Katrina - Environmental, Ecological, Economic - Disaster

QueEx

Rising Star
Super Moderator
<font size="3">Most people who don't live along hurricane prone coastal areas probably think mostly about the wind damage, loss of electrical power and other conveniences, but take a look at the environmental, ecological and economic damage of a hurricane hitting a large metropolitan area, like New Orleans: </font size>

- With top winds of 160 mph and the power to lift sea level by as much as 28 feet above normal, the storm threatened an environmental disaster of biblical proportions, one that could leave more than 1 million people homeless;

- The center's latest computer simulations indicate that by Tuesday, vast swaths of New Orleans could be under water up to 30 feet deep. In the French Quarter, the water could reach 20 feet, easily submerging the district's iconic cast-iron balconies and bars;

- Estimates predict that 60 percent to 80 percent of the city's houses will be destroyed by wind. With the flood damage, most of the people who live in and around New Orleans could be homeless; "We're talking about in essence having - in the continental United States - having a refugee camp of a million people,"

- Experts have also warned that the ring of high levees around New Orleans, designed to protect the city from floodwaters coming down the Mississippi, will only make things worse in a powerful hurricane. Katrina is expected to push a 28-foot storm surge against the levees. Even if they hold, water will pour over their tops and begin filling the city as if it were a sinking canoe. After the storm passes, the water will have nowhere to go;

- In a few days, van Heerden predicts, emergency management officials are going to be wondering how to handle <u>a giant stagnant pond contaminated with building debris, coffins, sewage and other hazardous materials</u>, "We're talking about an incredible environmental disaster";

Excerpts from: http://apnews1.iwon.com//article/20050829/D8C97VM81.html?PG=home&SEC=news
 
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<font size="6"><center>The Geopolitics of Katrina</font size></center>

STRATFOR
Stratfor Red Alert - Breaking Intelligence
August 29, 2005

A Category 5 hurricane, the most severe type measured, Katrina has been reported heading directly toward the city of New Orleans. This would be a human catastrophe, since New Orleans sits in a bowl below sea level. However, Katrina is not only moving on New Orleans. It also is moving on the Port of Southern Louisiana. Were it to strike directly and furiously, Katrina would not only take a massive human toll, but also an enormous geopolitical one.

The Port of Southern Louisiana is the fifth-largest port in the world in terms of tonnage, and the largest port in the United States. The only global ports larger are Singapore, Rotterdam, Shanghai and Hong Kong. It is bigger than Houston, Chiba and Nagoya, Antwerp and New York/New Jersey. It is a key link in U.S. imports and exports and critical to the global economy.

The Port of Southern Louisiana stretches up and down the Mississippi River for about 50 miles, running north and south of New Orleans from St. James to St. Charles Parish. It is the key port for the export of grains to the rest of the world -- corn, soybeans, wheat and animal feed. Midwestern farmers and global consumers depend on those exports. The United States imports crude oil, petrochemicals, steel, fertilizers and ores through the port. Fifteen percent of all U.S. exports by value go through the port. Nearly half of the exports go to Europe.

The Port of Southern Louisiana is a river port. It depends on the navigability of the Mississippi River. The Mississippi is notorious for changing its course, and in southern Louisiana -- indeed along much of its length -- levees both protect the land from its water and maintain its course and navigability. Dredging and other maintenance are constant and necessary to maintain its navigability. It is fragile.

If New Orleans is hit, the Port of Southern Louisiana, by definition, also will be hit. No one can predict the precise course of the storm or its consequences. However, if we speculate on worse-case scenarios the following consequences jump out:

-=- The port might become in whole or part unusable if levees burst. If the damage to the river and port facilities could not be repaired within 30 days when the U.S. harvests are at their peak, the effect on global agricultural prices could be substantial.

-=- There is a large refinery at Belle Chasse. It is the only refinery that is seriously threatened by the storm, but if it were to be inundated, 250,000 barrels per day would go off line. Moreover, the threat of environmental danger would be substantial.

-=- About 2 percent of world crude production and roughly 25 percent of U.S.-produced crude comes from the Gulf of Mexico and already is affected by Katrina. Platforms in the path of Katrina have been evacuated but others continue pumping. If this follows normal patterns, most production will be back on line within hours or days. However, if a Category 5 hurricane (of which there have only been three others in history) has a different effect, the damage could be longer lasting. Depending on the effect on the Port of Southern Louisiana, the ability to ship could be affected.

-=- A narrow, two-lane highway that handles approximately 10,000 vehicles a day, is used for transport of cargo and petroleum products and provides port access for thousands of employees is threatened with closure. A closure of as long as two weeks could rapidly push gasoline prices higher.

At a time when oil prices are in the mid-60-dollar range and starting to hurt, the hurricane has an obvious effect. However, it must be borne in mind that the Mississippi remains a key American shipping route, particularly for the export and import of a variety of primary commodities from grain to oil, as well as steel and rubber. Andrew Jackson fought hard to keep the British from taking New Orleans because he knew it was the main artery for U.S. trade with the world. He was right and its role has not changed since then.

This is not a prediction. We do not know the path of the storm and we cannot predict its effects. It is a warning that if a Category 5 hurricane hits the Port of Southern Louisiana and causes the damage that is merely at the outer reach of the probable, <font size="4">the effect on the global system will be substantial.</font size>

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US govt mulls crude loans to refiners

US govt mulls crude loans to refiners
By Chris Baltimore
Mon Aug 29,11:00 AM ET

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Bush administration said Monday it would consider loaning crude oil from the government's emergency stockpile, if requested by U.S. refiners facing delayed shipments due to Hurricane Katrina.

"Certainly that option is on the table and it is a possibility based on what we have done in the past with other hurricanes," an Energy Department spokesman said.

However, the Energy Department has not yet received a formal request for loans from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), a crucial administrative step that starts the decision-making process, the spokesman said.

"There hasn't been a request yet, and we aren't going to make a decision before there is a request."

Hurricane Katrina slammed into the Louisiana coast on Monday with 140 mile per hour winds in a blow aimed at the heart if the U.S. oil patch.

"We are in contact with individuals down at the SPR, and also with oil producing companies and refiners," the spokesman said. "We'll have more information in the next 24 to 48 hours on which we can base any kind of recommendation or decision."

An estimated 633,000 barrels of daily crude oil production, 42 percent of the daily average output from the Gulf Coast, was halted as of Sunday because of Katrina.

At least eight refineries with a combined capacity of 1.8 million bpd were also shut down, according to operators.

The U.S. government loaned, or "exchanged," some 5.4 million barrels of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve last year following supply disruptions caused by Hurricane Ivan.

Democrats on Monday renewed their calls for the administration to tap the reserve as crude oil futures hovered near $70 a barrel.

"Skyrocketing gas prices have tipped consumers upside down this summer and to protect our economy, the President should act immediately to tap the SPR," Sen. Chuck Schumer of New York said.

Crude oil prices soared on worries that Hurricane Katrina would disrupt the already delicate balance between U.S. gasoline supply and demand. In overnight trading, crude oil futures for October delivery set a record high of $70.80 a barrel.

The government stockpile consists of more than 700 million barrels of crude oil stored in underground salt caverns in Louisiana and Texas.

http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20050829/bs_nm/weather_katrina_oil_stockpile_dc_3
 
Re: US govt mulls crude loans to refiners

dude my neighborhood is gone my house is still there and unflooded but that is only because it is 2 stories on elevated ground...
im so fucked...
as with every one else from N.O to mobile
 
Re: US govt mulls crude loans to refiners

twiggy said:
dude my neighborhood is gone my house is still there and unflooded but that is only because it is 2 stories on elevated ground...
im so fucked...
as with every one else from N.O to mobile
.... just able to emerge myself dawg .... getting my head above water in Mobile. The devastation is as you say and rescue operations are on-going. I've got a generator going right now -- but fuel supplies are next to none, food is an immediate problem and anything cool to drink or a piece of ice to put on my or my kids tongues is worth its weight in gold.

QueEx
 
Re: US govt mulls crude loans to refiners

<font size="6"><center>Crews Pass Dead to Reach Storm Survivors</font size></center>

Aug 30, 10:57 PM (ET)

By BRETT MARTEL

NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Rescuers along the hurricane-ravaged Gulf Coast pushed aside the dead to reach the living Tuesday in a race against time and rising waters, while New Orleans sank deeper into crisis and Louisiana's governor ordered storm refugees out of this drowning city.

Two levees broke and sent water coursing into the streets of the Big Easy a full day after New Orleans appeared to have escaped widespread destruction from Hurricane Katrina. An estimated 80 percent of the below-sea-level city was under water, up to 20 feet deep in places, with miles and miles of homes swamped.

"The situation is untenable," Gov. Kathleen Blanco said. "It's just heartbreaking."

One Mississippi county alone said its death toll was at least 100, and officials are "very, very worried that this is going to go a lot higher," said Joe Spraggins, civil defense director for Harrison County, home to Biloxi and Gulfport.

