What about scenerio #6, Iran stays intact and secures an upperhand controlling the Strait of Hormuz, kills the leader of Israel, successfully defends a US ground attack and Trump must now face this war alone. Which, as people know when Trump smells a loss, he abandons his position entirely. These pundents constantly leave out what is actually happening now. The X factor, which I believe we are at, is a hard pill to swallow, when it means a global reshuffling of power. How will America's enemies now look at America? We are now taking a global loss unheard of previously. Scary times.