Put your election predictions on the record

Election results


  • Total voters
    92
  • Poll closed .

How can it possibly be that close . Shits disgraceful

2008- Obama +12.5
2012- Obama +6.7
2016- Clinton +2.4
2020- Biden +2.3

Then it was the only state to boot out its Democratic governor for a Republican in 2022 because the service workers were mad about covid shutdowns.

It was always going to be close, the question was if this is when the state finally flips because there's been a clear negative trend for Democrats.

I'm about to make my picks and I think Kamala hangs on in Nevada. But it's one of three states I'm most unsure of.
 

UPDATED Nov. 4, 2024, at 11:15 PM

Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?​

538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.


1,000
simulations

Harris
504

Trump
494

No winner
2
 
My prediction:

Senate control:
Republicans, picking up West Virginia and Montana

House:
Democrats

Presidential:

K37lm.png
 
Last edited:











Last and final update: 12:30 a.m., Tuesday, November 5. Happy Election Day! At exactly midnight on Tuesday, we ran our simulation model for the final time in this election cycle. Out of 80,000 simulations, Kamala Harris won in 40,012 (50.015%) cases. She did not win in 39,988 simulations (49.985%). Of those, 39,718 were outright wins for Donald Trump and the remainder (270 simulations) were exact 269-269 Electoral College ties: these ties are likely to eventually result in Trump wins in the U.S. House of Representatives.
 
@VAiz4hustlaz @Soul On Ice @xfactor @Supersav

I want to see if you Dem haters know more than @Camille @DC_Dude @gutsdabeast @donwuan and the rest of the MSNBC lovers.

We’ve had a ton of conjecture, this thread is about tangibles! Everyone go on the record!
@VAiz4hustlaz @Soul On Ice @xfactor @Supersav them pussies aint gonna vote even in a poll...theyre too afraid to be held accountable for their choices even if its a prediction.

IF they show up it'll be to talk shit but it wont be to vote in the poll.
 
How this shit manages to be 50/50 right up until the end,every fucking election
I don't think it is I believe the media is playing this election up my opinion is Trump will trounce harris or he already has but the media want to make this a too close to call race so people will watch their shitty news cast.
Vote for who you want but by friday it's back to business as usual
 
I don't think it is I believe the media is playing this election up my opinion is Trump will trounce harris or he already has but the media want to make this a too close to call race so people will watch their shitty news cast.
Vote for who you want but by friday it's back to business as usual

It's going to be crazy!!... :smh:
 
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