Joe Biden is now POTUS

Listen, if white non-college educated voters aren't really showing up for Trump, he's gonna get historically washed... like biggest loss in decades. they'll come out on ED but if there is any meaningful lag there, he's done... that's the only group he's still winning in meaningful numbers and rurul america is the only area he can run up the numbers
 
Listen, if white non-college educated voters aren't really showing up for Trump, he's gonna get historically washed... like biggest loss in decades. they'll come out on ED but if there is any meaningful lag there, he's done... that's the only group he's still winning in meaningful numbers and rurul america is the only area he can run up the numbers

And if that 53% of white women vote from 2016 decreases, that’s his ass too.

Lots of shit working against him that was working for him.
 
Yeah, man. This is a thread about polling data.
raw
 
Do we really believe Biden will win this? Although I believe he will, I still cannot forget 2016.

I'm trying to keep myself from getting too hopeful to see Chump lose.

Smh, anxiety and stress levels are going to be all over the place tomorrow.

Put it this way, fam. Regardless of what happens, you’re still going to live your life the best way you can. You’ve done your part and that is about as much control as you have over this mess.

I think Biden is going to win based on assessments. No doubt, the electoral college has the final say.
 
And if that 53% of white women vote from 2016 decreases, that’s his ass too.

Lots of shit working against him that was working for him.

Man. Everything worked in his favor in 2016. Nothing is working in his favor in 2020. I'm surprisingly calm about this one. I don't see a path based on the available data. When I read the pro-Trump polling data, it's so out of sync with reality that I know they aren't even getting something that we aren't. It's just manufactured noise to bring down the aggregate. How can all the senators and gop candidates in these house races all over the map be in serious trouble but trump isn't. It doesn't make sense. I think this thing gets called tomorrow night.
 
@Dota I cant wait to read your analysis is for tonight

Bro, not much is going to change from the Saturday analysis. With the way things are looking, Texas will hit over 12M voters. My numbers are raw numbers which don't take into account 1st time voters, voters who sat out 2016, racial breakdown, or college/non-college. Because of that, it shows Trump with the lead.

As crazy as voting has been in Texas this year, they'll probably blow past their 2016 total and reach 12.5M. That only helps Biden. 2016 exit polls showed college educated whites making up 31% of the total vote and voting for Trump at 62%. If he's losing those voters like @Spectrum indicated, Trump is about to get blown the fuck out.

I'm rolling my shit on Biden for the upset.
tumblr_p2af1nI8V11rchkzlo1_400.gifv
 
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Nah.. It's more of poeple fleeing the high cost of living California who are shifting the electorate

Yep. I remember we were talking about Texas vs Cali the other day. I know plenty of people in LA that have moved to Austin...and I always hear republicans on redstate and shit complaining about people from California coming to Texas driving up the home prices. The migration is real.
 
Put it this way, fam. Regardless of what happens, you’re still going to live your life the best way you can. You’ve done your part and that is about as much control as you have over this mess.

I think Biden is going to win based on assessments. No doubt, the electoral college has the final say.

Real talk... because I have OCD on polling data... the shit just interests me... I'll be glad when this shit is over... takes a bit of time away from my real work...lol.. now I just gotta hope ETA doesn't come up north on my ass
 
Here are some more reasons to be cautiously optimistic about tomorrow.

Look at the 2012 versus 2016 turnout for these states :smh:

Asian/Latino/Black turnout in 2016 was down 8-12% in states Trump barely won. We are looking at record turnout now...

VoterTrends2016-webtable-2-693.png


VoterTrends2016-webtable-3-693.png


VoterTrends2016-webtable-4-693.png


VoterTrends2016-webtable-5-693.png
 
Here are some more reasons to be cautiously optimistic about tomorrow.

Look at the 2012 versus 2016 turnout for these states :smh:

Asian/Latino/Black turnout in 2016 was down 8-12% in states Trump barely won. We are looking at record turnout now...

VoterTrends2016-webtable-2-693.png


VoterTrends2016-webtable-3-693.png


VoterTrends2016-webtable-4-693.png


VoterTrends2016-webtable-5-693.png

If he doesn't get all of those rural rednecks to show up :itsawrap: for the GOP
 
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