The Great Debate II

QueEx

Rising Star
Super Moderator
<font size="5"><center>It's debate night:
Which candidate will prove riskier?</font size></center>




McClatchy Newspapers
By Steven Thomma
Monday, October 6, 2008


NASHVILLE — Who does America want at the helm in a time of crisis, an erratic gambler or a dangerous radical?

That's the stark choice being portrayed by John McCain and Barack Obama as they prepare for their second debate Tuesday night — each is looking to frame the other in the darkest possible terms heading into the final month of the campaign.

Obama, having opened a lead and looking to seal the deal, heads into the debate portraying himself as the steady hand of calm leadership and slamming McCain as a knee-jerk hothead ill suited to handle the nation's crises, economic or otherwise.

McCain, looking to stop Obama's momentum, is hammering his rival's ties to controversial characters in Chicago as signs of his radical and unpredictable ways.

As both take aim, their shots are underscored by the continuing turmoil in the markets and fresh warnings Monday that the economy is in for tough times ahead despite Friday's approval of a $700 billion bank bailout.

Indeed, the economy is likely to dominate the questions posed to the two men Tuesday night. The 90-minute debate at Belmont University in Nashville, Tenn., will feature questions from a live audience in a town-hall format moderated by NBC's Tom Brokaw. It will be televised nationally starting at 9 p.m. Eastern time.

"In difficult times, people want a sense of calm reassurance," said Dennis Goldford, a political scientist at Drake University in Iowa. "Obama, as he did in the first debate, is going to try to come across as calm and reassuring. He's going to hit the economy hard and emphasize that McCain is erratic."

In the days and hours leading up to the debate, Obama was striving to portray McCain as a reckless leader who'd make impulsive, poorly reasoned moves with the country's future.

"Erratic in a crisis," says a new Obama ad of McCain. "Out of touch."

"Sen. McCain and his operatives are gambling that he can distract you," Obama said on Sunday, using the word "gambling" as a red flag to draw some connection between McCain's fondness for casino betting and his alleged style of leadership.

Obama's campaign also launched a new attack Monday on McCain's role in a the Keating Five savings-and-loan scandal, named for the head of a failed S&L and the five lawmakers charged with improperly helping him.

A Senate Ethics Committee inquiry ultimately cleared McCain of wrongdoing while rebuking him for "poor judgment."

McCain goes into the debate trailing in national polls and in surveys of many battleground states.

"McCain has to try to convince voters Obama is a risky choice," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Polling Institute at Quinnipiac University in Connecticut.

While Obama accuses McCain of being reckless, McCain is slamming Obama on taxes, and his running mate Sarah Palin is raising issues of character.

"You're going to learn a lot about who's the liberal and who's the conservative and who wants to raise your taxes and who wants to lower them," McCain said in Colorado recently.

Palin spent the days leading to the debate ripping Obama for his past ties to 1960s radical William Ayers, who's refused to apologize for his role in a group that bombed U.S. buildings to protest the Vietnam War. He's now a Chicago college professor.

Ayers hosted a 1995 campaign reception for Obama and the two men served together in the 1990s on a charity's board. Ayers also advised a separate board that Obama chaired that was concerned with distributing donated money for Chicago schools.

Obama has condemned Ayers' anti-war violence, which occurred when Obama was a child. There's no evidence that the two men are close now, although they live in the same Chicago neighborhood.



http://www.mcclatchydc.com/227/story/53555.html
 
<font size="5"><center>
Town-Hall Debates
Can Go Very Wrong for a Candidate

</font size></center>



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<font size="5"><center>Survey: Tuesday's debate moved
undecideds to Obama</font size></center>



McClatchy Newspapers
By Robert A. Rankin
Wednesday, October 8, 2008


WASHINGTON — Barack Obama beat John McCain in Tuesday night's debate in the eyes of undecided voters by 61 to 39 percent, according to a new online Ipsos/McClatchy poll.

Before the debate, the 389 undecided voters favored McCain by 55-45, but after it they shifted to favor Obama over McCain by 57-43 percent.

The online survey's value is like that of a large focus group; it is not a scientific random sample of the population, and so it has no statistical margin of error. Still, its results are illustrative of how many undecided voters perceived the debate.

While 57 percent said their opinion of each candidate wasn't changed much by the debate, 31 percent said it made them more favorable toward Obama, while only 18 percent said that about McCain.

McCain was judged more mean-spirited and disrespectful by 62 percent, to 38 percent who thought that about Obama. Fifty seven percent of the voters polled thought McCain demonstrated that he was tough enough to be president, while only 43 percent said that about Obama.

However, 65 percent said that Obama expressed his opinions more clearly, while only 35 percent thought that of McCain. Obama also was more likable, said 68 percent, versus 32 percent who said that of McCain.

Asked whom they trusted to handle the responsibilities of commander-in-chief, the voters polled favored McCain by 56-44 percent. He was favored 74-26 percent to defend the United States against foreign aggression, and by 61-39 percent to work with other countries to stop terrorism.

On the question of who'd better help the middle class achieve the American dream, Obama was favored by 73-27 percent, and by 63-37 percent on the question of who'd create more jobs. Such economic concerns are by far the dominant issues in American voters' mind at this point, recent surveys have found.

Obama also was favored 69-31 percent as to who'd better bring change to Washington, and by 58-42 percent on who'd get America on the right track.

How the poll was conducted. These are some of the findings of an Ipsos online poll conducted October 7-8. For this survey, a national sample of 389 undecided voters from Ipsos' U.S. online panel was interviewed online. Weighting then was employed to balance demographics and ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the U.S. adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls because they are based on samples drawn from opt-in online panels, not on random samples that mirror the population within a statistical probability ratio. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/53656.html
 
I suppose its clear that Obama was the victor of the 2nd round debate. You can tell that when the NRO is even admitting that Obama looked fresh and energized as opposed to McCain's stiff posture.
 
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