Thirty of the victims in the county were from a beachfront apartment building that collapsed under a 25-foot wall of water as Katrina slammed the Gulf Coast with 145-mph winds. And Louisiana officials said many were feared dead there, too, making Katrina one of the most punishing storms to hit the United States in decades.

After touring the destruction by air, Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour said it is not of case of homes being severely damaged, "they're simply not there. ... I can only imagine that this is what Hiroshima looked like 60 years ago."

New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin said hundreds, if not thousands, of people may still be stuck on roofs and in attics, and so rescue boats were bypassing the dead.

"We're not even dealing with dead bodies," Nagin said. "They're just pushing them on the side."

The flooding in New Orleans grew worse by the minute, prompting the evacuation of hotels and hospitals and an audacious plan to drop huge sandbags from helicopters to close up one of the breached levees. At the same time, looting broke out in some neighborhoods, the sweltering city of 480,000 had no drinkable water, and the electricity could be out for weeks.

With water rising perilously inside the Superdome, Blanco said the tens of thousands of refugees now huddled there and other shelters in New Orleans would have to be evacuated.

She asked residents to spend Wednesday in prayer.

"That would be the best thing to calm our spirits and thank our Lord that we are survivors," she said. "Slowly, gradually, we will recover; we will survive; we will rebuild."

A helicopter view of the devastation over the New Orleans area revealed people standing on black rooftops baking in the sunshine while waiting for rescue boats. A row of desperately needed ambulances were lined up on the interstate, water blocking their path. Roller coasters jutted out from the water at a Six Flags amusement park. Hundreds of inmates were seen standing on a highway because the prison had been flooded.

Sen. Mary Landrieu quietly traced the sign of the cross across her head and chest as she looked out at St. Bernard Parish, where only roofs peaked out from the water.

"The whole parish is gone," Landrieu said.

All day long, rescuers in boats and helicopters pulled out shellshocked and bedraggled flood refugees from rooftops and attics. The Coast Guard said it has rescued 1,200 people by boat and air, some placed shivering and wet into helicopter baskets. They were brought by the truckload into shelters, some in wheelchairs and some carrying babies, with stories of survival and of those who didn't make it.

"Oh my God, it was hell," said Kioka Williams, who had to hack through the ceiling of the beauty shop where she worked as floodwaters rose in New Orleans' low-lying Ninth Ward. "We were screaming, hollering, flashing lights. It was complete chaos."

Frank Mills was in a boarding house in the same neighborhood when water started swirling up toward the ceiling and he fled to the roof. Two elderly residents never made it out, and a third was washed away trying to climb onto the roof.

"He was kind of on the edge of the roof, catching his breath," Mills said. "Next thing I knew, he came floating past me."

Across Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama, more than 1 million residents remained without electricity, some without clean drinking water. An untold number who heeded evacuation orders were displaced and 40,000 were in Red Cross shelters, with officials saying it could be weeks, if not months, before most will be able to return.

Emergency medical teams from across the country were sent into the region and President Bush cut short his Texas vacation Tuesday to return to Washington to focus on the storm damage.

Federal Emergency Management Agency director Mike Brown warned that structural damage to homes, diseases from animal carcasses and chemicals in floodwaters made it unsafe for residents to come home anytime soon. And a mass return also was discouraged to keep from interfering with rescue and recovery efforts.

That was made tough enough by the vast expanse of floodwaters in coastal areas that took an eight-hour pounding from Katrina's howling winds and up to 15 inches of rainfall. From the air, neighborhood after neighborhood looked like nothing but islands of rooftops surrounded by swirling, tea-colored water.

In New Orleans, the flooding actually got worse Tuesday. Failed pumps and levees apparently spilled water from Lake Pontchartrain into streets. The rising water forced hotels to evacuate, led a hospital to boatlift patients to emergency shelters, and drove the staff of New Orleans' Times-Picayune newspaper out of its offices.

Officials planned to use helicopters to drop 3,000-pound sandbags and dozens of giant concrete barriers into the breach, and expressed confidence the problem could be solved. But if the water rose a couple feet higher, it could wipe out water system for whole city, said New Orleans' homeland security chief Terry Ebbert.

A clearer picture of the destruction in Alabama became to emerge Tuesday: cement slabs where homes once stood, a 100-foot shrimp boat smoldering on its side, people searching for swept-away keepsakes. The damage in some areas appears to be worse than last year's Hurricane Ivan.

In devastated Biloxi, Miss., areas that were not underwater were littered with tree trunks, downed power lines and chunks of broken concrete. Some buildings were flattened.

The string of floating barge casinos crucial to the coastal economy were a shambles. At least three of them were picked up by the storm surge and carried inland, their barnacle-covered hulls sitting up to 200 yards inland.

The deadliest spot yet appeared to be Biloxi's Quiet Water Beach apartments, where authorities said about 30 people were washed away. All that was left of the red-brick building was a concrete slab.

"We grabbed a lady and pulled her out the window and then we swam with the current," 55-year-old Joy Schovest said through tears. "It was terrifying. You should have seen the cars floating around us. We had to push them away when we were trying to swim."

Said Biloxi Mayor A. J. Holloway: "This is our tsunami."

Looting became a problem in both Biloxi and in New Orleans, in some cases in full view of police and National Guardsmen. One police officer was shot in the head by a looter in New Orleans, but was expected to recover, Sgt. Paul Accardo, a police spokesman.

On New Orleans' Canal Street, which actually resembled a canal, dozens of looters ripped open the steel gates on clothing and jewelry stores, some packing plastic garbage cans with loot to float down the street. One man, who had about 10 pairs of jeans draped over his left arm, was asked if he was salvaging things from his store.

"No," the man shouted, "that's EVERYBODY'S store!"

Looters at a Wal-Mart brazenly loaded up shopping carts with items including micorwaves, coolers and knife sets. Others walked out of a sporting goods store on Canal Street with armfuls of shoes and football jerseys.

Outside the broken shells of Biloxi's casinos, people picked through slot machines to see if they still contained coins and ransacked other businesses. "People are just casually walking in and filling up garbage bags and walking off like they're Santa Claus," said Marty Desei, owner of a Super 8 motel.

Insurance experts estimated the storm will result in up to $25 billion in insured losses. That means Katrina could prove more costly than record-setting Hurricane Andrew in 1992, which caused an inflation-adjusted $21 billion in losses.

Oil prices jumped by more than $3 a barrel on Tuesday, climbing above $70 a barrel, amid uncertainty about the extent of the damage to the Gulf region's refineries and drilling platforms.

By midday Tuesday, Katrina was downgraded to a tropical depression, with winds around 35 mph. It was moving northeast through Tennessee at around 21 mph, with the potential to dump 8 inches of rain and spin off deadly tornadoes.

Katrina left 11 people dead in its soggy jog across South Florida last week, as a much weaker storm.

---

Associated Press reporters Holbrook Mohr, Mary Foster, Allen G. Breed, Brett Martel, Adam Nossiter and Jay Reeves contributed to this report.
 
Re: US govt mulls crude loans to refiners

<font size="6"><center>Gas Could Top $3 This Weekend</font size></center>
<font size="3"><center>Extent of Damage to Energy Production
In Gulf From Katrina Still Unknown</font size></center>

By Nell Henderson
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, August 31, 2005; Page D01

Oil prices surged yesterday and gasoline prices were poised to top $3 a gallon by Labor Day weekend as oil companies and federal officials began assessing Hurricane Katrina's damage to the heart of the nation's energy production.

The powerful storm left the regional economy largely paralyzed yesterday across a swath of coastal territory in the Gulf of Mexico.

Nearly 3 million households, businesses and other customers were without power in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Florida, the Energy Department said. Telephone service remained erratic. Transportation of goods and people continued to be blocked by closed airports and seaports, flooded roads, and train tracks littered with debris.

Wholesale gasoline prices surged to levels that, if sustained, will translate to more than $3 a gallon at the pump within days, after typical retail markups are added, analysts said.

The Energy Department said yesterday it was considering one company's request for a loan from the nation's Strategic Petroleum Reserve, an emergency supply of nearly 700 million barrels of oil stored in underground caverns along the coast of the Gulf of Mexico. The department "will review any additional requests if they are made," spokesman Craig Stevens said.

The government loaned 5.4 million barrels of crude oil last year to refineries whose supplies disrupted by Hurricane Ivan.

But if the refineries are not up and operating, they will not be able to turn the extra oil into gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel and heating oil, analysts said.

Oil from the reserve "can prevent oil prices from going to $80 a barrel . . .

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/08/30/AR2005083001877.html
 
Re: US govt mulls crude loans to refiners

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<font size="6"><center>New Orleans: A Geopolitical Prize</font size></center>
<font size="3"><center>
"... it is not the population that is trapped
in New Orleans that is of geopolitical significance:
It is the population that has left and has
nowhere to return to"</font size></center>

Geopolitical Intelligence Report
By George Friedman
September 1, 2004

The American political system was founded in Philadelphia, but the American nation was built on the vast farmlands that stretch from the Alleghenies to the Rockies. That farmland produced the wealth that funded American industrialization: It permitted the formation of a class of small landholders who, amazingly, could produce more than they could consume. They could sell their excess crops in the east and in Europe and save that money, which eventually became the founding capital of American industry.

