So when’s the housing bubble bursting?


Hmmm…

Inside The Rise Of America’s Fastest Growing City
July 24, 2025

In 2020, there were 17,000 people living in Princeton, Texas. It grew to 28,000 in two years and then to 37,000 last year, when it topped the Census Bureau's list of the fastest-growing cities in the country.

 

Top 10 least affordable housing markets and their house price-to-income ratios​

  1. Hong Kong 14.4
  2. Sydney 13.8
  3. San Jose, California 12.1
  4. Vancouver, Canada 11.8
  5. Los Angeles 11.2
  6. Adelaide, Australia 10.9
  7. Honolulu 10.8
  8. San Francisco 10
  9. Melbourne, Australia 9.7
  10. San Diego, California 9.5
 
Alarming report warns that huge number of once-valuable homes may soon be 'worthless': 'State of crisis'

Simon Sage
July 22, 2025


…California has been battered by catastrophic wildfires in recent years, leaving properties and lives in shambles.

Direct air capture company Deep Sky has released findings showing that one in five homes in the most extreme fire risk areas of California have lost insurance coverage since 2019. Many insurance companies pulled coverage just months before the record-setting Palisades fires in January 2025...
 

Top 10 least affordable housing markets and their house price-to-income ratios​

  1. Hong Kong 14.4
  2. Sydney 13.8
  3. San Jose, California 12.1
  4. Vancouver, Canada 11.8
  5. Los Angeles 11.2
  6. Adelaide, Australia 10.9
  7. Honolulu 10.8
  8. San Francisco 10
  9. Melbourne, Australia 9.7
  10. San Diego, California 9.5



Indeed.
 
Abandoned NYC airport will land 3,000 new homes, Mayor Eric Adams announces in ‘housing week’ kickoff

The marshy, abandoned Flushing Airport site in College Point, Queens will land 3,000 new homes under a plan announced Monday by Mayor Eric Adams. Construction is expected to begin in 2028, with New York City Building Trades unions providing both labor and pension fund dollars to finance the project, officials said.

By Hannah Fierick and Matt Troutman
July 28, 2025


pictometry-52295893.jpg

The 80-acre site has been abandoned for 40 years and largely reverted to wetlands.
 
Abandoned NYC airport will land 3,000 new homes, Mayor Eric Adams announces in ‘housing week’ kickoff

The marshy, abandoned Flushing Airport site in College Point, Queens will land 3,000 new homes under a plan announced Monday by Mayor Eric Adams. Construction is expected to begin in 2028, with New York City Building Trades unions providing both labor and pension fund dollars to finance the project, officials said.

By Hannah Fierick and Matt Troutman
July 28, 2025


pictometry-52295893.jpg

The 80-acre site has been abandoned for 40 years and largely reverted to wetlands.
I'd check those floodplane maps before I'll consider.
 


 
Damn I didn't even think homes were going for that much in the MidWest....Seems way overpriced and why build next to a train track??

This can not be one of the major home builders

I remember druing the height of COVID and remote working, there were all these stories of people moving to these bumfuck towns in flyover country (the large, but sparsely populated states like Idaho/Wyoming/Montana/Dakotas etc...) due to lower cost of living and wanting to get out of crowded cities.

I'm sure once they got out there and the reality of being relatively isolated in the middle of nowhere and long travels just to get to essential stores/gas stations, along with the return to the office movement, many of those people returned close to where they came from or to areas closer to big cities. I'd be interested in knowing relocation trends of the Covid years to the recent couple of years of how many people are returning to the larger states and close to cities.
 
I remember druing the height of COVID and remote working, there were all these stories of people moving to these bumfuck towns in flyover country (the large, but sparsely populated states like Idaho/Wyoming/Montana/Dakotas etc...) due to lower cost of living and wanting to get out of crowded cities.

I'm sure once they got out there and the reality of being relatively isolated in the middle of nowhere and long travels just to get to essential stores/gas stations, along with the return to the office movement, many of those people returned close to where they came from or to areas closer to big cities. I'd be interested in knowing relocation trends of the Covid years to the recent couple of years of how many people are returning to the larger states and close to cities.

