I'm learning a lot in this thread
Thanks
Bruh, that's why I love this place. I came in here to pass some time before I got up to make breakfast. Now I want to look on Amazon for a book on statistical analysis.
I'm learning a lot in this thread
Thanks
Bro, your last statement is why all the isms and stereotypes in the world exist today.
Please don't get me started on that shit
The university I work at is all about numbers. I had to put all my ethics aside to make the numbers work because that's all they care about.
Not the quality of the education, but can I get Dumb Doe out of college algebra so the fail rates don't look as bad. When I was ethical about it, I suffered consequences for not meeting the numbers even though I can only do so much as an instructor. I can't MAKE a student do work if they simply don't want to do it. Jesus couldn't come down and force these students to do work if they don't want to do it.
But you're right about the probability factor. A lot of what we do in society comes down to that.
Crazy as it sounds, stats can account for all of that stuff plus more.
We call it multivariate regression analysis (https://stats.idre.ucla.edu/stata/dae/multivariate-regression-analysis/)
This allows to take into account multiple factors and possibilities, so if I was a data analyst for a particular sports team, and if the data was accessible to me, I could come up with regression models to help predict various outcomes.
Now stats can not account for chaos because injuries are somewhat (even though was know some players are prone to injuries) unpredictable.
However, we can adjust the regression model to account for a teams output if a injury is suffered or if certain refs has a history of making certain calls at certain situations. But we are talking about adding several variables, which could be 100 different factors.
The chaotic factor is what can't be measured. We know it's very likely James Harden is going to dribble the shot clock out and shoot a contested step-back 3 pointer most of his possessions. But for some reason, it still can't be stopped. That because, as you mentioned, stats can't explain why it can't be stopped on those nerds can't either. But true basketball fans know that's 100% skill.
Michael Wilbon said the same shit two years ago and people tried to dismiss him as being old and not wanting to learn math
Yea man once you work in a field of such you really start to see some things.
But on the real, science and math are very important to an understanding of how this world works and how people make decisions. It's one thing I'm a really teach my son.
Just dont see many blacks into the concepts of science and math in which if one follow the trends, businesses and people are really taking an interest in that area when it comes to decision making.
I got into a heated debate with my oldest.
She watches a show calls adam ruins everything
And he insisted the giants championship run was largely passed on luck.
I'm trying to explain to her of course "luck" is involved in every athletic contest.
But you can't ever devalue preparation.
She started throwing out stats..
And I'm telling her yes on paper they shouldn't have won but thats WHY you play.
She started taking this online steph curry bball class
Tying to figure out numbers in everything
But im yelling her thats good but you gotta realize somethings are just hard work and can defy traditional analysis
Bruh, that's why I love this place. I came in here to pass some time before I got up to make breakfast. Now I want to look on Amazon for a book on statistical analysis.
Bruh, that's why I love this place. I came in here to pass some time before I got up to make breakfast. Now I want to look on Amazon for a book on statistical analysis.
Yep you'll be surprised by how much of your everyday life people use statistical data to assist in your decision making process.
D'Antoni uses the law of averages philosophy, which is the fallacious belief that a particular outcome or event is inevitable or certain simply because it is statistically possible.
Meaning if his team shoots 40% from the three point line as a yearly average, and in game they are currently shooting 25%, then if they keep shooting, then eventually it balance out, which is not true.
I got into a heated debate with my oldest.
She watches a show calls adam ruins everything
And he insisted the giants championship run was largely passed on luck.
I'm trying to explain to her of course "luck" is involved in every athletic contest.
But you can't ever devalue preparation.
She started throwing out stats..
And I'm telling her yes on paper they shouldn't have won but thats WHY you play.
She started taking this online steph curry bball class
Tying to figure out numbers in everything
But im yelling her thats good but you gotta realize somethings are just hard work and can defy traditional analysis
I work in advertising and we use stats all the time when it comes to advertising campaigns. What my business has taught me is that the people interpreting the data will always bring their biases into the equation.
Yea but basketball has immeasurable things data cannot quantify
You can't measure heart or killer instinct for one
That alone is enough to almost render all the high analytics useless
Mostly definitely. We are very underrepresented in those areas, but over the years I understood why and Bomani pointed that out very well in that video. Us (black folks) don't do abstract well because it leaves too much for interpretation. Math is taught that way in our society and we need to see usage behind it, otherwise we feel there is no need for the extra shit if we ain't counting something.
That's why my approach emphasis on the philosophy of math and that we are basically doing this to understand the world. Granted, some people are simply just not interested in it, but I JUST got finished talking with one student who said she loved my math class and wish she could do more math. She didn't know she could major in it nor what to do with it. I explained to her she can do whatever she wants with it because math can explain a lot of things. Math don't depend on anything, but everything else depends on math.
Anytime you are arguing against stats, always remember that nothing is ever 100%, so most statistical arguments can only come from an angle of highest probability.
Thing like "luck" is the same thing as "chaos." No stat can predict that, which is why a lot of analytical can't comprehend that because isn't doesn't compute in their head.
And you're right preparation is key. If you know a team is a great three point shooting team, then of course your going to prep for that and find ways to contain that stat to something below their average. Doing that will increase your probabilities to be successful in other areas, which may set up the circumstances for "luck" to happen.
I love numbers, but I think this is a great to time teach her not to lean on those numbers as absolute truth because there will be many times it will not apply as well.
You and @largebillsonlyplease have been her ghost tutors going on 2 years fam.
But its getting to be a REAL challenge cause she wants to DEBATE ME now and actually tries to bring books and numbers to prove her point.
She killing me slow bro.
Killing me.
Yea that's true.
But true analytical people will try to come up with an equation to measure someone's heart and killer instinct in basketball.
They may look at data of how a player plays in the last 2 minutes of a ball game with their team down 3 possessions as one of the basis for "killer instint"... they will get the data to justify if said player has that killer instinct mentality.
This is just one example (made up off the top of my head) but I think one can get the idea that everything can be measurable to some degree. Doesn't mean that it is correct but people will use it and make decisions off of it.
I took stats in college and HATED it at first, and then the light bulb in my head came on.Exactly, you go with the highest sample size. While the percentages are the same, they don’t really tell the whole story.
Stats are best used when there are raw numbers versus percentages only. Percentages can hide lack of sample size.
I took stats in college and HATED it at first, and then the light bulb in my head came on.
That's what I seeI work in advertising and we use stats all the time when it comes to advertising campaigns. What my business has taught me is that the people interpreting the data will always bring their biases into the equation.
The answer is sample size....peep this when understanding genetics quantifying and qualifying: ancestry et al. WE DONT GET TO SEE THE LEDGER, JUST THE OUTPUT.Stats can tell any story you want them to tell. In this case you go with the player who has attempted more shots. 90% of one hundred is better than 90% of 10
It is being used to exclude black people
Nerds don't know basketball
It’s the same with analytics and the three-point shot. I remember watching your Houston Rockets play and you guys had—and please help me with their roster—you had Corey Brewer, you had J.R. Smith—
Josh Smith.