But it was not the extraordinary land nor the farmers and ranchers who alone set the process in motion. Rather, it was geography -- the extraordinary system of rivers that flowed through the Midwest and allowed them to ship their surplus to the rest of the world. All of the rivers flowed into one -- the Mississippi -- and the Mississippi flowed to the ports in and around one city: New Orleans. It was in New Orleans that the barges from upstream were unloaded and their cargos stored, sold and reloaded on ocean-going vessels. Until last Sunday, New Orleans was, in many ways, the pivot of the American economy.

For that reason, the Battle of New Orleans in January 1815 was a key moment in American history. Even though the battle occurred after the War of 1812 was over, had the British taken New Orleans, we suspect they wouldn't have given it back. Without New Orleans, the entire Louisiana Purchase would have been valueless to the United States. Or, to state it more precisely, the British would control the region because, at the end of the day, the value of the Purchase was the land and the rivers - which all converged on the Mississippi and the ultimate port of New Orleans. The hero of the battle was Andrew Jackson, and when he became president, his obsession with Texas had much to do with keeping the Mexicans away from New Orleans.

During the Cold War, a macabre topic of discussion among bored graduate students who studied such things was this: If the Soviets could destroy one city with a large nuclear device, which would it be? The usual answers were Washington or New York. For me, the answer was simple: New Orleans. If the Mississippi River was shut to traffic, then the foundations of the economy would be shattered. The industrial minerals needed in the factories wouldn't come in, and the agricultural wealth wouldn't flow out. Alternative routes really weren't available. The Germans knew it too: A U-boat campaign occurred near the mouth of the Mississippi during World War II. Both the Germans and Stratfor have stood with Andy Jackson: New Orleans was the prize.

Last Sunday, nature took out New Orleans almost as surely as a nuclear strike. Hurricane Katrina's geopolitical effect was not, in many ways, distinguishable from a mushroom cloud. The key exit from North America was closed. The petrochemical industry, which has become an added value to the region since Jackson's days, was at risk. The navigability of the Mississippi south of New Orleans was a question mark. New Orleans as a city and as a port complex had ceased to exist, and it was not clear that it could recover.

The Ports of South Louisiana and New Orleans, which run north and south of the city, are as important today as at any point during the history of the republic. On its own merit, POSL is the largest port in the United States by tonnage and the fifth-largest in the world. It exports more than 52 million tons a year, of which more than half are agricultural products -- corn, soybeans and so on. A large proportion of U.S. agriculture flows out of the port. Almost as much cargo, nearly 17 million tons, comes in through the port -- including not only crude oil, but chemicals and fertilizers, coal, concrete and so on.

A simple way to think about the New Orleans port complex is that it is where the bulk commodities of agriculture go out to the world and the bulk commodities of industrialism come in. The commodity chain of the global food industry starts here, as does that of American industrialism. If these facilities are gone, more than the price of goods shifts: The very physical structure of the global economy would have to be reshaped. Consider the impact to the U.S. auto industry if steel doesn't come up the river, or the effect on global food supplies if U.S. corn and soybeans don't get to the markets.

The problem is that there are no good shipping alternatives. River transport is cheap, and most of the commodities we are discussing have low value-to-weight ratios. The U.S. transport system was built on the assumption that these commodities would travel to and from New Orleans by barge, where they would be loaded on ships or offloaded. Apart from port capacity elsewhere in the United States, there aren't enough trucks or rail cars to handle the long-distance hauling of these enormous quantities -- assuming for the moment that the economics could be managed, which they can't be.

The focus in the media has been on the oil industry in Louisiana and Mississippi. This is not a trivial question, but in a certain sense, it is dwarfed by the shipping issue. First, Louisiana is the source of about 15 percent of U.S.-produced petroleum, much of it from the Gulf. The local refineries are critical to American infrastructure. Were all of these facilities to be lost, the effect on the price of oil worldwide would be extraordinarily painful. If the river itself became unnavigable or if the ports are no longer functioning, however, the impact to the wider economy would be significantly more severe. In a sense, there is more flexibility in oil than in the physical transport of these other commodities.

There is clearly good news as information comes in. By all accounts, the Louisiana Offshore Oil Port, which services supertankers in the Gulf, is intact. Port Fourchon, which is the center of extraction operations in the Gulf, has sustained damage but is recoverable. The status of the oil platforms is unclear and it is not known what the underwater systems look like, but on the surface, the damage - though not trivial -- is manageable.

The news on the river is also far better than would have been expected on Sunday. The river has not changed its course. No major levees containing the river have burst. The Mississippi apparently has not silted up to such an extent that massive dredging would be required to render it navigable. Even the port facilities, although apparently damaged in many places and destroyed in few, are still there. The river, as transport corridor, has not been lost.

What has been lost is the city of New Orleans and many of the residential suburban areas around it. The population has fled, leaving behind a relatively small number of people in desperate straits. Some are dead, others are dying, and the magnitude of the situation dwarfs the resources required to ameliorate their condition. But it is not the population that is trapped in New Orleans that is of geopolitical significance: It is the population that has left and has nowhere to return to.

The oil fields, pipelines and ports required a skilled workforce in order to operate. That workforce requires homes. They require stores to buy food and other supplies. Hospitals and doctors. Schools for their children. In other words, in order to operate the facilities critical to the United States, you need a workforce to do it -- and that workforce is gone. Unlike in other disasters, that workforce cannot return to the region because they have no place to live. New Orleans is gone, and the metropolitan area surrounding New Orleans is either gone or so badly damaged that it will not be inhabitable for a long time.

It is possible to jury-rig around this problem for a short time. But the fact is that those who have left the area have gone to live with relatives and friends. Those who had the ability to leave also had networks of relationships and resources to manage their exile. But those resources are not infinite -- and as it becomes apparent that these people will not be returning to New Orleans any time soon, they will be enrolling their children in new schools, finding new jobs, finding new accommodations. If they have any insurance money coming, they will collect it. If they have none, then -- whatever emotional connections they may have to their home -- their economic connection to it has been severed. In a very short time, these people will be making decisions that will start to reshape population and workforce patterns in the region.

A city is a complex and ongoing process - one that requires physical infrastructure to support the people who live in it and people to operate that physical infrastructure. We don't simply mean power plants or sewage treatment facilities, although they are critical. Someone has to be able to sell a bottle of milk or a new shirt. Someone has to be able to repair a car or do surgery. And the people who do those things, along with the infrastructure that supports them, are gone -- and they are not coming back anytime soon.

It is in this sense, then, that it seems almost as if a nuclear weapon went off in New Orleans. The people mostly have fled rather than died, but they are gone. Not all of the facilities are destroyed, but most are. It appears to us that New Orleans and its environs have passed the point of recoverability. The area can recover, to be sure, but only with the commitment of massive resources from outside -- and those resources would always be at risk to another Katrina.

The displacement of population is the crisis that New Orleans faces. It is also a national crisis, because the largest port in the United States cannot function without a city around it. The physical and business processes of a port cannot occur in a ghost town, and right now, that is what New Orleans is. It is not about the facilities, and it is not about the oil. It is about the loss of a city's population and the paralysis of the largest port in the United States.

Let's go back to the beginning. The United States historically has depended on the Mississippi and its tributaries for transport. Barges navigate the river. Ships go on the ocean. The barges must offload to the ships and vice versa. There must be a facility to empower this exchange. It is also the facility where goods are stored in transit. Without this port, the river can't be used. Protecting that port has been, from the time of the Louisiana Purchase, a fundamental national security issue for the United States.

Katrina has taken out the port -- not by destroying the facilities, but by rendering the area uninhabited and potentially uninhabitable. That means that even if the Mississippi remains navigable, the absence of a port near the mouth of the river makes the Mississippi enormously less useful than it was. For these reasons, the United States has lost not only its biggest port complex, but also the utility of its river transport system -- the foundation of the entire American transport system. There are some substitutes, but none with sufficient capacity to solve the problem.

It follows from this that the port will have to be revived and, one would assume, the city as well. The ports around New Orleans are located as far north as they can be and still be accessed by ocean-going vessels. The need for ships to be able to pass each other in the waterways, which narrow to the north, adds to the problem. Besides, the Highway 190 bridge in Baton Rouge blocks the river going north. New Orleans is where it is for a reason: The United States needs a city right there.

New Orleans is not optional for the United States' commercial infrastructure. It is a terrible place for a city to be located, but exactly the place where a city must exist. With that as a given, a city will return there because the alternatives are too devastating. The harvest is coming, and that means that the port will have to be opened soon. As in Iraq, premiums will be paid to people prepared to endure the hardships of working in New Orleans. But in the end, the city will return because it has to.

