Romney thinks T.rump will win reelection.
- Thread starter Lou_Kayge
- Start date
hate to say it but he will.
Here's Why Mitt Romney Thinks Donald Trump Will Win Reelection
Igor Bobic
6 hrs ago
Mitt Romney is one of Donald Trump’s biggest Republican critics on Capitol Hill. He’s the only GOP senator who voted to convict the president for abuse of power earlier this year, and he regularly calls Trump out on policy and personal conduct.
Yet the Utah lawmaker, who was his party’s presidential standard-bearer in 2012, believes Trump is likely to win reelection this November.
Asked why he foresees that outcome, especially with most public polls showing Trump trailing badly behind presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, Romney offered three reasons.
Sen. Mitt Romney thinks President Donald Trump is favored to win reelection.
“There are enormous advantages to being the incumbent, number one,” Romney told HuffPost on Thursday. “Number two, I think [Trump] will tack more towards the middle in his communication than he has so far.”
“And number three, I think the voters that are most animated in opposition to the president tend not to come out to vote ― and that’s young people and the minorities. They’re active in polls, but not necessarily active at actually getting out to the polls,” the senator said.
The futility of expecting Trump to somehow moderate his tone aside, Romney’s theory about the nature of the electorate and polling is an interesting one.
Current polling methods don’t accurately sample minority and young voters for a variety of reasons. Racial minorities for whom English is not their native language and young adults are often underrepresented in phone surveys, for example. Pollsters attempt to correct for those difficulties by applying sampling weights based on their assumptions about the ultimate makeup of the electorate. Partisans on both sides of the aisle have attempted to “unskew” unfavorable polls by tinkering with those assumptions.
Moreover, Romney might not be right on who will show up to vote in November. He lost to President Barack Obama in the 2012 election due to unexpectedly high turnout from young people and minorities. He later blamed his defeat on what he called “gifts” the Obama administration gave to key voter blocs, including African Americans, Hispanics and young women.
Romney’s loss came as a complete shock to the candidate and his campaign, who believed they were headed for victory on Election Day based on rosy internal polling. Romney’s confidence in victory was so great that he reportedly never even wrote a concession speech.
Neil Newhouse, his campaign pollster at the time, suggested that the voters who turned out in 2012 were overall much younger and less white than the campaign anticipated, especially across the Sun Belt states.
“The Colorado Latino vote was extraordinarily challenging,” Newhouse said in 2012. “As it was in Florida.”
In other words, don’t count out all those young and minority Americans fed up with Trump. But Biden has also shown an unusual strength among older voters ― a group that at least in modern history has tended to favor GOP presidential candidates. That could give him a path to the White House that doesn’t necessarily rely on a surge of young and minority voters.
Igor Bobic
6 hrs ago
Mitt Romney is one of Donald Trump’s biggest Republican critics on Capitol Hill. He’s the only GOP senator who voted to convict the president for abuse of power earlier this year, and he regularly calls Trump out on policy and personal conduct.
Yet the Utah lawmaker, who was his party’s presidential standard-bearer in 2012, believes Trump is likely to win reelection this November.
Asked why he foresees that outcome, especially with most public polls showing Trump trailing badly behind presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, Romney offered three reasons.
Sen. Mitt Romney thinks President Donald Trump is favored to win reelection.
“There are enormous advantages to being the incumbent, number one,” Romney told HuffPost on Thursday. “Number two, I think [Trump] will tack more towards the middle in his communication than he has so far.”
“And number three, I think the voters that are most animated in opposition to the president tend not to come out to vote ― and that’s young people and the minorities. They’re active in polls, but not necessarily active at actually getting out to the polls,” the senator said.
The futility of expecting Trump to somehow moderate his tone aside, Romney’s theory about the nature of the electorate and polling is an interesting one.
Current polling methods don’t accurately sample minority and young voters for a variety of reasons. Racial minorities for whom English is not their native language and young adults are often underrepresented in phone surveys, for example. Pollsters attempt to correct for those difficulties by applying sampling weights based on their assumptions about the ultimate makeup of the electorate. Partisans on both sides of the aisle have attempted to “unskew” unfavorable polls by tinkering with those assumptions.
Moreover, Romney might not be right on who will show up to vote in November. He lost to President Barack Obama in the 2012 election due to unexpectedly high turnout from young people and minorities. He later blamed his defeat on what he called “gifts” the Obama administration gave to key voter blocs, including African Americans, Hispanics and young women.
Romney’s loss came as a complete shock to the candidate and his campaign, who believed they were headed for victory on Election Day based on rosy internal polling. Romney’s confidence in victory was so great that he reportedly never even wrote a concession speech.
Neil Newhouse, his campaign pollster at the time, suggested that the voters who turned out in 2012 were overall much younger and less white than the campaign anticipated, especially across the Sun Belt states.
