China Begins To Reset The World’s Reserve Currency System

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China Begins To Reset The World’s Reserve Currency System

A report released by the Nikkei Asian Review indicates that China is prepared to release a yuan-denominated oil futures contract that is convertible (backed by) physical gold. The contract will enable China’s largest oil suppliers to settle oil sales in yuan, rather than in dollars, and then convert the yuan into gold on exchanges in Hong Kong and Shanghai.

This is a significant step in removing the global reserve currency status of the dollar and resetting the the global economic and geopolitical “landscape.” Over the past several years, China has quietly established yuan-based currency exchange facilities, which has set up the ability to implement this new non-dollar trade settlement financial instrument. According to the Brookings Institute, 34 Central Banks around the world have signed bilateral local currency swap agreements with the PBoC as of of the end of September 2016, including the major oil-producing countries. With this new contract, China’s largest oil suppliers will now be able to transact directly with China, and other oil importing countries, using yuan which are directly convertible into gold to settle the trade.

As Alasdair Macleod asserts, “It is a mechanism which is likely to appeal to oil producers that prefer to avoid using dollars, and are not ready to accept that being paid in yuan for oil sales to China is a good idea either.”

Since 1973, OPEC oil has been quoted and traded using to U.S. dollars, otherwise known as “petrodollars.” The “recycling” of petrodollars into U.S. Treasuries has been the life-blood of the U.S. economic and political system. In addition to reducing a major source of funding for the the U.S. Government’s enormous deficit spending, the introduction of a gold-backed yuan oil futures contract is an important step toward removing the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. More significantly it reintroduces gold into the global monetary system.

While the new gold-backed “petroyuan” will allow oil producers to sell oil for gold rather than Treasuries. Furthermore, it reduces the ability of the U.S. Government to impose its will on the rest of the world. It’s a strategic step toward not only ridding the world of its dependence on dollars, but also of reducing the ability of the U.S. to exert global economic and financially tyranny. I would also argue that it’s one of the primary reasons behind the inability of the western Central Banks to drive the price of gold lower recently.

http://investmentresearchdynamics.com/china-begins-to-reset-the-worlds-reserve-currency-system/
 
September 1, 2017 8:56 pm JST
China sees new world order with oil benchmark backed by gold
Yuan-denominated contract will let exporters circumvent US dollar

DAMON EVANS, Contributing writer

20170901_Shanghai-Gold-Exchange_article_main_image.jpg

Yuan-denominated gold futures have been traded on the Shanghai Gold Exchange since April 2016 as part of the country's effort to reduce the pricing power of the U.S. dollar. © Imaginechina/AP Images

DENPASAR, Indonesia -- China is expected shortly to launch a crude oil futures contract priced in yuan and convertible into gold in what analysts say could be a game-changer for the industry.



The contract could become the most important Asia-based crude oil benchmark, given that China is the world's biggest oil importer. Crude oil is usually priced in relation to Brent or West Texas Intermediate futures, both denominated in U.S. dollars.

China's move will allow exporters such as Russia and Iran to circumvent U.S. sanctions by trading in yuan. To further entice trade, China says the yuan will be fully convertible into gold on exchanges in Shanghai and Hong Kong.


"The rules of the global oil game may begin to change enormously," said Luke Gromen, founder of U.S.-based macroeconomic research company FFTT.

The Shanghai International Energy Exchange has started to train potential users and is carrying out systems tests following substantial preparations in June and July. This will be China's first commodities futures contract open to foreign companies such as investment funds, trading houses and petroleum companies.

Most of China's crude imports, which averaged around 7.6 million barrels a day in 2016, are bought on long-term contracts between China's major oil companies and foreign national oil companies. Deals also take place between Chinese majors and independent Chinese refiners, and between foreign oil majors and global trading companies.

Alan Bannister, Asia director of S&P Global Platts, an energy information provider, said that the active involvement of Chinese independent refiners over the last few years "has created a more diverse marketplace of participants domestically in China, creating an environment in which a crude futures contract is more likely to succeed."

China has long wanted to reduce the dominance of the U.S. dollar in the commodities markets. Yuan-denominated gold futures have been traded on the Shanghai Gold Exchange since April 2016, and the exchange is planning to launch the product in Budapest later this year.

Yuan-denominated gold contracts were also launched in Hong Kong in July -- after two unsuccessful earlier attempts -- as China seeks to internationalize its currency. The contracts have been moderately successful.