Geopolitics is the stuff of permanent geographical realities and the way they interact with political life. Geopolitics created New Orleans. Geopolitics caused American presidents to obsess over its safety. And geopolitics will force the city's resurrection, even if it is in the worst imaginable place.
 
Nice history lesson on the NO and its importance to the economy as a path to the bloodline of america, the mississipi river.
 
Katrina losses seen topping 100 billion dollars

Katrina losses seen topping 100 billion dollars
27 minutes ago

WASHINGTON (AFP) - Economic losses from Hurricane Katrina's deadly carnage could top 100 billion dollars, forecasters said as oil and port operators battled to resume operations.

Risk Management Solutions said at least half the 100-billion-dollar losses it predicted would come from flooding in New Orleans, wind damage and coastal surges, tattered infrastructure and indirect economic effects.

RMS, a consultant for the insurance and finance industries, said the New Orleans disaster "has developed into the most damaging flood in US history," with at least 150,000 properties inundated.

Treasury Secretary John Snow said the US economy would see "somewhat slower growth" for a few months.

"Clearly this will be a challenging time for the economy. The fortunate thing is that the economy is performing so well," he told reporters after crisis talks with Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan.

The 100-billion-dollar figure would dwarf previous natural disasters in the United States, forecasters said, and could rival losses from the terror attacks of September 11, 2001.

In terms of insurance losses alone, industry forecasters have said Katrina could entail payouts of at least 25 billion dollars.

But RMS said those forecasts did not take into account the mammoth costs of rebuilding New Orleans, much of which is under water after levees protecting the city from a lake and the Mississippi River collapsed.

Katrina has been so devastating because aside from levelling New Orleans and the surrounding area, it affected major oil refineries, ports, pipelines and highways.

"This is far and away off the charts in terms of other natural disasters," Global Insight spokesman Jim Dorsey said.

Global Insight projects insured losses from Katrina will top 25 billion dollars.

"But a lot of folks down there are uninsured so it's conceivable that the real loss figure could double or triple to upwards of 75 billion," Dorsey said.

"Then with the total impact thrown in, the figure for damages should be much higher than that."

In terms of economic output, the worst-hit states of Louisiana and Mississippi contribute just two percent of total US gross domestic product.

But the region is a vital shipping hub for US agricultural and industrial exports, and a host of imports including crude oil.

Katrina's fury has had a direct impact already on global oil markets and petrol pump prices across the United States, with gasoline now topping three dollars a gallon (3.78 litres) in many areas.

Some gas stations are running dry because of panic buying and shortages, according to motorists' organisations.

However, there were signs of recovery on Friday as the oil industry limped back to life.

The major Plantation pipeline was 95 percent back up and running, officials said. The Louisiana Offshore Oil Port (LOOP) began unloading its first supertanker since Hurricane Katrina swept through.

According to the latest government figures, another Gulf Coast refinery is resuming operations to leave eight refineries still shut down.

Oil prices were also soothed by news that the United States and its partners in the 26-nation International Energy Agency will flood the market with 60 million barrels of oil and gasoline taken from emergency reserves.

Economists predict that Katrina will knock half a percentage point off US growth in the third and fourth quarters. That could rise if refineries and other vital installations remain shut down for long, they say.

"Katrina is very big and, in economic terms, very deep," Cumberland Advisors chairman David Kotok said.

But some predict a big rebound once the clear-up is complete in New Orleans and elsewhere.

"History is littered with earlier examples of natural disasters that curtail and then jump-start economic growth," Societe Generale economist Stephen Gallagher said.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20050902/bs_afp/usweathereconomy_050902231332
 
cranrab said:
QE,

hope you and your fam are coping well.
Thanks for the concern CR. We're making it and conditions are improving, but N.O. is just breaking my heart.

QueEx
 
<font size="5"><center>Models predicted New Orleans disaster, experts say</font size></center>

Reuters
Fri 2 Sep 2005 11:49 AM ET
By Alan Elsner

WASHINGTON, Sept 2 (Reuters) - Virtually everything that has happened in New Orleans since Hurricane Katrina struck was predicted by experts and in computer models, so emergency management specialists wonder why authorities were so unprepared.

"The scenario of a major hurricane hitting New Orleans was well anticipated, predicted and drilled around," said Clare Rubin, an emergency management consultant who also teaches at the Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management at George Washington University.

Computer models developed at Louisiana State University and other institutions made detailed projections of what would happen if water flowed over the levees protecting the city or if they failed.

In July 2004, more than 40 federal, state, local and volunteer organizations practiced this very scenario in a five-day simulation code-named "Hurricane Pam", where they had to deal with an imaginary storm that destroyed over half a million buildings in New Orleans and forced the evacuation of a million residents.

At the end of the exercise Ron Castleman, regional director for the Federal Emergency Management Agency declared: "We made great progress this week in our preparedness efforts.

"Disaster response teams developed action plans in critical areas such as search and rescue, medical care, sheltering, temporary housing, school restoration and debris management. These plans are essential for quick response to a hurricane but will also help in other emergencies," he said.

In light of that, said disaster expert Bill Waugh of Georgia State University, "It's inexplicable how unprepared for the flooding they were." He said a slow decline over several years in funding for emergency management was partly to blame.

In comments on Thursday, President George W. Bush said, "I don't think anybody anticipated the breach of the levees."

But Louisiana State University engineer Joseph Suhayda and others have warned for years that defenses could fail. In 2002, the New Orleans Times Picayune published a five-part series on "The Big One" examining what might happen if they did.

SCENARIO LAID OUT

It predicted that 200,000 people or more would be unwilling or unable to heed evacuation orders and thousands would die, that people would be housed in the Superdome, that aid workers would find it difficult to gain access to the city as roads became impassable, as well as many other of the consequences that actually unfolded after Katrina hit this week.

Craig Marks who runs Blue Horizons Consulting, an emergency management training company in North Carolina, said the authorities had mishandled the evacuation, neglecting to help those without transportation to leave the city.

"They could have packed people on trains or buses and gotten them out before the hurricane struck. They had enough time and access to federal funds. And now, we find we do not have a proper emergency communications infrastructure so aid workers get out into the field and they can't talk to one another," he said.

Most of those trapped by the floods in the city of some 500,000 people are the poor who had little chance to leave.

Ernest Sternberg, a professor of urban and regional planning at the University of Buffalo, said law enforcement agencies were often more eager to invest in high tech "toys" than basic communications.

"It's well known that communications go down in disasters but people on the frontlines still don't invest in them. A lot of the investments that have been made in homeland security have been misspent," he said.

Several experts also believe the decision to make FEMA a part of the Department of Homeland Security, created after the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks, was a major mistake. Rubin said FEMA functioned well in the 1990s as a small, independent agency.

"Under DHS, it was downgraded, buried in a couple of layers of bureaucracy, and terrorism prevention got all the attention and most of the funds," she said.

Former FEMA director James Lee Witt testified to Congress in March 2004: "I am extremely concerned that the ability of our nation to prepare for and respond to disasters has been sharply eroded.

"I hear from emergency managers, local and state leaders, and first responders nearly every day that the FEMA they knew and worked well with has now disappeared. In fact one state emergency manager told me, 'It is like a stake has been driven into the heart of emergency management,'" he said.

Underlying the situation has been the general reluctance of government at any level to invest in infrastructure or emergency management, said David McEntire, who teaches emergency management at the University of North Texas.

"No-one cares about disasters until they happen. That is a political fact of life," he said.

"Emergency management is woefully underfunded in this nation. That covers not only first responders but also warning, evacuation, damage assessment, volunteer management, donation management and recovery and mitigation issues," he said.

http://today.reuters.com/News/CrisesArticle.aspx?storyId=N02521178
 
QueEx said:
Thanks for the concern CR. We're making it and conditions are improving, but N.O. is just breaking my heart.

QueEx
your heart is not the only one breaking
Im glad you're OK Que. So far Deuce is still missing out of the 5 N.O. BGOL posters I know of.
 
Dolemite said:
your heart is not the only one breaking
Im glad you're OK Que. So far Deuce is still missing out of the 5 N.O. BGOL posters I know of.
Lets keep him in our prayers. And, if you
don't pray, then wish like a mofo !!! lmbao

QueEx
 
QueEx said:
Lets keep him in our prayers. And, if you
don't pray, then wish like a mofo !!! lmbao

QueEx
lmbao! with mad rabbits feet n shit

naw i honestly hope that dude is alright -
 
glad you're safe and sound QE, I had completely forgotten you were down there.

yeah, and Deuce mentioned he was gonna stay at home and ride it out. Hope he's alright.

Man, this is sad. They're finding a lot of bodies now, I don't want to think about how many total deaths there were, but I bet there will still be a large number unaccounted for and will never be found.
 
