Will We Know The Winner On Election Night?

[fu2]

My prediction: No one will know on election night.
1. Whomever is losing (Trump or Biden, moreso Trump) refuses to concede until all mail in votes are counted
2. Downstream effect, Gubernatorial, Senate and House races are also delayed as the losers of close races refuse to concede for same reason
3. Market drops on the uncertainty
4. Protests across major cities start by the weekend (hell I say 48 hours). Unfortunately a few lose their life by going too far.
5. If it's still too close within a week, 45 threatens to take legal action
6. Senate, house etc. races end
7. Supreme Court becomes involved by mid-late December
8. Some concedes a week before inauguration and it won't be Trump.
9. EPIC levels of protests begin

Bottom line, unless it's so overwhelming it can't be denied, 45 ain't going down with using everything he got at his disposal. Calling in favors from judges, Secretaries of State etc. The only way he concedes without being willing to take the country down too is if Biden promises to shield him from prosecution after he leaves office.

Oh yeah, all the while you looking at your coworkers, friends, neighbors, grocery shoppers crazy because everyone on higher alert. The 9 part season finale of this awful year starts next Tuesday

 

[Alex_J]

The Election That Could Break America

If the vote is close, Donald Trump could easily throw the election into chaos and subvert the result. Who will stop him?

www.theatlantic.com

I'm waiting to see what level of violence pops off.

best case: Biden wins FL and its over early
worst case: its close, Trump calls it, riots/violence breaks out.....the courts hand Biden the L.....more riots/violence...then later it comes out that Biden actually won FL....and Texas....and we on some John Connor resistance shit

Walmart pulls all firearms from shelves, citing fear of possible civil unrest on or after Election Day

​

 

[Alex_J]

 

[Coldchi]

Trump will file a lawsuit in every red state that turns blue....

 

[Rembrandt Brown]

"When all votes are counted" is a big caveat.

But an election night call seems likely if this forecast comes to fruition.



But maybe it should be "if" rather than "when." Which would possibly indicate a later result.

 

[footloose]

 

[Rembrandt Brown]

You can put money on this, with a 3 to 1 return if you bet on November 3rd and win. The return is slightly less if you bet November 4th-- more than 2:1-- and 10:1 or better for later possible dates.

PredictIt

www.predictit.org

The bet is based on both CNN and FOX calling it.

 

[TheFuser]

No matter the results, Trump is going to declare victory. He's gonna have some weird ass equation where some votes don't count so he actually won. And who's gonna stop him?

 

[Rembrandt Brown]

No matter the results, Trump is going to declare victory. He's gonna have some weird ass equation where some votes don't count so he actually won. And who's gonna stop him?

I'm not saying that answers the question of who will stop him but the media seems to be prepared for it.

 

[ThaBurgerPimp]

Trump will file a lawsuit in every red state that turns blue....

He bet-not file one for Arizona..all signs point to my state going blue

 

[ballscout1]

 

[REDLINE]

I’ve had this conversation a couple of times today. Living on the East Coast, I’ve known who the President was before I went to sleep by midnight\1am with the exception of 2000.

The projected winner was always announced that night and was the eventual winner.

 

[lazarus]

My prediction: No one will know on election night.
1. Whomever is losing (Trump or Biden, moreso Trump) refuses to concede until all mail in votes are counted
2. Downstream effect, Gubernatorial, Senate and House races are also delayed as the losers of close races refuse to concede for same reason
3. Market drops on the uncertainty
4. Protests across major cities start by the weekend (hell I say 48 hours). Unfortunately a few lose their life by going too far.
5. If it's still too close within a week, 45 threatens to take legal action
6. Senate, house etc. races end
7. Supreme Court becomes involved by mid-late December
8. Some concedes a week before inauguration and it won't be Trump.
9. EPIC levels of protests begin

Bottom line, unless it's so overwhelming it can't be denied, 45 ain't going down with using everything he got at his disposal. Calling in favors from judges, Secretaries of State etc. The only way he concedes without being willing to take the country down too is if Biden promises to shield him from prosecution after he leaves office.

Oh yeah, all the while you looking at your coworkers, friends, neighbors, grocery shoppers crazy because everyone on higher alert. The 9 part season finale of this awful year starts next Tuesday

refusing to concede and knowing the winner are two different things

 

[Rembrandt Brown]

I’ve had this conversation a couple of times today. Living on the East Coast, I’ve known who the President was before I went to sleep by midnight\1am with the exception of 2000.

The projected winner was always announced that night and was the eventual winner.

What's most ironic about Trump's "winner on election night" bullshit is that didn't even happen in 2016. Check the timestamp in the election call tweet in the OP.

