Romney thinks T.rump will win reelection.

Yes, exactly why he flips back to the hardline about Trump for the win, he basically wants to be the GOP front runner 2024 after the dust settles and if Trump is destroyed in the 2020 election but wants to dip his toe in the "fuck Trump I'm not like him" while doing so.

jmo
So what's funny.
 
That’s his opinion but I know what I see and a lot of other people see that’s tangible and a predictor of the election outcome.. Republicans haven’t won shit since 2018 when that blue wave swept in and that was a repudiation of trump, so Romney thinks that blue wave is all of a sudden going to disappear now? Amid a pandemic? Amid an economic collapse? Amid 40 million people being unemployed? All due to Trump’s incompetence? Romney really saying trump will be re-elected again?

Funny how Trump so shook of mail in voter ballots you want to know why? Because Russia did foresee that aspect so now it’s hard for them to cheat.
Bruh their are alot of dumb Americans,also millions didn't vote last election . I don't think he'll win again, but it will be close and he'll fight the results if so
 
So what's funny.
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While his reasons are true, none of them mean that Trump is actually going to win. Mitt just mentioned 3 advantages that Trump has over Biden. Trump is still way behind Biden and if Biden starts focusing more on his policies, then it's a wrap for Trump.
 
Bruh their are alot of dumb Americans,also millions didn't vote last election . I don't think he'll win again, but it will be close and he'll fight the results if so
Yeah millions didn’t vote last election in 2016,,, millions more voted in the 2018 congressional election which was more people than in 2016 presidential election... In looking at the trends not speculation
 
Romney has no choice but to say that.

If he says Trump will lose, and he actually voted for him to be impeached and openly being critical of him, it makes it seems like he's actively working to help the Democrats.

If he says Trump will win, he can do all those same things and just say I'm being a voice of reason in the party but I'm still working for "us" to win.

He's positioning himself for a Post-Trump world. He knows Trump is toast.
 
And number three, I think the voters that are most animated in opposition to the president tend not to come out to vote ― and that’s young people and the minorities. They’re active in polls, but not necessarily active at actually getting out to the polls,” the senator said.
 
The man needs a new nickname. How about "full of shit Mitt"?

The idea that young people in minorities opposed to Trump won't come out to vote? When the Republicans cut back the number of public polling stations in Wisconsin in Atlanta who were the people that stood in line for hours and literally risked their lives to cast a ballot? It was black people and young people. And that was during the damn primaries!

Also, black people overwhelmingly voted for Hillary Clinton against Donald Trump in 2016. Does he really think those same voters are going to sit this one out?

Worst of all, Mitt completely ignores the overwhelming reason why Trump won 2016 in the first place. Republicans, including full of shit Mitt, spent over a decade winning small elections so that they could control the voter districts. They also campaigned heavily in swing states that Hillary Clinton neglected. In fact they were so thorough that Huckleberry Hound could have made it to the White House as long as he had an elephant behind his name.

I'll still give Romney credit for being the first Republican to spearhead the stimulus checks. Also for being the lone Republican senator to support Trump's impeachment. he genuinely seems like he could actually be a decent human being, but I'm not giving him this one.
 
While his reasons are true, none of them mean that Trump is actually going to win. Mitt just mentioned 3 advantages that Trump has over Biden. Trump is still way behind Biden and if Biden starts focusing more on his policies, then it's a wrap for Trump.
Thats why the debates are a must-see...
 
Romney lol. The same way he thought he was going to beat Obama. This motherfucker didn't know why windows are closed on planes.
 
I don’t need mitt to tell me that. That’s why I’m voting and ain’t letting these dudes trick me out of it.
 
This article is all hype and there is no real substance to it. All Romey, who has lost 2 presidential campaigns, said 3 things.
1) The incumbent has an advantage. Yeah that maybe true, but tell that to Bush Sr, Carter, Johnson and the 9 or so others.
2) Minorities don't vote. In 2016 Trump got about 33% of Hispanic vote, for the 2020 Campaign the eligible Hispanic vote jumped 20% to 32 million and Trump is now polling at 20% of the Hispanic vote. It actually maybe the minorities who take him out.
3) Trump may center his platform. This is just an assumption. Trump loves to talk to his base, so I doubt this will happen. Trump is a creature of habit and will run back to his right wing base.