Few choices to rid New Orleans of poisoned water

Few choices to rid New Orleans of poisoned water
By Jim Loney
2 hours, 24 minutes ago

BATON ROUGE, Louisiana (Reuters) - The toxic brew of chemicals and human waste in the New Orleans floodwaters will have to be pumped into the Mississippi River or Lake Pontchartrain, raising the specter of an environmental disaster on the heels of Hurricane Katrina, experts say.

The dire need to rid the drowned city of water could trigger fish kills and poison the delicate wetlands near New Orleans and the Gulf of Mexico at the mouth of the Mississippi.

State and federal agencies have just begun water quality testing but environmental experts say the vile, stagnant chemical soup that sits in the streets of the city known as The Big Easy will contain traces of everything imaginable.

"Go home and identify all the chemicals in your house. It's a very long list," said Ivor van Heerden, head of a Louisiana State University center that studies the public health impacts of hurricanes.

"And that's just in a home. Imagine what's in an industrial plant," he said. "Or a sewage plant."

Gasoline, diesel, anti-freeze, bleach, human waste, acids, alcohols and a host of other substances must be washed out of homes, factories, refineries, hospitals and other buildings.

In Metairie, east of New Orleans, the floodwater is tea-colored, murky and smells of burned sulfur. A thin film of oil is visible in the water.

Those who have waded into it say they could see only about 1 to 2 inches into the depths and that there was significant debris on and below the surface.

Experts said the longer water sat in the streets, the greater the chance gasoline and chemical tanks -- as well as common containers holding anything from bleach to shampoo -- would rupture.

Officials have said it may take up to 80 days to clear the water from New Orleans and surrounding parishes.

SECOND DISASTER?

Van Heerden and Rodney Mallett, communications director for the Louisiana Department of Environmental Quality, say there do not appear to be any choices other than to pump the water into Lake Pontchartrain or the Mississippi River, which flows into the Gulf of Mexico, a key maritime spawning ground.

"I don't see how we could treat all that water," Mallett said.

The result could be an second wave of disaster for southern Louisiana, said Harold Zeliger, a Florida-based chemical toxicologist and water quality consultant.

"In effect, it's going to kill everything in those waters," he said.

How much water New Orleans holds is open to question.

Van Heerden estimates it is billions of gallons. LSU researchers will use satellite imagery and computer modeling to get a better fix on the quantity.

Bio-remediation -- cleaning up the water -- would require the time and expense of constructing huge storage facilities, considered an impossibility, especially with the public clamor to get the water out quickly.

Mallett said the Department of Environmental Quality was in the unfortunate position of being responsible for protecting the environment in a situation where that did not seem possible.

"We're not happy about it. But for the sake of civilization and lives, probably the best thing to do is pump the water out," he said.

The water will leave behind more trouble -- a city filled with mold, some of it toxic, the experts said. After other floods, researchers found many buildings had to be stripped back to concrete, or razed.

"If you have a building half full of water, everything above the water is growing mold. When it dries out, the rest grows mold," Zeliger said. "Most of the buildings will have to be destroyed."

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20050906...C5Z.3QA;_ylu=X3oDMTBiMW04NW9mBHNlYwMlJVRPUCUl
 
Govt's Katrina spending may be only $100 bln-aide

Govt's Katrina spending may be only $100 bln-aide
By Susan Cornwell
Mon Sep 26, 3:35 PM ET

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. government spending to repair Hurricane Katrina damage may turn out to be just half of early estimates, or about $100 billion, the Senate Majority Leader's chief budget aide said on Monday.

Bill Hoagland, who works for Tennessee Republican Sen. Bill Frist (news, bio, voting record), also said congressional leaders would shortly ask lawmakers to find additional spending cuts to help pay for hurricane disaster aid, but added: "It's going to be tough."

At a conference on Katrina reconstruction, Hoagland said an estimate frequently cited on Capitol Hill that federal recovery costs would hit $200 billion "has no basis in analysis."

He warned that Congress, which in six days this month approved $62.3 billion in emergency aid to Gulf Coast states, should be more careful before rushing through another disaster assistance package that the White House is expected to request in October.

"The number could at the end of the day be closer to $100 billion as opposed to $200 billion," Hoagland told the conference organized by Equity International, a business development firm, and held in a Senate office building.

The rate of government spending so far was slower than anticipated, Hoagland said. So far, just $16 billion of the emergency government aid actually had been allocated, he said.

"The rate of expenditure today is not what was reported early on -- $2 billion a day -- but something like $700 million a day. So I'm not sure how fast this will go, but it does suggest that there are some restrictions on the way the money is flowing out to those who are in need," he said.

Hoagland said estimates for what would probably be the biggest chunk of federal spending -- repairs to public infrastructure -- were not in yet, partly because some areas hit by Hurricane Katrina in late August had been hit again during the weekend by Hurricane Rita.

Congressional leaders would step up efforts to find ways to pay for hurricane aid, he said. Before Hurricane Katrina, congressional leaders were hoping to make $35 billion in spending cuts over five years.

Now they intended "to move further than that $35 billion, go back to those same committees and see if they can find additional savings," Hoagland said.

But he threw cold water on some spending cut proposals that a group of House Republicans made last week.

For example, he did not think the White House or a sufficient number of lawmakers would approve delaying implementation of a Medicare prescription drug benefit.

He also sounded skeptical that $20 billion could be found in cuts from highway projects, and said other cuts from savings in health care spending would be politically difficult.

Before Hoagland spoke, political activist Jesse Jackson appealed to government and private contractors to hire hurricane victims for recovery work. "They don't want to watch other people work to reconstruct where they live," he said.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20050926...c1Z.3QA;_ylu=X3oDMTBiMW04NW9mBHNlYwMlJVRPUCUl
 
Port of New Orleans operating at 20 percent capacity

Port of New Orleans operating at 20 percent capacity
1 hour, 48 minutes ago

WASHINGTON (AFP) - The Port of New Orleans, a key to US maritime operations, is operating at just 20 percent capacity and needs repairs costing some 1.7 billion dollars, its top executive told Congress.

Gary LaGrange, president and chief executive of the port, told the Senate Finance Committee that it would take "months if not years to fully recover" from the storms.

LaGrange said the current estimate is that 1.7 billion dollars will be needed to rehabilitate, replace or improve port facilities damaged by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita in New Orleans alone, with other smaller ports also needing extensive repairs.

"The Port of New Orleans is the primary economic engine for the region -- and if the port returns to full operations, the region will soon follow," he said.

"With repaired port and intermodal infrastructure and a return of the workforce, the port will be a major factor in the business and economic revitalization so desperately required for the Gulf Coast region."

LaGrange said that in the meantime, there could be disruptions of shipping not only of petroleum, but of chemicals and a variety of agricultural and industrial goods for the midwest United States.

"These Gulf ports serve as one of the nation's largest gateways for poultry exports, and the inability to handle frozen poultry products through unique dockside facilities would affect the industry worldwide," he said.

"Steel is another commodity handled by the Port of New Orleans. The cost of diverting steel imports from New Orleans would increase the cost of such products by an estimated 80 to 90 dollars per metric ton."

Separately, David Wyss, chief economist at Standard and Poor's, said that while petroleum can be shifted to other ports in many cases, agricultural goods may be problematic.

"The critical time is the beginning of November -- that's when the midwest agricultural season begins."

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/2005092...s2FOrgF;_ylu=X3oDMTBiMW04NW9mBHNlYwMlJVRPUCUl
 
Katrina weaker than thought

Katrina weaker than thought
Category 3 hit land, study says
Wednesday, December 21, 2005
By Mark Schleifstein
Staff writer

Katrina hit Louisiana and the Gulf Coast with Category 3 hurricane winds of 127 mph, not the 140-mph winds of a Category 4 as first thought, the National Hurricane Center said Tuesday.

But the rapid intensification of the storm to a strong Category 5 in the days before landfall may have delivered a storm surge to Louisiana and Mississippi that belied the categories of the Saffir-Simpson scale despite Katrina's weakening before landfall, according to the report issued by the center.

Katrina's surge overtopped levees in St. Bernard and Plaquemines parishes, the levee walls along the Industrial Canal in New Orleans and levees along the Intracoastal Waterway in eastern New Orleans. The surge did not reach the tops of levee walls along the London Avenue and 17th Street canals, where several walls failed, contributing to the flooding that inundated 80 percent of the city.

Storm set-up

"The massive storm surge produced by Katrina, even though it had weakened from Category 5 intensity the previous day to Category 3 at landfall in Louisiana, can be generally explained by the huge size of the storm," said the preliminary storm report issued by the center Tuesday.

On Aug. 28, as Katrina approached the coast, its maximum winds stretched across as much as 60 miles of water, with hurricane force winds extending at least 75 miles east of its center. At the storm's eye, meteorologists had registered one of the lowest central pressures on record: 920 millibars. That's significant, because the low pressure at a hurricane's center pulls up the surface of the water, creating the dome of surge water that topped both hurricane and Mississippi River levees in Plaquemines and St. Bernard parishes and eastern New Orleans and battered Slidell's lakefront communities.

