Anyone investing heavily this year??

How much money did you lose/gain this past week?


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We break down the hidden rule shared by some of the most successful traders in history, including traders like Mark Minervini, Nicolas Darvas, and Kristjan Qullamaggie.

That rule is; Built-in Failure.

You’ll learn:

Why many profitable traders win only 30–40% of the time
How small, controlled losses are designed into elite trading systems
Why a 90% win rate can actually be more dangerous than a low one
How risk-to-reward ratios change the maths of profitability
Why letting winners run is more important than being right.
 


THE FED IS PREPARING TO SELL U.S. DOLLARS AND BUY JAPANESE YEN FOR THE FIRST TIME THIS CENTURY.

The New York Fed has already done rate checks, which is the exact step taken before real currency intervention. That means the U.S. is preparing to sell dollars and buy yen.

This is rare. And historically, when this happens, global markets surge.

Japan is under heavy pressure. The yen has been weak for years, Japanese bond yields are at multi decade highs, and the Bank of Japan is still hawkish. Together, this creates stress not just for Japan, but for global markets. That is why central banks are now taking the situation seriously.

Japan has already tried to defend its currency many times on its own. But it failed in 2022 and 2024. Even the July 2024 intervention only worked for short time.

History is very clear on this: When Japan acts alone, it does not work. When the U.S. and Japan act together, it does.

We saw this in 1998 during the Asian Financial Crisis. Japan’s solo interventions failed, but when the U.S. joined, the yen stabilized. We saw it even more clearly in 1985 with the Plaza Accord, when coordinated action pushed the dollar down nearly 50% over two years.

That changed everything: The dollar weakened. Gold, Commodities, Non US markets all pumped.

If the Fed intervenes, this is how it'll play out :

- The Fed creates dollars, sells them, and uses those dollars to buy yen.
- That weakens the dollar and increases global liquidity.
- And whenever the dollar is intentionally weakened, asset prices usually surge.

Now look at crypto.

Bitcoin has one of the strongest inverse relationships with the dollar and one of the strongest positive relationships with the yen. Right now, BTC yen correlation is near record highs.

But there is a catch.

There is still hundreds of billions of dollars tied into the yen carry trade. People borrow cheap yen and invest in stocks and crypto. When the yen strengthens suddenly, they are forced to sell those assets to repay loans.

We saw this in August 2024: A small BOJ rate hike sent the yen higher. Bitcoin crashed from $64K to $49K in six days. Crypto lost $600B in value.

- So yen strength creates short term risk for crypto.

- But dollar weakness creates long term upside.

Now, why is this bullish for crypto ?

Because Bitcoin is still well below its 2025 peak. It is one of the few major assets that has not fully repriced for currency debasement.

If coordinated intervention actually happens and the dollar weakens, capital will look for assets that are still cheap relative to the macro shift. Historically, crypto benefits strongly from that environment.

This may become one of the most important macro setups of 2026.
 
@doe moe and anyone invested in NVIDIA, the blackwell chip was named after Dr. Blackwell...

GoG_poster_infographic-12x18.png




 
@doe moe and anyone invested in NVIDIA, the blackwell chip was named after Dr. Blackwell...

GoG_poster_infographic-12x18.png





Yeah I just heard his grand daughter speak on the documentary.

Link to documentary site - https://www.gameofgeniusfilm.com/

Link to fund raiser to help support - https://givebutter.com/gameofgenius

Hearing his story is one of black strength!

Dr. Blackwell is a founding Father of A.I. and developed many mathematical computations to make it all possible.

Truly remarkable life story!
 
MArgin gets raised again....:rolleyes:
Which banks do they want to protect ?



SILver futures (/SILH6) is not for the weaklings.....every point is 1G on this contract
Going back to MGC for now
Got to make back what I left on the table.

I know...wrong mindset, but I have to do it
 
:lol:

I believe him



In other news....
again margin increases for Silver :rolleyes:




Insights from an international perspective
 
SLAUGHTERHOUSE



SIlver now 114
GOLD now 5360

I still believe in the bull case of the metals
This premium in India & China doesn't make sense & only strengthens my believe.

 
Break it down for the rest of us. Will 2026 be as strong as 2025?
I don't know. Better question to ask is where the opportunities will be.
What worked for me was to look at past ideas that worked and then try to map them to today's world.

Example


This guy always has out of the box ideas that most investors don't talk about.
 
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No way he picked this dude without him kissing the ring. More foolishness incoming.

From the comments section:
"During his tenure, he played a significant role during the 2008 financial crisis, serving as the Fed’s liaison to Wall Street and helping coordinate emergency lending programs and interventions.
He was particularly involved in crafting the Fed’s response to the crisis, including various facilities designed to stabilize financial markets. Warsh was known for his expertise in financial markets and his connections to Wall Street, which proved valuable during the crisis period."


So.......... basically Trump picked someone to run the Fed,
Who already had extensive experience dealing with a major financial crisis with the Fed
This can't be just a coincidence
Is this foreshadowing a setup to another major financial crisis, soon after he gets in?

uh-oh.gif
 
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From the comments section:
"During his tenure, he played a significant role during the 2008 financial crisis, serving as the Fed’s liaison to Wall Street and helping coordinate emergency lending programs and interventions.
He was particularly involved in crafting the Fed’s response to the crisis, including various facilities designed to stabilize financial markets. Warsh was known for his expertise in financial markets and his connections to Wall Street, which proved valuable during the crisis period."


So.......... basically Trump picked someone to run the Fed,
Who already had extensive experience dealing with a major financial crisis with the Fed
This can't be just a coincidence
Is this foreshadowing a setup to another major financial crisis, soon after he gets in?

uh-oh.gif

Economy goes to shit -> 47 looks bad ->he panics -> forces rash Fed decisions -> We suffer.
 
image.png


*Weekly chart shows 5 prior touches around $92 - 100 since July 2025.

$HOOD is back at $100, anyone interested?
 
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