Anyone investing heavily this year??

[Madrox]

Catalyst Watch: Nvidia earnings, Amazon product event, PayPal Investor Day and Buffett's letter (SPY:NYSEARCA)

Catalyst watch preview of key stock market events in the coming week.

seekingalpha.com

Catalyst Watch: Nvidia earnings, Amazon product event, PayPal Investor Day and Buffett's letter​

Feb. 21, 2025 3:00 PM ETSPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust (SPY)AAPL, OKE, IBM, EBAY, BYON, AMZN, HD, HPQ, INTC, AMAT, NVDA, CRM, ADBE, LOW, MMM, TJX, FRO, USM, DBD, INTU, ADSK, DPZ, DE, TD, TTEK, PSA, PRGO, WILC, ALNY, WBD, SMCI, LFUS, OMI, CATX, TYEKF, FN, RNMBF, VIPS, WDAY, AMBA, FANG, CHGG, PWRMF, PYPL, RUN, CART, DELL, VREX, ZYME, KDP, IMXI, FTDR, RAMP, PD, PRMB, LMND, SNOW, QBTS, LCID, FFIE, HIMS, HOLO, ZVIA, DUOL, OMGA, CCIRBy: Clark Schultz, SA News Editor
Play(6min)
Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch - a breakdown of some of next week's actionable events that stand out. Read more about the events that may impact stock prices next week.
Saturday - February 22

• Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffett will release his annual shareholder letter alongside the company's earnings report.

Monday - February 24

• Volatility watch - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) have a high level of implied volatility based on options trading. Sunrun (RUN) and Omega Therapeutics (OMGA) head into the new week with a high level of short interest outstanding on them. The most overbought stocks per their 14-day relative strength index include Power Metals Corp (OTCQBWRMF), Cohen Circle Acquisition Corp. I (CCIR), and Hims & Hers Health (HIMS). The most oversold stocks per their 14-day Relative Strength Index include Tetra Tech (TTEK) and Owens & Minor (OMI). In Europe, defense stocks Rheinmetall AG (OTCPK:RNMBF) and Thyssenkrupp (OTCPK:TYEKF) are seeing rising short covering amid concerns about European security.
• Earnings watch - Notable companies due to report include Domino's Pizza (DPZ), Oneok (OKE), Pure Storage (PSA), and Diamondback Energy (FANG). Options trading implies a double-digit share price swing for Chegg (CHGG) and Beyond (BYON) following their reports.
• All day - The post-IPO quiet period expires on Smithfield Foods (SFD) and Beta Bionics (BBNX) to free up analysts to post ratings.
• All day - The tender offer for QXO's hostile takeover bid of Beacon Roofing (BECN) will expire.
• 4:00 p.m. Applied Materials (AMAT) management will participate in a panel discussion during the SPIE 2025 conference.

Tuesday - February 25

• Earnings watch - Notable companies due to report include Home Depot (HD), Intuit (INTU), Maplebear (CART), Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP), and Workday (WDAY). Options trading implies a double-digit share price swing for Lemonade (LMND) and Lucid Group (LCID) following their reports.
• All day - Apple (AAPL) will hold its annual meeting. Shareholders will vote on a proposals covering diversity, artificial intelligence, child safety, and charitable topics.
• All day - Notable investor events include PayPal (PYPL) Investor Day, LiveRamp's (RAMP) Investor Day and Alnylam Pharmaceuticals' (ALNY) R&D Day.
• 1:00 p.m. Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Barkin will speak on "Inflation Then and Now" before the Rotary Club of Richmond.