 

[Rembrandt Brown]

 

[Rembrandt Brown]

I was looking at 538 and they give Trump a 74% chance of winning if he takes Pennsylvania!

Explore The Ways Trump Or Biden Could Win The Election

Choose whether President Trump or Joe Biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral votes and what their chance is of winning the Electoral College.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Biden has a 96% chance of winning if he takes it!

Explore The Ways Trump Or Biden Could Win The Election

Choose whether President Trump or Joe Biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral votes and what their chance is of winning the Electoral College.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

So their shitty vote counting structure will be pivotal.

If they count votes in time and Trump takes that state and Wisconsin, he could wrap it up on election night.

He has a 70% chance of winning if he takes Wisconsin. Vs 96% for Biden.

92% chance for Trump if he takes Pennsylvania and Florida.

Explore The Ways Trump Or Biden Could Win The Election

Choose whether President Trump or Joe Biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral votes and what their chance is of winning the Electoral College.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Lots of possibly determinative states on the east coast.

So much for an early night.

If Trump wins Florida, he’d shoot up to a 33 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, per our choose-your-own adventure interactive. The key question, of course, is how much a pro-Trump polling error in Florida would translate to other states.​

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020-election-results-coverage/​

 

[Rembrandt Brown]

This shit is not getting called tonight. The majority was wrong.

 

[therealjondoe]

This shit is not getting called tonight. The majority was wrong.

How?
Wtf are they doing there?

 

[xfactor]

Trump is way ahead in the betting odds.

like I said above, they already knew what was going down. This is all political theatre.

 

[Rembrandt Brown]

NATHANIEL RAKICH
NOV. 3, 11:13 PM
As you plan your sleep schedule for the rest of the week: We should have near-complete unofficial results from Wisconsin early tomorrow morning, as Milwaukee is expected to finish counting around 6 a.m. Eastern. Michigan originally said it would take until Friday to count all of its votes, but officials have revised that estimate to say they’ll be done tomorrow as well. Finally, Pennsylvania results probably won’t be known until Friday.

Biden Is Projected To Be The President-Elect. Here’s How It All Went Down.

Live election results and coverage of the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, and the race for the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives.

fivethirtyeight.com

 

[Soul On Ice]

dang

 

[RoomService]

"When all votes are counted" is a big caveat.

But an election night call seems likely if this forecast comes to fruition.



But maybe it should be "if" rather than "when." Which would possibly indicate a later result.

Nope

 

[Rembrandt Brown]

Nope

"413-125," he predicted.

I'm never listening to these people again.

 

[REDLINE]

I was wrong, I thought a winner would’ve been announced. The only time I can recall going to sleep and not knowing a winner was back in 2000.

 

[Rembrandt Brown]

49% said this would be over by tonight.

Will We Know The Winner On Election Night?

• Yes, at least by midnight on the west coast like in 2016
  Votes: 19 38.8%
  • publicenemy
  • althes
  • HeathCliff
  • ballscout1
  • afrosoul
  • BlackGoku
  • BronxBomber
  • julian
  • KAPE KRUSADER
  • EPDC
  • John Million
  • Blackouttt
  • thegamer97
  • djdrey
  • veritech
  • Big Phil98
  • killagram
  • Fresh1911
  • Rembrandt Brown
• Wednesday, November 4 (West coast time)
  Votes: 5 10.2%
  • sor326
  • callbacc
  • immortal91
  • jamiemelo
  • MisterT

 

[Rembrandt Brown]

49% said this would be over by tonight.

Will We Know The Winner On Election Night?

• Yes, at least by midnight on the west coast like in 2016
  Votes: 19 - 38.8%
  • publicenemy
  • althes
  • HeathCliff
  • ballscout1
  • afrosoul
  • BlackGoku
  • BronxBomber
  • julian
  • KAPE KRUSADER
  • EPDC
  • John Million
  • Blackouttt
  • thegamer97
  • djdrey
  • veritech
  • Big Phil98
  • killagram
  • Fresh1911
  • Rembrandt Brown
• Wednesday, November 4 (West coast time)
  Votes: 5 - 10.2%
  • sor326
  • callbacc
  • immortal91
  • jamiemelo
  • MisterT

Over 57% said we would know by now.

• Thursday, November 5
  Votes: 4 - 8.2%
• • darius_janus
  • prose00
  • blackpepper
  • tonydons2

 

[mcguyver]

Trump will file a lawsuit in every red state that turns blue....

 

[easy_b]

Please people go vote I have all the early we have to win.........wait a minute Joe Biden will be president on Wednesday never mind we did our job.