During the time Katrina reached Category 5 strength, with top winds of 175 mph, it also was creating large swells that moved north toward the coast, setting up conditions for waves greater than 55 feet high that were measured off the Alabama coast early on Aug. 29.

Breaking the gauge

Neither National Hurricane Center officials nor officials with the Federal Emergency Management Agency have accurate estimates of the height of the storm surge in Lake Pontchartrain because most measuring equipment in the lake was knocked out during the storm.

Researchers are hoping to recreate the surge height by finding areas where high water marks are visible on walls, buildings and levees around the lake. That data may not be available for another month, though, according to a FEMA spokesman.

On the Mississippi coast, officials estimate the surge reached a height of 28 feet, based on similar measurements released several weeks ago by FEMA.

"Even though Hurricane Camille (which hit the Mississippi Gulf Coast in 1969 as a Category 5 storm) was more intense than Katrina at landfall while following a similar track, Camille was far more compact and produced comparably high storm surge values along a much narrower swath," the report said.

The low pressure reading in Katrina's eye was the equivalent of 27.17 inches of mercury. That's lower than the central pressure of 27.6 inches assigned to a hurricane model the Army Corps of Engineers uses to design levees surrounding New Orleans.

The corps' hurricane model was created long before the development of the Saffir-Simpson Scale in the 1970s.

The corps' hurricane model used for building the levee walls along the 17th Street and London Avenue canals had top sustained winds of 100 mph, although the corps' definition of sustained is winds averaged over five minutes, while the National Hurricane Center generally averages winds on shore for two minutes.

On the weak side

New Orleans was on the weaker, west side of Katrina, and the center reported the highest sustained winds measured in the city at 95 mph, at the NASA Michoud Assembly Facility in eastern New Orleans. A gust of 102 mph was measured at the Belle Chasse Naval Air Station in Algiers. Lakefront Airport in New Orleans measured a gust of 86 before equipment there failed, and a gust of 98 mph was measured on a 110-foot-high tower at Louis Armstrong International Airport in Kenner before its equipment failed.

"While the intensity of Katrina was Category 3 as the center of the eye made its closest approach to the east of downtown New Orleans, the strongest winds . . . were likely present only over water to the east of the eye," according to the report

"It appears likely that most of the city experienced sustained surface winds of Category 1 or 2 strength," the report said.

Corps spokesman Jim Taylor said the information provided by the hurricane center shows that Katrina was generally a slow-moving Category 3 hurricane, which was greater than what the levee system was designed to handle.

An investigation into why the system failed is under way. Taylor said the change in category won't affect the fixes being made now or plans for changes, which are still being debated.

But U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-La., said, "This news further highlights the need for a full federal commitment to build the highest level of protection through levees and coastal restoration for New Orleans, south Louisiana and the Gulf Coast."

Costliest storm ever

Category 3 hurricane winds range from 111 mph to 130 mph, so Katrina was on the higher edge of that ranking. Category 4 hurricane winds run from 131 mph to 155 mph. Katrina was a top-scale Category 5 with 175-mph winds while in the Gulf of Mexico.

The revision of its strength came after forecasters studied data from devices that were dropped into Katrina from hurricane hunter aircraft, hurricane specialist Richard Knabb and forecasters Jamie Rhome and Daniel Brown said in the report. The change also came from reviewing readings from a device called a stepped frequency microwave radiometer, which measures wind speed by examining how sea foam is blown. Radar images taken by hurricane hunter aircraft also were used.

Katrina killed more than 1,300 people in Louisiana, Mississippi and Florida.

The report said insured losses from the storm were estimated at between $20 billion and $60 billion. Using a middle estimate of $38.1 billion supplied by the American Insurance Services Group, the report said a preliminary estimate of total damage costs of Katrina is about $75 billion.

"This figure would make Katrina far and away the costliest hurricane in United States history," the report said, roughly double the cost of Hurricane Andrew in 1992, even after adjusting for inflation.

http://www.nola.com/news/t-p/frontpage/index.ssf?/base/news-4/1135149118129420.xml
 
Army Plan Gets Gulf Coast Reservists Jobs

Army Plan Gets Gulf Coast Reservists Jobs
By LOLITA C. BALDOR, Associated Press Writer
Fri Dec 30,10:40 AM ET

WASHINGTON - At a cost of as much as $20 million, more than 200 National Guard soldiers returning to Louisiana from Iraq are staying on active duty for up to a year so they can have full-time work in their hurricane-ravaged hometowns.

A program intended to give returning reservists jobs if their old ones were wiped out by hurricanes Katrina and Rita is drawing interest too from 60 National Guard soldiers from a Mississippi brigade, according to Col. Billy Thomas, deputy commander of the Army's Task Force Care.

The Louisiana Guard members were preparing to head home from Iraq when Katrina hit at the end of August. Many of the soldiers who were part of the 256th Brigade Combat Team now are helping to rebuild and restore Guard facilities in Louisiana that were damaged.

"The advantage is they have full-time employment," said Thomas, who came out of retirement to help manage the benefits and other aid for members of the military affected by Katrina.

"They came back home after fighting a war, and they had no way to make a living. So the Army has offered them a chance to stay on active duty and help the state to rebuild," Thomas said.

About 3,000 soldiers from the 256th brigade were in Iraq, and about the same number of the 155th Brigade Combat Team from Mississippi have served there and are just now heading home.

Many of the Louisiana soldiers were allowed to come home a little earlier than initially planned because of the disaster. Hundreds suffered property damage; dozens were unable to contact family members in the days just after Katrina hit.

Many soldiers returned home to find their homes and employers gone, Thomas said. Extending their active duty, he said, not only gave them salaries, but also is filling construction and engineering jobs needed to repair the bases, including a National Guard headquarters in New Orleans.

So far, he said, 211 of the Guard members have received extensions of their active duty status, which can last up to a year. The estimated cost of a yearlong extension is $100,000 in salary and benefits, which would be more than $20 million total. However, some may not stay that long if their previous jobs are re-established.

In addition, 59 members of the 155th Brigade have begun the application process for extended duty in their state.

The state of Louisiana has funded a similar program; it pays for reservists to extend their active duty to work in the state. So far, Thomas said, 253 reservists signed up.

Among the military facilities greatly damaged by Katrina, was Camp Shelby, a 136,000-acre base near Hattiesburg, Miss. It serves as a training facility for National Guard and active duty troops preparing to deploy overseas.

Army officials are running the task force out of Camp Shelby, setting up benefits for soldiers evacuated or affected by the hurricanes.

Service members and their families left homeless after the hurricanes are also eligible for other benefits.

So far, the task force has processed 3,147 claims from Army, Navy, Air Force and Marine families who were evacuated from their homes and had to pay for other lodging. The families could be reimbursed for up to six months of housing and other costs amounting to between $65 and $150 per day, depending on what city they are in, Thomas said.

The families must submit their bills to the Defense Department for payment. Thomas said it is not known yet how much the per diems will cost the federal government.

But, he said, "this is something we felt good about. It's a program where the Army and the Defense Department have stepped up and said we're going to take care of our soldiers."

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20051230...QVI2ocA;_ylu=X3oDMTBiMW04NW9mBHNlYwMlJVRPUCUl
 
Re: Army Plan Gets Gulf Coast Reservists Jobs

<font size="5"><center>New Orleans Sinking May Worsen Storm Toll,
Study Says </font size></center>


May 31 (Bloomberg) -- Areas of New Orleans inundated by Hurricane Katrina had sunk more quickly than expected in the three years before the storm, scientists said one day before the start of the 2006 hurricane season.

Satellite data was used to monitor the ground. Areas that dropped at a maximum annual rate of 29 millimeters (1 inch) below sea level over that period included St. Bernard and Orleans parishes, which were heavily damaged in the Gulf Coast hurricane, according to a study in tomorrow's Nature journal. The average rate was 0.2 inch, roughly the same as previous estimates.

Scientists warned that the most rapid shrinking, for example near the Mississippi River-Gulf Outlet Canal where levees failed, makes rebuilding unwise in some areas and may indicate a need to keep raising the earthen levees. The new analytical tool the researchers developed, mapping with 150,000 geographic points, might be used to monitor levees, said lead author Tim Dixon at the Rosenstiel School of Marine & Atmospheric Science in Miami.

``We were surprised that some of those points were subsiding as fast as they were,'' Dixon said in a telephone interview yesterday. ``There's a very high correlation on the MRGO levee between areas where we mention high subsidence or high sinking rates and areas of the levee that were breached and failed.''

When the rising ocean levels are added, the land is sinking at 0.3 inch a year. While that may seem a small amount, by 2106 the drop could be almost three feet, said researcher Falk Amelung in a statement released by the University of Miami.