Wednesday - February 26

• Earnings watch - Notable companies due to report include Nvidia (NVDA), Salesforce (CRM), Lowe's (LOW), TJX Companies (TJX), eBay (EBAY), and Snowflake (SNOW). Options trading implies a double-digit share price swing for Zevia (ZVIA) and Ambarella (AMBA) after their reports.
• All day - Notable investor events include 3M Company's (MMM) Investor Day, Littelfuse's (LFUS), Investor Day, Deere & Company's (DE) annual meeting with several shareholder proposals going to a vote, International Money Express' (IMXI) Investor Day, and Diebold Nixdorf's (DBD) Investor Day.
• All day - Shareholders of Charter (CHTR) and Liberty Broadband (LBRDA) will vote on their planned merger.
• 10:00 a.m. Amazon (AMZN) will hold a product event. The tech giant is expected to announce a major artificial intelligence upgrade for its voice assistant Alexa. There is also speculation that a new smart home product could be introduced.
• 12:00 p.m. Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic will participate in conversation on the economic outlook and housing before the Urban Land Institute's annual Housing Opportunity Conference.
• 5:00 p.m. Nvidia (NVDA) will hold its earnings conference call. Options trading implies a 7% share price swing after the report is released. Notably, over the last two years, Nvidia has seen its two biggest earnings day moves following the February release of the Q4 results. Fabrinet (FN) is the supplier that has had the closest trading correlation to Nvidia over the last three years, moving in tandem with the chip giant 88% of the time.

Thursday - February 27

• Earnings watch - Notable companies due to report include Dell Technologies (DELL), HP (HPQ), Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD), and Autodesk (ADSK). Options trading implies a double-digit share price swing for Duolingo (DUOL) and Sunrun (RUN) after their reports are released.
• All day - The two-day Pre-PDAC Mining Showcase will feature keynote speakers and a long list of mining companies presenting.
• All day - Notable investor events include Frontdoor's (FTDR) Investor Day, Primo Brands' (PRMB) Investor Day, and G. Willi-Food International's (WILC) special meeting to vote on leadership appointments and compensation policy.
• All day - Perspective Therapeutics (CATX), Varex Imaging (VREX), and Zymeworks (ZYME) are some of the companies participating in the B. Riley Securities Precision Oncology & Radiopharma Conference.
• All day - The Information's AI Agenda Live event in San Francisco will include participation by Anthropic, PagerDuty (PD), Adobe (ADBE), and IBM (IBM).
• 2:00 p.m Intel (INTC) will participate in a fireside chat on the company's business and foundry strategy at the Bernstein Technology, Media & Telecom Forum.

Friday - February 28

• Earnings watch - Notable companies due to report include Frontline (FRO).
• All day - Notable investor events include Perrigo Co.'s (PRGO) Investor Day.
• 8:30 a.m. The core PCE price index report for January will be released. The Fed's favored inflation gauge was up 2.8% year-over-year in both December and November.

Seeking Alpha Editor Josh Fineman contributed to this story.

 

[HellBoy]

Small caps getting cooked this morning.

Damn what a selloff on $IWM. That printed nicely. (And I wasn't watching it).

 

[Madrox]

 

[Madrox]

Hedge Funds' Top Picks in Q4

Wall Street’s latest favorites—time to pay attention?

www.appeconomyinsights.com

Top 5 holdings end of December:​

Top 5 buys in Q4 (stocks they bought the most during the quarter):​

 

[DC_Dude]

 

[Madrox]

Thanks for the reminder. I'm only part of the way through but that tax payment stat is bananas.

 

[Madrox]

In this video, you’ll learn about fractional shares—an innovation that has made investment more cost-effective for a much wider group of people. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, fractional shares allow you to build a diversified portfolio without the need for large sums of money. I’ll dig into how fractional shares work, their pros and cons, and why I think platforms that don’t offer fractional shares seem horribly outdated.

Timestamps
00:00 Introduction
00:35 What Are Fractional Shares?
03:26 Pros: Lower Barrier To Entry
04:53 Pros: Diversify With Less
08:16 Pros: No Cash Leftovers & More Dividends
10:21 Pros: Small Amount Stock Portfolios
11:18 Cons: Voting Rights
12:32 Cons: Availability
13:45 Cons: Not Transferable
14:27 Cons: Platform Failure?

