Is Africa the Next Asia?

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Africa, the next Asia for investors?

By The Associated Press

Economies in Africa are among the world's fast growers, and more analysts suggest investors pay attention to the continent.

Historically, heavy debt loads and political strife weighed on Africa. But since 2001, the resource-rich continent has been lifted by stronger prices for oil, gold and other commodities.

Africa, in some ways, resembles Asia 20 to 30 years ago, when that region began its growth spurt, Credit Suisse analysts say in a recent report.

They point to greater political stability, higher education levels, investments by China, continued commodity price strength and lower inflation. The latter is about 6 percent compared with 19 percent in the 1980s.

It can be difficult for U.S. investors to get access to African stocks, especially outside South Africa.

Few analysts follow them, and they can be thinly traded. But Americans can play the region's growth through U.S. companies.

Another avenue is mutual funds focused on Africa. T. Rowe Price launched its Africa & Middle East fund (TRAMX) last year.

Most of the fund's holdings are in the Middle East. Joseph Rohm, vice president of T. Rowe Price International, sees opportunities in energy, financials, infrastructure and telecommunications, as mobile-telephone use skyrockets across the continent.

African stocks tend to have a relatively low correlation with the U.S. market, which helps diversify investors' portfolios, Rohm says.

African banks, for example, have largely sidestepped the huge write-downs global banks have taken in connection with U.S. mortgages.

The corporate-management talent pool is also improving, as Africans educated in the United States and Europe return, Rohm says.

To be sure, Africa still has a way to go to become the next Asia, experts say.

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Though Africa makes up 13 percent of the world's 6.5 billion population, it accounts for just 2 percent of global economic output, Credit Suisse says.

A drop in commodity prices would also hurt. And though conditions have improved, political strife remains.

The T. Rowe Price fund avoids such markets as Zimbabwe for this reason

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2004375873_africa27.html

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It saddens me knowing that China has invested more into building Africa than the U.S. and Great Britain.

 
Good post, but none of those nation have ever have the best interest of Africa (2cents)

Agreed.

I see it as a debt of gratitude. Great Britain and the U.S. have benefited greatly from African labour and it's natural resources.
Investing in African nations can prove effectively beneficial in reducing oil prices and imported goods.
 

Here's a related thread:

Wanna help end poverty in Africa?????

http://www.bgol.us/board/showthread.php?t=40655&highlight=invest+africa

`

Que, I have in have in the past given a decent sum of money to help fight poverty, hunger, and disease in Africa by way of PLAN-USA. I temporarily stopped about a year ago because my finances were tight and plus my attention had turned towards helping my family in Haiti. I do, however, plan on sponsoring a child (maybe even a whole town) when the I'm done w/ grad school. At some point I would like to own property or a business in West Africa.
 
Are investors missing out on sub-Sahara Africa?

By Alonzo Fulgham Alonzo Fulgham
Tue Sep 29, 5:00 am ET

Washington – Here's some good, if counterintuitive, news for American investors.

Normally, by the time an investment tip makes its way into a newspaper, conventional wisdom says the money is already off the table. Not so in the case of sub-Saharan Africa. American investors and companies are overlooking an investment opportunity in plain sight. And the smart money will climb aboard before the economic tide rises. The rest will miss a fast-moving boat.

Market-friendly reforms in Africa are happening at a faster pace in this decade than at any time since most African nations achieved independence in the latter half of the 20th century. They reflect a serious and sustained commitment by African governments to meet the needs of local entrepreneurs as well as foreign investors – because they recognize that the fastest path to prosperity for their people is through investment and self-sustaining economic growth.

Western media typically cast sub-Saharan Africa in terms of conflict, corruption, AIDS, and poverty – and the present food and energy picture understandably dominates the news. But read behind the headlines and you can see some of the most attractive investment environments in the world. Foreign direct investment from all countries into sub-Saharan Africa grew by 60 percent in 2007, to nearly $27 billion. Total private capital flows have grown eightfold since 2002.

Investment-led growth in Africa will enable that continent to contribute to the recovery from the global recession affecting individual Americans as well as improving the lives of Africans.

The opportunity isn't going unnoticed by investors in other parts of the world. China is poised to overtake the US in pace of investment in Africa. Kuwaiti interests purchased Africa's Celtel for $3.4 billion. Moscow investment bank Renaissance Capital announced plans to double its investments in Africa to at least $1 billion. French firm SoSuMar is building a sugar-processing factory in Mali, where they expect an internal rate of return of nearly 58 percent.

The territory in most business sectors is wide-open. Prime areas include agriculture, healthcare, infrastructure, information technology, tourism, telecommunications, and textiles.

Are US investors aware of striking changes in Africa? Sweeping reforms have been launched in 40 African nations since the 1990s: pro-business policies, strong judicial systems, better standards, respect for intellectual property rights. Debt relief has markedly improved Africa's credit worthiness. Monetary policies have pushed inflation down from the 19 percent average of the 1980s, to 7 to 8 percent today. Fiscal policies have turned country budget deficits into an average budget surplus of 2 percent of Africa's gross domestic product.

Despite the headlines in Sudan, Zimbabwe, and Congo, the great majority of African countries enjoy thriving democracies and stability, with governments that have earned public confidence through audited elections. Last year more than 54 million Africans voted in 19 peaceful presidential and parliamentary contests.

The result? Real economic growth in 2 out of 5 sub-Saharan countries was triple that of the US economy last year, on a pace that rivals that of Southeast Asia in 1980. African economies from Senegal to Benin to the Democratic Republic of Congo are more diversified. Growth in the region is expected to hit 6.5 percent this year.

To be sure, there are still serious risks, challenges, and constraints for smart money to navigate: shortages of electricity and skilled talent; countries where reforms are fragile and postconflict governments less secure. Successful investors and entrepreneurs enter these markets aware that differences in culture and shortages of investor-ready information and institutional capacity put a premium on patience and collaboration. There is no substitute for due diligence.

But help is available. By working with USAID, American firms can help shape programs that serve both the aspirations of Africa's citizens and the interests of investors. Most African governments have streamlined business registrations and launched one-stop shops to help potential investors.

The Overseas Private Investment Corporation makes loans of up to $250 million for projects in emerging markets. The Millennium Challenge Corporation provides powerful incentives to countries promoting good governance. And for US exporters, the Trade Information Center offers targeted country and market research as well as counseling and export assistance centers.

This growth story is in its first chapter, much as Asia's was three decades ago, with all of the attendant risks and potential rewards. Investors worldwide are aggressively entering and operating in sub-Saharan Africa as the last great investment frontier. American firms should take a much closer look.

Alonzo Fulgham is serving as acting administrator for the US Agency for International Development (USAID).


http://news.yahoo.com/s/csm/20090929/cm_csm/yfulghamweb/print
 
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