The article doesn't speak to the anger factor. Basically when people are angry they are a lot more likely to follow through with action. Millions of people hate Trump and they will not be idly sitting at home on election day.
 
What Trump and his supporters want is for dems and others to take the defeatist attitude and just say fuck it and not show up to the polls.
 
Here's Why Mitt Romney Thinks Donald Trump Will Win Reelection
Igor Bobic

6 hrs ago


Mitt Romney is one of Donald Trump’s biggest Republican critics on Capitol Hill. He’s the only GOP senator who voted to convict the president for abuse of power earlier this year, and he regularly calls Trump out on policy and personal conduct.

Yet the Utah lawmaker, who was his party’s presidential standard-bearer in 2012, believes Trump is likely to win reelection this November.

Asked why he foresees that outcome, especially with most public polls showing Trump trailing badly behind presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, Romney offered three reasons.

Sen. Mitt Romney thinks President Donald Trump is favored to win reelection.
“There are enormous advantages to being the incumbent, number one,” Romney told HuffPost on Thursday. “Number two, I think [Trump] will tack more towards the middle in his communication than he has so far.”

“And number three, I think the voters that are most animated in opposition to the president tend not to come out to vote ― and that’s young people and the minorities. They’re active in polls, but not necessarily active at actually getting out to the polls,” the senator said.

The futility of expecting Trump to somehow moderate his tone aside, Romney’s theory about the nature of the electorate and polling is an interesting one.
Current polling methods don’t accurately sample minority and young voters for a variety of reasons. Racial minorities for whom English is not their native language and young adults are often underrepresented in phone surveys, for example. Pollsters attempt to correct for those difficulties by applying sampling weights based on their assumptions about the ultimate makeup of the electorate. Partisans on both sides of the aisle have attempted to “unskew” unfavorable polls by tinkering with those assumptions.

Moreover, Romney might not be right on who will show up to vote in November. He lost to President Barack Obama in the 2012 election due to unexpectedly high turnout from young people and minorities. He later blamed his defeat on what he called “gifts” the Obama administration gave to key voter blocs, including African Americans, Hispanics and young women.

Romney’s loss came as a complete shock to the candidate and his campaign, who believed they were headed for victory on Election Day based on rosy internal polling. Romney’s confidence in victory was so great that he reportedly never even wrote a concession speech.
Neil Newhouse, his campaign pollster at the time, suggested that the voters who turned out in 2012 were overall much younger and less white than the campaign anticipated, especially across the Sun Belt states.

“The Colorado Latino vote was extraordinarily challenging,” Newhouse said in 2012. “As it was in Florida.”

In other words, don’t count out all those young and minority Americans fed up with Trump. But Biden has also shown an unusual strength among older voters ― a group that at least in modern history has tended to favor GOP presidential candidates. That could give him a path to the White House that doesn’t necessarily rely on a surge of young and minority voters.

The reason he gives is that he feels that young people and minorities who hate Trump won't vote and then in the next paragraph the reason Romney lost is large turnout bu young people and minorities. Everyone is entitled to an opinion but at least make that opinion align with the reality that you encountered, for him to say something that is not true.

He also says that Trump will tack to the middle - while every day Trump doubles down on his racist base.

Romney must have been high on Mormon Apple Juice because his thinking is just off base.
 
“And number three, I think the voters that are most animated in opposition to the president tend not to come out to vote ― and that’s young people and the minorities. They’re active in polls, but not necessarily active at actually getting out to the polls,” the senator said.

Basically y’all black and youth don’t vote but his supporters will
 
“And number three, I think the voters that are most animated in opposition to the president tend not to come out to vote ― and that’s young people and the minorities. They’re active in polls, but not necessarily active at actually getting out to the polls,” the senator said.

