They just killed any hopes of a renewed nuclear deal.
They will revive the nuclear deal. For all its talk and bluster, Iran is a scared
developing country and wants neither economic nor military warfare with
the US. The deal was good for Iran, and it was good for everyone else. The
only ones who hated it are Israel and Saudi Arabia for their own reasons.
Iran will take the deal Biden offers because it allows the country to breathe
economically and to start buying advancing military weapons from Russia.
The buying of Russian arms is especially important for Iran. As you might
know, Iran along with China and North Korea, was the great beneficiary of
the collapse of the Soviet Union. When that unfortunate event occurred,
salaries of highly educated Soviet scientists fell in some cases to as low
as $20/ month, if they were even paid at all. Many ran to Africa where they
could get paid $2000/month, buy a used Japanese car, get free housing and
have money to send back to their countries to help relatives. Even today,
the salary of a highly trained specialist Russian doctor is $700/ month.
Iran, China and North Korea had their own nascent arms industries in
which they were stuck at trying to reinvent the wheel. The recruitment of
Russian scientists allowed all these 3 countries to cross important milestones;
North Korea could manufacture nukes, Iran could create missiles with ranges
of pin-point accuracy measured in thousands of miles. China was able to
jump right up there and become competitive in advanced military technology
with both Russia and the US..
A while ago, this Russian talent seems to have dried up, having been absorbed
all over the world, from China to the US. However, the collapse of Ukraine has
unleashed a new wave of the talented former Soviet scientists.
This is key for Iran. In this next stage, it would like to glean more secrets from
the Russian arms it purchases; and no one better at explaining the workings of
Russian arms than the former Soviet scientists who worked on them, be they
Russian or Ukranian..
Iran is ordering a bunch of the Russian Su30 multirole air superiority fighters,
several iterations of Russian anti-air defensive systems. Iran has no interest in
depending on Russia for resupplying the missiles needs to arm these systems,
or for spare parts to keep them running. It fully intends to substitutes its own
products for these needs, and that is where the Ukrainian scientists are so very
important. They can teach Iran how to make all these things, and more.
This is why Iran will jump at the opportunity to resign a deal that relieves it of
US pressure Iran