The first step is giving the city the freedom to set its own wage floor
Last spring, New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani proposed a “$30 by 2030” minimum wage for New York City workers.1 Ambitious strategies to raise wages and lower costs are needed given that New York City’s current $16.50 minimum wage is inadequate compared with any reasonable measure of a living wage in the city.Without a policy change, we project there will be 1.68 million NYC workers earning less than $30 an hour in 2030, or 36.7% of the city’s wage-earning workforce. It is likely that the vast majority of these workers would experience significant wage gains if a $30 minimum wage were implemented.
An enormous body of research on the effects of higher minimum wages has shown that past minimum wage increases have meaningfully raised pay for low-wage workers without causing significant increases in unemployment. However, the “$30 by 2030” proposal would go beyond the levels of minimum wages studied in past research, making it more difficult to precisely estimate the number of workers who would benefit and any additional impacts of the measure, such as reductions in hours or employment.
New York City’s current minimum wage does not come close to a living wage
NYC workers face some of the highest living costs in the nation. EPI’s Family Budget Calculator (FBC) measures the income a family needs to attain a modest yet adequate standard of living in every U.S. county. The FBC thresholds are conservative amounts: they account for necessities like housing, food, transportation, health care, and child care but do not provide any allowance for savings for retirement, emergencies, or college. As Figure A shows, a family of two adults and two children in the Bronx faces annual costs of nearly $135,000.2 In Manhattan, these costs are greater than $167,000 a year. For a single adult with no children, annual costs range from $62,913 in the Bronx to $87,038 in Manhattan.Figure A
A family of four in NYC needs at least $134,000 a year to make ends meet
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