Net domestic migration: Which states are gaining—and losing—Americans​


Summarize

While Sun Belt states like Texas and Florida continue to see positive net migration, it’s far less domestic migration than during the Pandemic Housing Boom.​

This month, the U.S. Census Bureau published their net domestic migration figures for 2024.
Keep in mind that this metric (net domestic migration) is NOT total population change. It doesn’t include births/deaths nor international migration.
Instead, net domestic migration is calculated as the difference between the number of Americans moving into a given state (in-migration) and the number of people leaving that state (out-migration) over a specific period.
These 5 states saw the biggest net domestic migration INCREASE between July 2023 and July 2024:
  1. Texas —> +85,267
  2. North Carolina —> +82,288
  3. South Carolina —> +68,043
  4. Florida —> +64,017
  5. Tennessee —> +48,476
These 5 states saw the biggest net domestic migration DECREASE between July 2023 and July 2024:
  1. California —> -239,575
  2. New York —> -120,917
  3. Illinois —> -56,235
  4. New Jersey —> -35,554
  5. Massachusetts —> -27,480
While Sun Belt states like Texas and Florida continue to see positive net migration, it’s FAR less unbound migration than those states saw during the height of the Pandemic Housing Boom.
Indeed, Florida saw net domestic migration of +64K in 2024, compared to +314K in 2022, while Texas saw net domestic migration of +85Kin 2024, compared to +222K in 2022.
To better illustrate the recent deceleration of domestic migration to Texas and Florida in the Sun Belt and how domestic migration patterns are shifting, ResiClub created maps of net migration from prior years. Keep in mind that the data published by the Census allows us to calculate shifts from July to July (e.g., July 2023 to July 2024) rather than exact calendar year net domestic migration.
Click here to view an interactive of the 2024 map below
FeN29-where-americans-moved-in-2024.png

Click here to view an interactive of the 2023 migration map below
OT6PM-where-americans-moved-in-2023.png

Click here to view an interactive of the 2022 migration map below
QqECh-where-americans-moved-in-2022.png

Click here to view an interactive of the 2021 migration map below
6NgQM-where-americans-moved-in-2021.png

Click here to view an interactive of the 2020 migration map below
uGLij-where-americans-moved-in-2020.png

Click here to view an interactive of the 2019 migration map below
sUCTs-where-americans-moved-in-2019.png

Migration shifts—and changes in the pace of migration—matter for the housing market, as they can shift the local supply-demand equilibrium.
Many of the softest housing markets, where homebuyers have gained leverage, are located in Sun Belt regions of the Gulf Coast and Mountain West. These areas were home to many of the nation’s top pandemic boomtowns, which experienced significant home price growth during the pandemic housing boom, which stretched housing affordability far beyond local income levels. Once offices reopened and mortgage rates spiked, pandemic-fueled migration quickly slowed in many parts of Texas and Florida.
Once that happened, markets like Punta Gorda, Florida and Austin, Texas faced challenges as they had to rely more on local incomes to sustain frothy home prices.
The housing market softening in these pandemic boomtown areas was further accelerated by the abundance of new home supply in the pipeline across the Sun Belt. Builders in these regions are often willing to reduce prices or make affordability adjustments to maintain sales. These adjustments in the new construction market also create a cooling effect on the resale market, as some buyers who might have opted for an existing home shift their focus to new homes where deals are still available.
The maps above show net domestic migration WITHOUT taking into context how big or small that shift is relative to the state’s population.
So to give another perspective on the data, we calculated net domestic migration shown as a ratio per 1,000 residents for 2024, 2022, and 2019.

This calculation shows that South Carolina is experiencing the largest influx of net domestic migration relative to its current population. For every 1,000 residents in South Carolina, the state added a net total of 12 new residents from other states.
Here’s the per capita shift in 2024
BwnLY-where-americans-moved-in-2024-a-per-capita-perspective__2_.png

Here’s the per capita shift in 2022
snEKR-where-americans-moved-in-2022-a-per-capita-perspective.png

Here’s the per capita shift in 2019
hvOcA-where-americans-moved-in-2019-a-per-capita-perspective.png
 
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