Levees Are Essential

``You can't live in South Louisiana without a levee in front of you,'' Roy Dokka, executive director of the Center for Geoinformatics at Louisiana State University in Baton Rouge, said in a telephone interview today. ``However by doing so, you're enhancing the vulnerability by enhancing subsidence. It's the Law of Unintended Consequences.''

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted on May 22 that as many as six major hurricanes will form in the Atlantic Ocean in the season that begins tomorrow. Officials said ocean and climate conditions suggest that above- average hurricane activity may continue for two more decades.

In August, Hurricane Katrina inundated 80 percent of New Orleans causing an estimate $38 billion in insurance claims, more than Hurricane Andrew in 1992, according to a survey of claims by Property Claim Services.

FEMA Head Replaced

The estimated cost of rebuilding New Orleans's levees damaged by Hurricane Katrina may triple to $9 billion, delaying the city's effort to rebuild, Donald Powell, federal coordinator of Gulf Coast rebuilding, said on March 30.

The 2005 hurricane season was one of the deadliest and most destructive in U.S. history. Four major hurricanes struck the U.S. causing 1,600 deaths. Colorado State University meteorologists today predicted five major hurricanes this year.

Criticism of the Katrina response and recovery efforts led Federal Emergency Management Agency Director Michael Brown to resign last year. The U.S. Senate confirmed acting FEMA chief David Paulison as his replacement on May 26.



To contact the reporter on this story:
Theresa Barry in Washington at Tbarry2@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: May 31, 2006 16:57 EDT


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=akwzhV5xGX1w&refer=us
 
Re: Army Plan Gets Gulf Coast Reservists Jobs

<font size="4">
September 11, 2001</font size>

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New Orleans' port nears pre-Katrina level

New Orleans' port nears pre-Katrina level

By ALAN SAYRE
Associated Press

NEW ORLEANS - The Port of New Orleans, which sustained heavy damage from Hurricane Katrina, had regained nearly 94 percent of its pre-storm cargo by the end of May, according to figures released by the port last week.

The port went through a dismal four-month stretch following Katrina's strike on Aug. 29 that included a 12-day shutdown, the loss of about one-third of its operating capacity and the rerouting of cargo to other ports by several shipping lines.

But figures compiled for the first four months of 2006, the latest available, showed that the tonnage of general cargo handled at the port was only 3.8 percent lower than the first four months of 2005. General cargo includes goods shipped in containers and breakbulk cargo, such as steel and rubber, that is transported on pallets.

Bulk cargo such as grain and oil was off by 8 percent over the same period.

Overall cargo handled at the port for January through May totaled 12.4 million tons, off 6.5 percent from 13.3 tons for the first four months of 2005.

Port spokesman Chris Bonura said the general cargo figure was the best indicator of the port's health, since most of the bulk cargo is handled by private, rather than port-owned facilities.

In 2004, New Orleans was seventh among U.S. ports in tons of cargo handled, according to figures from the American Association of Port Authorities. Houston was second.

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/business/4127897.html
 
Katrina Was A Serious Disaster That The United States And The Gov Didn't Care About.
 
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The Big Comeback: Is New Orleans America's Next Great Innovation Hub?

The Big Comeback: Is New Orleans America's Next Great Innovation Hub?
DEREK THOMPSONAPR 8 2013, 8:57 AM ET

In the wrinkled edifices of the French Quarter and the worn-out storefront walls along Canal Street, a legacy of decay in New Orleans intrudes on the mossy city. It is a sense of things that have nearly fallen apart and stayed nearly-fallen-apart for decades.

For much of the last 20 years, the city was wilting in plain sight. In the 1990s, a period during which the U.S. added 21 million jobs, New Orleans didn't just lose jobs; it also lost people. With tourism filling the void left by manufacturing, wages fell way behind the national average. It was place to bring a bachelor party, but not a bachelor's degree, and certainly not a business.

And then, in 2005, Hurricane Katrina hit.

Days later, 80 percent of New Orleans was underwater. More than 1,200 people were dead. In a year, the city lost more than 90,000 jobs -- more than the number employed by the local education, transportation, and manufacturing sectors, combined -- and $3 billion in wages disappeared. A city already in decline had suffered perhaps the worst natural disaster in American history.

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There are three ways things could have gone.

In the first story, New Orleans slides into its own wet grave, another urban tragedy of geography and economics. In the second story, New Orleans rebuilds itself as it was before -- a sleepy southern belle of a town serving up wet weekends of intemperance. In the third story, Hurricane Katrina somehow kickstarts an age of innovation and an economic renaissance in a city written off for dead.

The Big Easy has chosen the third path -- the hard path, and their struggle has revealed both the tantalizing allure, and the deep challenges, of reinventing a city.

'To Hell With It, We're Going Home'

Kenneth Purcell is evangelical about New Orleans. This makes him more or less like every other person you meet in New Orleans.

When Hurricane Katrina struck, the tech entrepreneur with shoulder-length hair watched from a high rise on Lafayette Square as the water overcame the streets. "Like every other good redneck, I said 'I'm not leaving,'" he told me.

Ten days later, he left.

Purcell moved his budding start-up to New York, where he stayed for the next two years building iSeatz,com, a service that lets shoppers book multiple travel arrangements on one website. But in the undertow of national fatalism about the city's future, Purcell found himself pulled back home. He wanted to prove a point, to make a stand.

"I got so pissed off at the headlines about the city, with company after company leaving, that I said, 'To hell with it, we're going home,'" he told me just blocks from Lafayette Square, at New Orleans Entrepreneur Week (I attended and spoke at the conference last month). "And it was the best decision I ever made."

iSeatz has grown its platform from $8 million in gross bookings in 2005 to $2 billion in 2013. It's clearly one of the city's biggest homegrown tech breakthroughs. Then again, it is also one of the city's only homegrown tech breakthroughs.

Purcell is a member of New Orleans' boomerang generation -- a group of proud, young- to middle-aged reformers who came back to New Orleans in the wake of Katrina to find the city flattened. The city didn't have the jobs they wanted. So they built their own. After 2005, the start-up rate in New Orleans doubled in just three years (this graph, and others, comes from data provided Greater New Orleans Community Data Center).

New Orleans needs more than start-up enthusiasm. It needs start-up success stories. Breakout success stories.

"How do we get from this nascent state of having a lot of bubbling petri dishes to seeing some things really culture out, and having a sustainable ecosystem to support them?" Purcell said. In other words, how does New Orleans, a great city to get away from business, become a great place to start one?

How to Build a City

Jean-Baptiste Le Moyne de Bienville was drawn to the crescent city in the crook of the Mississippi River in 1718. He mistakenly believed the land, most of which is under sea level, to be properly shielded from the stormy Gulf tides. "Paris on a swamp." It was a good elevator pitch.

Nature's feedback was harsh. Four years after La Nouvelle-Orleans was founded, an inauspicious hurricane destroyed every home, shop, and makeshift chapel. A reasonable person might have relocated. Instead, Bienville rebuilt. One hundred years later, New Orleans was the largest city in the south.

The history of New Orleans is that of a city always rebuilding itself. But unlike past efforts, the current makeover isn't funded by on an economy of sugar or oil, but rather an economy of people and ideas.

When you cast your eye across the country's leading high-tech cities -- the San Francisco area, Seattle, Boston, Washington, D.C., and New York -- a rough blueprint emerges. These are large, dense, mixing-pots of people and businesses.

All five regions have a long history of government investment, especially in science and technology. All five have built clusters of commercial activity, ranging from apps and airplanes to government and software. All five have national universities that provide a steady stream of talent and research that can be injected into companies. All five are home to companies and organizations--Google, McKinsey, Congress--that serve as national talent magnets for young people with degrees from prestigious universities.

New Orleans has some of this. There is Tulane University. There are the energy companies. There are the studio outposts that lend it the name "Hollywood South." And, unlike the country's richest cities, New Orleans has cheap living costs to attract graduates with debt. But on the high-tech radar for young graduates, New Orleans registers faintly. When the Martin Prosperity Institute, led by Atlantic senior editor Richard Florida, ranked the 20 leading high-tech metros, New Orleans didn't place. Huntsville, Alabama -- home to NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center and the United States Army Aviation and Missile Command -- finished 15th.

New Orleans is one of the great cultural brands in American cities with a rich history of art, music, and food. But it is not one of the country's great business brands. It doesn't have a rich history of Fortune 500 companies or national media-darling start-ups. The term "Silicon Bayou" exists, but the term is more hopeful than descriptive. Currently, the city's economy would be better suited to mining silicon than manipulating microprocessors. When you compare New Orleans and, say, San Jose the cities could not be more different by industry specialization. San Jose has 96 percent fewer mining jobs than the average city. New Orleans has 240 percent more. San Jose's share of information workers is three-times the national average; New Orleans is still below average.

So why are some investors so optimistic about New Orleans?

First, the price is right. "It is massively cheaper to do a start-up in New Orleans," said Jim Coulter, the co-founder of the private equity firm TPG Capital. "The cost of living, of labor, and of office space, is much lower." And then there are the tax incentives. One particular tax credit, which covers 25 percent of companies' production costs and 35 percent of payroll expenses for local employees, has been credited with growing the city's tech jobs by 19% between Katrina and 2012, six-times the national rate.