The existence of yuan-backed oil and gold futures means that users will have the option of being paid in physical gold, said Alasdair Macleod, head of research at Goldmoney, a gold-based financial services company based in Toronto. "It is a mechanism which is likely to appeal to oil producers that prefer to avoid using dollars, and are not ready to accept that being paid in yuan for oil sales to China is a good idea either," Macleod said.

https://asia.nikkei.com/Markets/Commodities/China-sees-new-world-order-with-oil-benchmark-backed-by-gold?page=1
 
No matter how dumb Trump is, his adviser will tell him that this is
a direct declaration of war. The US was broke, and nearly bankrupt
when Kissinger forced Saudi Arabia to accept the Dollar-Oil linkage;
and since then, Uncle Sam has been underwritten by Saudi and all
other oil money in the world. If what China is proposing comes to
pass, the standard of living of Americans will see a rapid decline..
but on the other hand, there will be return of manufacturing to the
US, as the inflated salaries of American workers begin to make
sense respective to the economic reality of the world
 
America opened up it's manufacturing, out of greed....and will now suffer the consequences, all within 40yrs.

Either the US goes to war to destroy the market, or it's a wrap for American domination as we know it.
 
Do you guys even have a clue how much of China America owns and vice versa, let alone gold reserves, this is not the game changer you may think it is, the dollar is still one of the heads of the multi headed serpent the gold yuan and petrol dollar will always depend on each other.
 
Do you guys even have a clue how much of China America owns and vice versa, let alone gold reserves, this is not the game changer you may think it is, the dollar is still one of the heads of the multi headed serpent the gold yuan and petrol dollar will always depend on each other.
You might want to revise your post.
 
They've been extracting a lot of gold out of Africa, I wonder if the gold is being sold to the govt or the govt is funding these expeditions?
 
China's New Gold-Backed Oil Futures Contract Cuts Out U.S. Dollar
Sep. 6, 2017 11:05 AM
Summary
  • At the turn of the year, I wrote an article related to a possible Trump induced rally in gold.
  • Since then, we've had two additional bullish factors: the North Korea crisis and Hurricane Harvey.
  • Here's a new bullish factor flying under the radar: China has created an oil benchmark based on gold, effectively cutting out the U.S. dollar.


Amid an already very bullish environment for the appreciation of gold, a recent development could cause massive disruption in to today's global oil market: the imminent introduction by the Chinese of a yuan based - and gold backed - crude oil futures contract. But before discussing that in some depth, let's first summarize the already very bullish backdrop for gold.

After considerable gold liquidation following last year's presidential election, my last Seeking Alpha article of 2016 was a bullish call on gold and "The Possibility Of A Trump-Induced Bull Run." I expanded on that theme with Part II and Part III as the Trump administration began taking action. In addition, I noted the bullish impact on gold of a falling U.S. dollar in this Seeking Alpha article.

Recent events - like North Korea's nuclear detonations and missile tests, Hurricane Harvey, and the up-coming need for Congress to raise the U.S. debt ceiling again - are all singularly bullish for gold. In aggregate, these events are compelling reasons why investors should seriously consider increasing their gold positions.

Note I wrote an article back in 2012 on the possibility that global warming, and the storms it helps intensify, will support higher gold prices via increased and substantial U.S. deficit spending to fund storm recovery efforts (see "Global Warming Will Push Gold Higher"). It's taken awhile to see that thesis come to fruition, but note that CNN reported that Texas Governor Greg Abbot thinks Texas will need "far in excess" of $125 billion in federal relief dollars. Houston Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee called for a record-breaking $150 billion aid package.

Federal hurricane assistance has increased dramatically since Hurricane Katrina, with the federal government shelling out more than $200 billion. About half went to the Katrina recovery effort and a quarter of which went to Hurricane Sandy relief efforts.

In the meantime, Hurricane Irma, a Cat 5 storm, is heading toward the Gulf of Mexico and is currently projected to pass between the tip of Florida and Cuba.



173432-1504645691747904_origin.png

Source: CNN


All the events mentioned above lend additional support to my bullish outlook on gold at the beginning of the year. In fact, I have never seen the outlook for gold looking better than it does right now.

A Potential Game Changer in the Global Oil Trade

Recently I read about a development - which is flying well below the radar screen of most U.S. investors - which may turn out to be an even bigger long-term support factor for gold than anything previously mentioned in this article. The Nikkei Asian Review recently reported that China is expected to launch a crude oil futures contract which will be priced in yuan and convertible into gold. Given that China is now the world's biggest oil importer, this futures contract - which is designed to let oil exporters circumvent the U.S. "petro-dollar" - could become the most important Asia-based crude oil benchmark.

Crude oil is usually priced relative to Brent or West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures contracts, both of which are denominated in U.S. dollars. China's new yuan-based, gold-backed crude oil futures contract is likely to appeal to oil producers that might prefer to avoid using U.S. dollars, but are not yet ready to accept being paid in yuan for oil sales to China. That is because the yuan is not yet a globally traded and highly liquid currency as compared to the U.S. dollar or even the euro. But the gold backing of this new crude oil futures contract solves that concern of the oil exporters. It would also make it much easier for buyers and sellers to elude any potential U.S. crude oil trade sanctions that may exist or arise from time to time.

