Total Lifetime Grosses
Domestic: $428,792,346 56.2%
+
Foreign: $334,600,000 43.8%
=
Worldwide: $763,392,346
Domestic Summary
Opening Weekend: $202,003,951
(#1 rank, 4,020 theaters, $50,250 average)
% of Total Gross: 47.1%
> View All Weekends
Widest Release: 4,084 theaters
In Release: 13 days / 1.9 weeks
As of 02/28/2018
BOMojo:
'Black Panther' Preps for Third Weekend at #1 as 'Red Sparrow' & 'Death Wish' Debut
by Brad Brevet
March 1, 2018
With nearly $430 million in the bank domestically as of Wednesday (Feb 28), the big question for
Black Panther this weekend is not whether it will repeat at #1 for a third straight week (it will), but whether it can hold on well enough to reach $500 million domestically. Otherwise, while
Black Panthercontinues to carve out its own place in box office history, a pair of new wide releases hope to make their own impact this weekend in Fox's
Red Sparrowand MGM's
Death Wish remake from
Eli Roth, starring
Bruce Willis.
At the top once again, Disney and Marvel's
Black Panther will reign once again as box office king, adding another 64 theaters and looking to drop around 42%, bringing in
~$65 million. This will be
Black Panther's third straight weekend atop the box office, which will make it only the third film in the
Marvel Cinematic Universe to accomplish that feat in its first three weekends, the others being
Captain America: The Winter Soldier and
The Avengers.
Should the film live up to Mojo's expectations, the performance would also push the film's domestic total over $500 million, which means it would become the
second fastest film to top $500 million domestically, besting
Star Wars: The Last Jedi by two days.
Internationally,
Black Panther is up to
$334.6 million overseas and adds one major new market this weekend in Japan where both
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 and
Thor: Ragnarok recently brought in a little over $10 million and
Doctor Strange finished with over $16 million, while
Spider-Man: Homecoming grossed over $25 million last year. The film opens in its final market, China, next weekend.
Looking at a second place finish is Fox's
Red Sparrow, which re-teams
The Hunger Games star
Jennifer Lawrence and director
Francis Lawrencein an R-rated adaptation of the first book in Jason Matthews' trilogy of novels. Debuting in 3,056 theaters, Fox is anticipating a performance in the mid-to-high teens, and our analysis suggests an opening more on the higher end, if not possibly topping $20 million.
While reviews have been mediocre (currently scoring a 53 on
Metacritic), IMDb page view data shows the film performing well alongside films such as
Ghost in the Shell ($18.7m opening) and
Atomic Blonde ($18.29m opening). In addition, Fox releases similar in genre and theatrical reach have opened, on average, just a bit over $18 million. All things considered, our current range has the film opening anywhere from
$18-22 million.
Red Sparrow will also debut in 23 markets internationally this weekend including Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Colombia and Denmark.
Third place is where we expect to find the weekend's other new wide release, the remake of Charles Bronson's 1974 classic,
Death Wish from director
Eli Roth and screenwriter
Joe Carnahan. Debuting in 2,847 locations the studio is expecting the
Bruce Willis starrer to debut in the mid-teens, which is in the neighborhood of what our analysis is showing. Using comps such as
The Foreigner,
American Assassin and
John Wick we're currently looking at a
$13-15 million opening for the vigilante thriller with upside potential.
Last weekend's new release and weekend box office runner-up, the R-rated comedy
Game Night from WB and New Line, is looking at a drop around 46% or so. This would put the film's second weekend box office a little over
$9 million and we wouldn't be too surprised if it held on a little better, pushing its domestic cume over $30 million after ten days in release.
Rounding out the top five is Sony's
Peter Rabbit, which continues to be the primary family title in theaters right now and the benefit was seen last weekend as it dropped a best-in-the-top-ten 27%. This weekend we're expecting the film to top $80 million domestically with a three-day performance around
$8.4 million.
Outside the top five, keep an eye on Sony's
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle as it continues to push toward $400 million domestically; Universal's
Fifty Shades Freed is inching toward $100 million; and Fox's
The Greatest Showman should push close to $165 million by Sunday.
In limited release this weekend, A24 is releasing
The Vanishing of Sidney Hall into ten locations and Sony Classics will debut
Foxtrot in four theaters.
This weekend's forecast is directly below. This post will be updated on Friday morning with Thursday night preview results followed by Friday estimates on Saturday morning, and a complete weekend recap on Sunday morning.
- Black Panther (4,084 theaters) - $64.8 M
- Red Sparrow (3,056 theaters) - $19.3 M
- Death Wish (2,847 theaters) - $15.0 M
- Game Night (3,502 theaters) - $9.2 M
- Peter Rabbit (3,607 theaters) - $8.4 M
- Annihilation (2,112 theaters) - $5.9 M
- Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (2,313 theaters) - $4.2 M
- Fifty Shades Freed (2,609 theaters) - $3.3 M
- The Greatest Showman (1,407 theaters) - $2.4 M
- The 15:17 to Paris (1,803 theaters) - $1.8 M
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4375&p=.htm