The flip-side of cheap labor is a dearth of tech talent. "There is a definitive hiring challenge here," Purcell said. "[Hiring] quickly is hard. Looking for developers is hard all over the country, but we have a steeper climb here."

But there's something else New Orleans has. Katrina has been a surprising force for renewal. The storm demolished the city's storefronts, infrastructure, and tax revenue. But it also shuffled some of the old order in New Orleans in ways that give it a unique advantage.

'The Perfect Proving Ground for Education Start-Ups'
It would be wrong to say the hurricane destroyed New Orleans public schools, because there was so little worth saving even before the storm hit. Orleans Parish was the second-worst-performing school district in the state, plagued by an abysmal drop-out rate.

Demolishing the city's schools, the storm inspired an start-up mindset in the parish that has created perhaps the most-watched petri dish of education reform in the country. Today, there is no major city where a majority of public school students are in charter schools -- except New Orleans.

Before the hurricane, fewer than 30 percent of New Orleans students were in passing schools, according to Alison Plyer of the Greater New Orleans Community Data Center. Now it's 68 percent. "There's been a concentrated effort by the entire community to improve the schools," she said, "led by charters and Teach for America."

One of the city's new experiments is Kickboard, an analytics program that visually tracks student progress. CEO and founder Jennifer Medbery was a Columbia graduate with a degree in computer science, teaching math in public schools for years, grumbling that there was no way to crunch the data she was gathering from students. "Each week we spent hours trying to organize it all with a homegrown maze of Excel spreadsheets and Google Docs," she said to me in an email. In February, the company raised $2 million in funding.

The recovery in New Orleans has let ed-tech start-ups partner directly with schools in a way that would be impossible if the calcified public school bureaucracies hadn't been knocked down by the hurricane. "Because of the charter schools, you have fast adopters of new ed-tech tools in the area. This is important because [as an entrepreneur] you want to be close to a market of adopters."

It'd be easy to assume the explosion of entrepreneurial activity was merely born of necessity. But it was about "more than just rebuilding the city," Medbery said. "It was about re-imaging it as a place for big ideas."

Gary Solomon, Jr., had a big idea, too, he just didn't know where to take it. Born in New Orleans, he studied lighting design at NYU in order to work on Broadway. But after Katrina, "there was a calling to come back home," he said.

"There was no industry here [in New Orleans] for what I do," he told me. "Our opportunity was to create it." So he teamed up with two unlikely partners: Steve Fink, the longtime production manager at the Superdome, and Jonathan Foucheaux, an entertainment tech wiz from Six Flags Theme Parks.

In 2009, the company, called Solomon Group, had three employees. Today, they have a staff of more than 100, with eight figures of revenue. They've designed complex installations for museums and arena-sized events. The exterior lights of the Superdome? They designed that. When CBS hosted the Super Bowl here this year, the network shot from ten "broadcast environments" throughout the city. Solomon Group built eight of the ten.

"While New Orleans has an awesome foundation and history and way of doing things, this feels like the first time the old guard has been willing to listen to new ideas," Solomon said. "Pre-Katrina there was no changing anything that had been done for 100-plus years. I don't feel like we're fighting anymore. There is a desire to change and do new things."

More Than 'Most-Improved'
Twelve years ago, a group of New Orleans-born tech guys met at Loa Bar, just off Canal Street, to share war stories and gripe about the decline of the city. They wanted New Orleans to be a place where entrepreneurs would flock. That boozy meeting led to the creation of a non-profit, the Idea Village, which has tirelessly lobbied the city to support start-ups. It has fought through bureaucracies and hurricanes and a Gulf oil spill to build Entrepreneur Season, a nine-month annual program to support new start-ups. The capstone Entrepreneur Week conference last month ended with 1,700-person vote for start-up of the year, the largest crowd-sourced investor pitch in the country. It was literally a street party. Kind of like a Start-Up Mardi Gras.

If New Orleans has a competitive advantage, this is it: A reputation for fun, along with a culture of engagement and a civic awareness sharpened by recent tragedy. Organizations like the Idea Village will be pivotal to building a city culture that celebrates and encourage entrepreneurs, who are, by their nature, ambition yet alone, independent-minded and dependent on the support of others.

In the last five years, the city has won an astounding number of city awards, but many of them are a variation on the "most improved player" theme. In 2011, the Wall Street Journal named it the most improved metro. Forbes has dubbed it the Number-1 metro for IT job growth. CareerBuilding said it had the third-fastest wage growth in the country. Just last week, the Brookings Metropolitan Policy program named it the number one recovery city in the country. But since Brookings measured growth compared with the aftermath of Katrina, this is as much recognition of how far New Orleans has come as it is recognition of how far New Orleans had fallen.

After losing up to 10 percent of its population, New Orleans is growing again. The parish ranks behind only Austin and suburban Washington, D.C., as the fastest-growing large counties in the U.S. As the people have returned, the number of blighted homes has fallen by more than half since 2008. Crime is falling, and the share of bachelor's degrees is rising.

But there is no getting around this central fact: The city isn't merely miles behind San Jose and Austin in attracting the nation's top talent. It's behind the national average. The share of New Orleans young adults with a bachelor's degree has increased from 23 to 26 percent since 2000. That's not just below the average city, but also it's growing slower than the average city.

New Orleans' most critical challenge in the next five years will be to win the mind-share of young entrepreneurs -- whether by building a city-wide wifi network, hosting a major corporation's bureau, or launching a nationally celebrated consumer-tech company. "For all their individualism, entrepreneurs tend to flock," Jim Coulter said. "There's a network effect. Flocking drives more entrepreneurs. The coffee shops become the discovery points. That's what happened in San Francisco, it's happening in Austin and it's beginning to happen in New Orleans."

Just beginning. Still beginning. Sometimes a start-up city is just a city getting started, again.

http://www.theatlantic.com/business...ns-americas-next-great-innovation-hub/274591/
 
After the Flood

Act One was recently featured on this show's "Best Of" episode. Still good.

After the Flood
SEP 9, 2005
Surprising stories from survivors in New Orleans. We give people who were in the storm more time than daily news coverage can to tell their stories and talk about what they're thinking. This leads to a number of ideas that haven't made it into the regular news coverage.

PROLOGUE
Host Ira Glass talks about something he read that seemed to put an end to all debate over one of the key issues swirling around right now. He checks with William Nichelson, author of the books Emergency Response and Emergency Management Law and Homeland Security Law and Policy, to see if he's correctly understanding the issue. (5 minutes)

ACT ONE - Middle Of Somewhere.
In the days following Hurricane Katrina, Denise Moore was trapped in the New Orleans Convention Center with her mom, her niece, and her niece's two-year-old daughter. There, she witnessed acts of surprising humanity by armed thugs, taking charge and doing good. (16 minutes)

ACT TWO - Forgotten, But Not Lost.
To find out more about the bridge Denise talked about in act one and the armed police who prevented pedestrians from crossing, This American Life producer Alex Blumberg talks with Lorrie Beth Slonsky and her husband Larry Bradshaw. They're paramedics from San Francisco who were visiting New Orleans for a convention when Hurricane Katrina hit. After the storm, they tried to escape the city in a number of ways. When they tried to leave the city on foot, they were told, at gunpoint, by police, that they must turn back. We also hear from Debbie Zelinsky, who was with them. (17 minutes)

ACT THREE - Social Studies Lesson.
We compare Fox TV talk show host Bill O'Reilly's ideas about the hurricane's aftermath with those of Ashley Nelson, an 18-year-old who lives in the Lafitte Housing projects in New Orleans, in one of the flooded neighborhoods. Among other things, she explains what it feels like to go without food and water for two days. Ashley is the author of an amazing book called The Combination, about her neighborhood in New Orleans. Contact The Neighborhood Stories Project for information on getting a copy. (6 minutes)

ACT FOUR - Diaspora.
Hundreds of thousands of Gulf residents evacuated before the storm and followed the whole thing from afar. Cheryl Wagner left for Gainesville, Florida, where her friends advised her to buy a gun and a mean dog before returning home to New Orleans. (4 minutes)

ACT FIVE - Displaced Persons Camp.
In August 2004, Hurricane Charley devastated parts of Florida. Afterwards, FEMA built a trailer park to provide immediate temporary housing for those who'd lost their homes in the storm. More than a year later, over 500 trailers are still there—and in them, more than a thousand people with nowhere else to go. Just this week in the New York Times, a FEMA official said that the kinds of mobile homes found in Punta Gorda may become "the standard" for those left without homes due to Hurricane Katrina. This American Life producer Lisa Pollak talked to the park's residents to see how things are going and talk about their prospects for moving on a year later. (5 minutes)​

http://www.thisamericanlife.org/radio-archives/episode/296/after-the-flood
 
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