China's crude imports averaged around 7.6 million barrels a day in 2016. At $50/bbl, that equates to trading of an estimated $138 billion on an annual basis. For comparison, note the total market cap of the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) is around $35 billion. I mention that just as a comparison metric for investors to judge the potential impact if only 25% of China's oil imports were to trade based on this new futures contract.



173432-15045654323051836.png



Source: Nikkei Asian Review

But what are the chances such a oil futures contract will be actually be adopted by oil exporters? In the Nikkei Asian Review linked to above, Luke Gromen, the founder of U.S.-based macroeconomic research company FFTT, said that the "rules of the global oil game may begin to change enormously." That opinion seemed to be seconded by Alan Bannister, Asia director of S&P Global Platts, in the same article. Bannister said that active involvement of Chinese independent refiners over the last few years "has created a more diverse marketplace of participants domestically in China, creating an environment in which a crude futures contract is more likely to succeed."

According to Wikipedia's webpage on Reserve Currency, China policymakers have previously said "we don't want to make any more foreign exchange reserve of any paper currency, because all the paper currencies are government debt currencies." That comment was obviously directed squarely at U.S. policymakers and the Federal debt they have piled on over the years.

Countries like China, Russia, India, Turkey, Brazil, and Venezuela have proposed using IMF "special drawing rights," or SDRs - which would be calculated daily from a basket of various currencies: the U.S. dollar, euro, Japanese yen, British pounds, and Chinese yuan - for international payments. Some have also advocated that precious metals like gold and silver also be components of any globally agreed upon SDR "basket."

Note that Russia, Brazil, and Venezuela alone accounted for around 25% of China's total oil imports (see graphic above). If Middle Eastern exporters like Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Iran also began using the new yuan/gold crude oil futures contract, more than 50% of China's imports could potentially be non-U.S. dollar denominated transactions. If so, the impact could be huge. Over time it could erode the U.S. "petro-dollar's" role as the world's reserve currency of choice - and this would have a dramatic affect on the U.S.:

  1. The value of the U.S. dollar would likely fall significantly; imports would be more expensive, but it would also help U.S. manufacturing and exports.
  2. The U.S. Congress would very likely no longer be able raise the U.S. debt limit (i.e., print more U.S. dollars) indefinitely because global demand for the U.S. dollars will likely fall - perhaps dramatically.
  3. As a result, the value of gold, globally priced in U.S. dollars, would likely rise.
The good news here is that the U.S. is producing more oil these days and has reduced its oil imports from some of the same countries that are likely to adopt the new Chinese yuan/gold backed crude oil futures contract.

I have never seen the future of gold look as bullish as it does right now. While the precious yellow metal has been moving higher of late, I think it is just starting a major move which will take it much higher - certainly through the old high of ~$1900/ounce set way back in 2011. If oil exporters adopt the new Chinese yuan/gold backed crude oil futures contract for deliveries to the world's largest oil importer - China - it will lend further support and accelerate an already very bullish environment for gold investors.



173432-15046492441620722.png



Disclaimer: I am an engineer, not a CFA. The information and data presented in this article were obtained from company documents and/or sources believed to be reliable, but have not been independently verified. Therefore, the author cannot guarantee their accuracy. Please do your own research and contact a qualified investment advisor. I am not responsible for investment decisions you make.

Disclosure: I am/we are long GOLD.

I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article

https://seekingalpha.com/amp/articl...d-backed-oil-futures-contract-cuts-u-s-dollar
 
“It is a mechanism which is likely to appeal to oil producers that prefer to avoid using dollars, and are not ready to accept that being paid in yuan for oil sales to China is a good idea either.”

Since 1973, OPEC oil has been quoted and traded using to U.S. dollars, otherwise known as “petrodollars.” The “recycling” of petrodollars into U.S. Treasuries has been the life-blood of the U.S. economic and political system. In addition to reducing a major source of funding for the the U.S. Government’s enormous deficit spending, the introduction of a gold-backed yuan oil futures contract is an important step toward removing the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. More significantly it reintroduces gold into the global monetary system.

While the new gold-backed “petroyuan” will allow oil producers to sell oil for gold rather than Treasuries. Furthermore, it reduces the ability of the U.S. Government to impose its will on the rest of the world. It’s a strategic step toward not only ridding the world of its dependence on dollars, but also of reducing the ability of the U.S. to exert global economic and financially tyranny. I would also argue that it’s one of the primary reasons behind the inability of the western Central Banks to drive the price of gold lower recently.

IT S WHAT IT IS, THERES GOOD AND BAD SIDES TO THIS
 
Gaddafi tried to do the same thing and lost his life over it.... I wonder what is going to happen next....
 
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