Red states not on the East Coast. New graduates ain’t trying to live in Mississippi, Alabama, or Arkansas
Gupta: The impacts of this—H-1B visas, fees going up, supply going down—are ultimately going to show up once Trump is out of office.
It takes anywhere from 4-6 years for a resident to graduate, get skilled, and get credentialed. So the policies going into effect today are going to rear their head as we enter the next election.
If fewer people are willing and able to take those jobs, what happens? The same thing happening with immigration more broadly—we’re just not going to have enough people to meet the demand for medical services every American is going to need at some point.
And the irony here is it’ll probably impact red states more than blue states. Red states are where there are more community hospitals, more rural hospitals, more places American medical grads tend not to gravitate toward. Instead, who fills the gap? Foreign medical grads—whose path Trump just made a lot more difficult.
So this will have significant impacts not just in the short term, but especially in the medium term. And that’s the irony of a lot of these policies—they’ll impact red states.