 170,000 more votes by hispanics that have voted early than the entire early voting cycle in 2012.
Holy shit!!!
Nevada is already being called for Hillary Clinton. It's probably over already
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Holy shit!!!
http://www.worldatlas.com/articles/...ries-in-us-presidential-election-history.html
I'm curious to see how much trump loses by
I'm curious to see how much trump loses by
my man, they BEEN counting them. they havent released the totals.
Right
I had to really focus on that word and then I did just that
I said this Ninja
Yeah dude on tv said as of yesterday, at this point in the election, there have been over 170,000 more votes by hispanics that have voted early than the entire early voting cycle in 2012.
Holy shit!!!
Man. This shit is not going to be anywhere as close as the MSM is depicting it to the masses. You can't win GEs anymore mainly appealing to poor white males. You might be able to do that 1960, but too many black people, latinos, asians, etc.
Not a single ballot has been counted. Anywhere.
You can get a reasonable idea of how voting will turn out based on party registration-- I agree with the OP's assessment but it is all conjecture. Common sense but still speculation until they actually count the votes on Tuesday.
Democrats can vote Republican and vice-versa. Obviously, the majority of people can be expected to vote their party. But you are really overselling and misleading people when you claim actual votes have been counted. Hillary Clinton's official vote count in Nevada is zero and will be until Tuesday.
We know the Democratic turnout. It's obvious she's winning. But you make it sound like the margin between her and Trump is something that is known right now.
Lmbao. Nigga, if you've been on this board long enough, you probably got introduced to Obama from one of my threads back before he first made his run.
Don't let this brand new ass nigga get you jammed up. Watcher is just on let's scare everyone into voting mode right now. Some of us actually follow this religiously, read the actual polling reports, etc. We're not scared. I'm not on the sky is falling trip. This nigga is going to lose and he's going to lose badly. Unfortunately, the people who voted for him are still going to be here on Wednesday morning. Black people, latinos, asians, and dependable dem white voters arent having it.
If you too pin-head niggas that my post is going to swing the election, you're idiots.
Nevada ballot measures are pretty accurate. They were spot on in 2012 and they're crushing those numbers. We can make another argument about other states but Nevada ballot measures spot on.
I said early voting data. Go back and re-read all my posts and tell me where I said the votes have been counted.
They have tight controls on measuring early voting data in Nevada. Those measures gave exacting results in 2012. This year, the early voting data clearly shows dems are CRUSHING those numbers. So what's the fucking problem?
Have yall seen what the map looks like for Trump without Nevada?
Gerrymandering makes taking the house a hard task. That is why is essential that people come out and vote.
It is also essential that people prepare for the mid terms because the next census is 2020. So you not only have to vote federally but locally. Since the state legislatures determine how election maps are created.
Right now most of the state governorship and state legislatures are in republicans hands. That's why they remain in power.
The civil war within the republican party is going to happen regardless.
But check this out I think that momentum went back to Hillary once it was revealed there was collusion with the FBI,Trump campaign and Gulluani with Commy releasing that letter with no substance behind it other than to affect the election.. Gulluani was on fox bragging they had something up their sleeves that would turn the election around to their favor and 2 days later Commy dropped that letter..
These clowns really over played their hand
I'm not following. Explain further.You know what's crazy? The Dems can easily change their races to presidential years. They CHOOSE to have a majority of their races during non-presidential years
I think I conflated your posts with Buk saying there's a count going that hasn't been released.
But, yeah, like I said, totally agreed on the main point that this shit is over in NV.
I'm much more interested in the Senate and House margins, which I think has been criminally undercovered. What matters most here is that I think Harry Reid's seat is safe, which was no guarantee. Trump was never going to win that state but Joe Heck has been winning NV elections since 2010 and will likely outperform Trump. But not by this much, I think.
You have thoughts on the overall Senate picture? Dems keep their only vulnerable seat, NV. Wisconsin has tightened in polling but I think that's a Dem pickup and Illinois is an easy one. So they need two more to take control and get 50. On the table are PA, NH, IN, NC and MO. They were way ahead in Indiana but are blowing it. I can't imagine they won't get two of those and I see Pennsylvania and New Hampshire as the most likely.
They should have done so much better this cycle than they will end up doing. Looks like a bare majority of 50 with Tim Kaine breaking tie party line votes is the most likely outcome. 51 is optimistic.