 

[Helico-pterFunk]

How to Find Any Lost 401(k)

The Retirement Savings Lost and Found Database can help you find lost or forgotten benefits and get information on how to obtain those fund. Here's how to use this new tool, as well as other ways for you to track down an old 401(k).

lifehacker.com

Money - Tips, Tricks and Hacks for Doing Everything Better | Lifehacker

Two Cents demystifies personal finance and teaches you how to budget on your own terms, which investments are right for you, and how to achieve financial independence and a comfortable retirement.

lifehacker.com

 

[Helico-pterFunk]

My aunt was over visiting last Sunday afternoon & we went out for dinner that evening. We were casually talking about assorted topics, including investments. Mentioning some of the rates of GICs and CSBs (Canada Savings Bonds) back in the day. The GICs were mostly for 3-year windows, whereas the CSBs were longer (with better interest) up to 5 and 10 years, if I remember correctly. Kind of like invest it and forget about it, and then cash it out much later on. She was smiling telling a story about some larger investments that she cashed out later on that were 15% interest. Bank teller was like - "Damn, do you mind if I call my coworkers over to see this?" Aunt didn't mind ... they came over and were politely like - "Holy shit" ... all quite impressed.

 

[DC_Dude]

My aunt was over visiting last Sunday afternoon & we went out for dinner that evening. We were casually talking about assorted topics, including investments. Mentioning some of the rates of GICs and CSBs (Canada Savings Bonds) back in the day. The GICs were mostly for 3-year windows, whereas the CSBs were longer (with better interest) up to 5 and 10 years, if I remember correctly. Kind of like invest it and forget about it, and then cash it out much later on. She was smiling telling a story about some larger investments that she cashed out later on that were 15% interest. Bank teller was like - "Damn, do you mind if I call my coworkers over to see this?" Aunt didn't mind ... they came over and were politely like - "Holy shit" ... all quite impressed.

Love these type of stories.......

 

[DC_Dude]

Is this accurate??

 

[Helico-pterFunk]

Love these type of stories.......

Thanks DC.

One of my best stories was in the early 2000s with grandma.

She would give family members savings bonds as gifts and be like - “that is your birthday + Xmas gift for the year, but it matures in 10 years”, lol.

As a young person it was frustrating being an impatient idiot.

But you sort of forget about it until you are in your 20s and then it’s time to visit the bank. And that $500 or 1000 with compounding interest of 10 - 12% for 10 years is worth quite a bit more.

It all works out in the end.

Compared to the GICs which were at 2.25 - 3.5 - 5%, or 2.5 - 7% over 3 years.

 

[Flawless]

This is going to be a big week, what are your plays?

I have some Nvda leaps I bought last time it dipped, if it sells off I will turn them in to poor man covered calls.

 

[Flawless]

Pltr selling off

 

[HellBoy]

I didnt miss IWM this morning. Sizeable amount of puts are printing.

Edit: out at 10:07.

 

[Flawless]

Market selling off now, seems this morning when the market was up it was a trap

 

[Rudey]

qqq puts selling since Friday

 

[Flawless]

qqq puts selling since Friday

Been watching to see if it goes back down to 510

 

[DC_Dude]

Thanks DC.

One of my best stories was in the early 2000s with grandma.

She would give family members savings bonds as gifts and be like - “that is your birthday + Xmas gift for the year, but it matures in 10 years”, lol.

As a young person it was frustrating being an impatient idiot.

But you sort of forget about it until you are in your 20s and then it’s time to visit the bank. And that $500 or 1000 with compounding interest of 10 - 12% for 10 years is worth quite a bit more.

It all works out in the end.

Compared to the GICs which were at 2.25 - 3.5 - 5%, or 2.5 - 7% over 3 years.

This is something I wanted to do for my nepnews and nieces. I just give their parents money and tell them to put that joint into their college fund....Bonds would be preferred though...Have to look into how to do that

 

[Nonfiction]

Bears make money, Bulls make money, Pigs get slaughtered definitely 2025 theme

 

[Helico-pterFunk]

This is something I wanted to do for my nepnews and nieces. I just give their parents money and tell them to put that joint into their college fund....Bonds would be preferred though...Have to look into how to do that

Nice. Props to you for looking out for your nieces and nephews.

My cousin lost his parents in 1997 and 2012. He has 4 kids (ages 2 - 17). I asked him and his wife if I could put their kids on my will in case of worst case scenario for myself. They appreciated that. Just in case him and his wife are in a tough spot financially in the future; help them look out for their kids. They are both grade school teachers.

In regards to college fund ... my parents had an RESP set up for us kids. Registered Educational Savings Plan. They contributed a bit to that annually and I think my grandma added some too.