Basically y’all black and youth don’t vote but his supporters will

"Moreover, Romney might not be right on who will show up to vote in November. He lost to President Barack Obama in the 2012 election due to unexpectedly high turnout from young people and minorities...'

His number three reason why Trump is going to win is exactly how he lost,

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“And number three, I think the voters that are most animated in opposition to the president tend not to come out to vote ― and that’s young people and the minorities. They’re active in polls, but not necessarily active at actually getting out to the polls,” the senator said.

I hate the narrative that black people don't vote. Every election, on my way to work, I would drive by the polls in Detroit early in the morning and see long lines out the door of people voting. When I drove past on my way home, there would still be a long line of voters. When I got home to my suburban house, go to vote and never wait in any line. I haven't waited in line to vote since I moved out of Detroit. I always voted late in the day. I could see how many people voted by the number I was issued. I don't think I ever saw more than 1000 in my district which is a very small percentage for the district. When I vote in an off year election, sometimes not even a 100 people vote. My wife always votes around noon and she's never had to wait in line either.
 
Yes, exactly why he flips back to the hardline about Trump for the win, he basically wants to be the GOP front runner 2024 after the dust settles and if Trump is destroyed in the 2020 election but wants to dip his toe in the "fuck Trump I'm not like him" while doing so.

jmo

I'm not so sure. He has to know that he's done with the Republican base. Whether Trump loses or not, his base will still hate Romney. The GOP blew the dog whistle and now they've lost control of the dog. Trumpism isn't going away with a Trump loss, it's what they've always been. Romney may just be warning people they should vote.
 
Mitt Romney could have won the 2012 election...first term Obama was a compromise loving middle of the road politician that disappointed progressives (second term was definitely an improvement at least on the over compromising)....all Mitt had to do was be a little left leaning in his speeches and harp on populist themes just like Trump did....instead he doubled down on supporting the Tea Party....this move made more people come out and vote...Trump may indeed win come November....but Romney has extremely poor voting electorate instincts and his opinion is worthless

Didn't this clown ask somebody for a quick friendly ten thousand dollar bet or something?....this dude is completely out of touch
 
“And number three, I think the voters that are most animated in opposition to the president tend not to come out to vote ― and that’s young people and the minorities. They’re active in polls, but not necessarily active at actually getting out to the polls,” the senator said.

I hate the narrative that black people don't vote. Every election, on my way to work, I would drive by the polls in Detroit early in the morning and see long lines out the door of people voting. When I drove past on my way home, there would still be a long line of voters. When I got home to my suburban house, go to vote and never wait in any line. I haven't waited in line to vote since I moved out of Detroit. I always voted late in the day. I could see how many people voted by the number I was issued. I don't think I ever saw more than 1000 in my district which is a very small percentage for the district. When I vote in an off year election, sometimes not even a 100 people vote. My wife always votes around noon and she's never had to wait in line either.

this is anecdotal
Whenever white vote surged GOP wins
When their support goes down it goes to the democrats
Also it takes a 5% rise in black vote to counter a 1% rise in the white vote
You can say Romney and McCain lost because they depressed the white vote


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Blacks definitely vote more than Hispanics and Asians but some of that is because immigrants generally vote less. Most immigrants don’t understand the politics, it’s confusing and they can’t tell who is who and what is what when it comes to elections. Some are also more focused on their home country’s politics.
 
He is basically on target.

If Democrats don’t come out and vote on the level they did back in 2008, Trump will win.

The interesting thing about Trump with the election is he is more concerned about the Popular Vote than the Electoral College.

If he had won the Popular Vote and lost the Electoral College in 2016. He would have been happy as hell like a little kid on Christmas morning.

Trump sees the election like a High School election for School President. It’s all about popularity with him and his simple mind.

If this upcoming election he manages to win the Popular Vote and lose the Electoral College. His ignorant ass would be happy as shit, bitch and complain the election is rigged and ride off into the sunset claiming victory.
 
And he might be right. He has insight that I don't have...the extent of the secret Trump voter. Those muhfuckas who would never say it, but when they cast that anonymous ballot......they will vote for white.
 
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