I didn't even mention Florida, which they totally fucked up. Hard to imagine Rubio losing now.
he would need FL & NC OH UT AZ all of NH + MI or PA and or WI
AZ and UT are shaky as hell - and Trump pulling a sweep of 2 out of 3 in MI and PA and WI would take a terror attack on Monday
don't know why they are focused on Colorado now - even if he wins it - it can't make up for MI PA or WI - he needs it to be perfect for Colorado to help him
I think Trump knows the knives are out if he loses especially if the loses in both houses are significant
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You know what's crazy? The Dems can easily change their races to presidential years. They CHOOSE to have a majority of their races during non-presidential years
How Democrats Suppress The Vote
Off-year elections have much lower turnout, and Democrats prefer it that way
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-democrats-suppress-the-vote/
You have thoughts on the overall Senate picture? Dems keep their only vulnerable seat, NV. Wisconsin has tightened in polling but I think that's a Dem pickup and Illinois is an easy one. So they need two more to take control and get 50. On the table are PA, NH, IN, NC and MO. They were way ahead in Indiana but are blowing it. I can't imagine they won't get two of those and I see Pennsylvania and New Hampshire as the most likely.
They should have done so much better this cycle than they will end up doing. Looks like a bare majority of 50 with Tim Kaine breaking tie party line votes is the most likely outcome. 51 is optimistic.
I didn't even mention Florida, which they totally fucked up. Hard to imagine Rubio losing now.
I think the Dems will pick up 4 seats. The problem is that they had NOTHING man...nothing to even run on until that FBI situation. And they all attached to that is a check on Hillary's presidency. The problem is that people historically vote against the president on the downballot when they feel there is certainly a party will win. Combine that with the FBI thing I I really think there will be a swing to help the GOP down ballot...plus it motivated republicans to come out and vote (the ones that thought Trump had no chance).
I think Hillary was heading for a landslide victory (like 350+) and now it's tightened.
The real price was the House man... We needed 30+ and even though it was an outside chance, it was a real chance. Some of the movement over the last week makes me think we might only pick up 15-20 seats. We'll reduce the GOPs power but a sweep on all three would have given Hillary two years to push all her policy through (and the SC nominee) and spend the rest of her time defending it.
Now the GOP can obstruct through the House and I think they're going to be way worse with Hillary than they were w/ Obama.
Young just polled ahead of Bayh....smh...
http://www.wthr.com/article/exclusive-wthrhpi-poll-young-pulls-ahead-of-bayh-in-senate-race
That would mean everything was wrong... the polling, the electorate, everything... yeah... you're talking miracle stuff for that to happen
i wish people would do a little research before making themselves look like fucking idiots.
http://www.kare11.com/news/elections-offices-busy-counting-absentee-ballots/347364558
Totally agreed, man-- it's just sad. Clinton could have been a historically significant president with a Democratic house but now she'll be the first female president with no significant legislation passed and that's it. Her first four years will be, at best, like Obama's last four. It's mainly her fault for being a terrible campaigner and only running against Trump this entire time. I've never seen a positive ad about a Clinton agenda on the TV.
It's amazing but I think it's clear they would have been better off with the socialist. Bernie Sanders would have run on an agenda, he would have had people enthusiastic about voting FOR him as opposed to against Trump and it's very clear that as terrible as Trump has been there's no reason to fear that red-baiting would have worked this year. I don't know if Dems would have taken the House with Sanders but I certainly think the Senate margin would be better and we would actually have a president entering office with a positive mandate.
yeah. She's horrible on the campaign trail.
Whether she was a great campaigner or not. It would still be hard to take the house. The senate is an easier task because it state wide. The house is a bunch of districts tailor made for the incumbent candidate.
So you would need to increase the number of democrats in each districts and/or get independents on your side plus peel of some republicans.
The biggest way to break up those districts is to take out republicans in your state legislature by 2020 and you can flip control of the house .
North Carolina early voting information...
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/north-carolina-early-vote-tracker.html?_r=0
They have updated this site everyday with the latest results from early voting.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/north-carolina-early-vote-tracker.html?_r=0
They have updated this site everyday with the latest results from early voting.
Nate Silver’s 538 model is giving Donald Trump a heart-stopping 35 percent chance of winning as of this weekend.
He ratcheted the panic up to 11 on Friday with his latest forecast, tweeting out, “Trump is about 3 points behind Clinton ― and 3-point polling errors happen pretty often.”
He ratcheted the panic up to 11 on Friday with his latest forecast, tweeting out, “Trump is about 3 points behind Clinton ― and 3-point polling errors happen pretty often.”
I think the number is 70 %. That's the non white male popualtion.
Thats m8nd blowing.Yeah dude on tv said as of yesterday, at this point in the election, there have been over 170,000 more votes by hispanics that have voted early than the entire early voting cycle in 2012.
Holy shit!!!
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