When I was in college I paid for books and tuition via my own money, small scholarship & the RESP fund. Thankfully it wasn't as expensive as things are now (late-90s into early-2000s).

 

[Helico-pterFunk]

Gold hits record highs. Will it keep climbing?

Since the start of 2025, the price of gold has climbed 12 per cent. Compared to a year ago, it’s up more than 45 per cent.

www.ctvnews.ca

 

[Flawless]

SOUN is around $14.25 right now. Still watching for it to get down to around $12.50 for a swing.

You still in $soun?

 

[HellBoy]

You still in $soun?

Not in it. It never stop falling to a point to buy in.

 

[A to Dah K]

Year off to a shitty start

 

[Flawless]

Year off to a shitty start

Not really, now would have been the time to be buying instead of when everything was at an all time high couple weeks ago. Hindsight's a bitch.

 

[HellBoy]

Year off to a shitty start

Whats wild is that there is so much political uncertainty that any move you make could leave you holding the bag.

 

[Flawless]

Whats wild is that there is so much political uncertainty that any move you make could leave you holding the bag.

I'm confident we will have couple days where the vix spikes to the 50's I am holding cash for those days.

 

[Madrox]

Whats wild is that there is so much political uncertainty that any move you make could leave you holding the bag.

 

[Flawless]

Hims beat earning and revenue and has a good forecast yet is down 10% after hours

 

[Flawless]

$mstr selling off, stay away from these meme stocks

 

[DC_Dude]

We could easily be looking at a negative payrolls print in the coming months as a result of DOGE. This would be the first negative print since 2020. I have been a structural bull on the economy and risk assets for the past 5 years. But, if DOGE can actually succeed, I will likely be a structural bear on risk *in the short term*. I wouldn’t sell any risk positions, but I would load up traditional risk off positions, temporarily. That could even mean long duration bonds!

 

[HellBoy]

Tesla Inc. sales tumbled by nearly 50% in Europe last month as the electric-vehicle maker's market share fell further in favor of rivals.

That's according to the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association, which reported that Tesla's (TSLA) sales in the European Union and the U.K. fell to 9,945 in January from 18,161 a year ago - a 45.2% drop - while its market share dropped to 1% from 1.8%.

A fall in new registrations for Tesla came even as sales of battery-electric vehicles rose an overall 34% in the region. Growth surged across three of the four biggest markets, with BEV sales up by 53.5% in Germany, 37.2% in Belgium and 28.2% in the Netherlands in January.

And Tesla's competitors appeared to be clawing away market share. Volkswagen AG (XE:VOW3), which is No. 1 in new car registrations for the region, saw a 5.3% rise in sales over 2024, while China's SAIC Motor Corp. (CN:600104) grew sales by nearly 37%.

Wall Street has blamed Tesla's year-to-date 18% drop partly on its struggles to stay competitive in overseas markets. Sales also fell in January in its second-largest market, China, dropping 11%.

 

[Non-StopJFK2TAB]

Greed will always do you in. I presume everything is going to lose 75% of their value and use that as my base.

What do people really need?

 

[Flawless]

Tesla Inc. sales tumbled by nearly 50% in Europe last month as the electric-vehicle maker's market share fell further in favor of rivals.

That's according to the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association, which reported that Tesla's (TSLA) sales in the European Union and the U.K. fell to 9,945 in January from 18,161 a year ago - a 45.2% drop - while its market share dropped to 1% from 1.8%.

A fall in new registrations for Tesla came even as sales of battery-electric vehicles rose an overall 34% in the region. Growth surged across three of the four biggest markets, with BEV sales up by 53.5% in Germany, 37.2% in Belgium and 28.2% in the Netherlands in January.

And Tesla's competitors appeared to be clawing away market share. Volkswagen AG (XE:VOW3), which is No. 1 in new car registrations for the region, saw a 5.3% rise in sales over 2024, while China's SAIC Motor Corp. (CN:600104) grew sales by nearly 37%.

Wall Street has blamed Tesla's year-to-date 18% drop partly on its struggles to stay competitive in overseas markets. Sales also fell in January in its second-largest market, China, dropping 11%.

The US government to bail him out and order a large fleet from Tesla in 3 2 1 .