“The Colorado Latino vote was extraordinarily challenging,” Newhouse said in 2012. “As it was in Florida.”
In other words, don’t count out all those young and minority Americans fed up with Trump. But Biden has also shown an unusual strength among older voters ― a group that at least in modern history has tended to favor GOP presidential candidates. That could give him a path to the White House that doesn’t necessarily rely on a surge of young and minority voters.
Republicans also ran a 20 year campaign against Hillary. It's funny how many people bought the fiction against her and bought the fiction forTrump.
My 87 yo Dad just told me he heard that Biden is backpedaling from the idea of a woman or person of color as V.P. If it takes a 2 white man ticket to get the POS currently in the office out ,then so be it. The only guys that might create a buzz are Andrew Cuomo(he said he didn't wanna be President) or Bernie Sanders(too old). Maybe Schiff? Who knows?
Fuck Mitt and his opinion! 3 time loser, chiming in the last 100 days gtfoh, just trying to clean up his Republican image!
You are correct
This is why the looting and rioting coinciding with the peaceful protests and poor branding with terms like "Defund" the police irked me. The left plays checkers too much.
And no he didn’t back off from nothing
Good. Dad misheard things.
I firmly disagree. Trump ain't winning shit this year.
Think this MF is a madman now? He'd go full on dictator if he wins again.
Yeah. It’s over for this country if he wins again.
I am getting to the point that I don’t even care anymore. After all Trump has done and hasn’t done including the mishandling of this pandemic (which is a crime in itself) and the carelessness of his words to his impeachment. In a normal election cycle this muthfucka wouldn’t even think about seeking re-election, but because his Russian handlers are so powerful and got receipts of GOP members wrongdoings and “immoral behavior”, here we are.
I don’t have any children, so I am inclined to let white people burn this muthfucka down and laugh at them when they realize they have destroyed their own families and legacy following behind this orange muthfucka. Fuck’em. You want to walk around with the blinders of racism on your face, then so be it. I am tired of trying to get them to take them off. The main reason we have trouble in this country is because they haven’t dealt with the evilness of enslaving my people and benefiting off of slave labor. Then they turn around and reneg on our Forty Acres and a Mule! Fuck’em. Let them eat crow!
So let them re-elect that orange fucker and the cycle will be complete of dismantling this democracy and our constitution. I am tired of fighting for a country that treats me like a second class citizen.
Wait till they find out everything they own is tied to that document which is The Constitution of the United States. Without it they/we can say goodbye to our 401ks, any investments, pension, property, etc. But I am sure Trump & Co will rewrite a new constitution and let them peckerwoods keep their cherished 2nd amendment. Jack-asses.
I don’t have any children, so I am inclined to let white people burn this muthfucka down and laugh at them when they realize they have destroyed their own families and legacy following behind this orange muthfucka. Fuck’em. You want to walk around with the blinders of racism on your face, then so be it. I am tired of trying to get them to take them off. The main reason we have trouble in this country is because they haven’t dealt with the evilness of enslaving my people and benefiting off of slave labor. Then they turn around and reneg on our Forty Acres and a Mule! Fuck’em. Let them eat crow!
So let them re-elect that orange fucker and the cycle will be complete of dismantling this democracy and our constitution. I am tired of fighting for a country that treats me like a second class citizen.
Wait till they find out everything they own is tied to that document which is The Constitution of the United States. Without it they/we can say goodbye to our 401ks, any investments, pension, property, etc. But I am sure Trump & Co will rewrite a new constitution and let them peckerwoods keep their cherished 2nd amendment. Jack-asses.
Lets wait and see. Mitt Romney does not want to see Trump win, and may
be trying to stop Democrats from being complacent, as they were in 2016
4 million Covid+, 200,000+ dead by election day, Trump may try to pivot
to the middle, but the only work if Biden says nothing to remind people
who Trump …
It would have been a tough election for Trump without Covid, but now
the hatred of Trump has settled in the mind of people....
Who in America wants Trump to be the president during the next pandemic?
be trying to stop Democrats from being complacent, as they were in 2016
4 million Covid+, 200,000+ dead by election day, Trump may try to pivot
to the middle, but the only work if Biden says nothing to remind people
who Trump …
It would have been a tough election for Trump without Covid, but now
the hatred of Trump has settled in the mind of people....
Who in America wants Trump to be the president during the next pandemic?
Last edited:
I was thinking the same thing man, he really jumped the gun on that. I know America is ready for female leadership but that political class is a whole different ballgame on a world level. Dealing with these high power individuals who got the stroke to bomb a country in a second is a different level than some wokeness on CNN or MSNBC.
I think Covid-19 sealed Trump's fate, to be honest, I don't see how he can win with this going on, but I gotta admit which president has had to deal with this in a time like now? Not only that we've become so liberalized we can't even blame china without people getting mad and saying racism.
I kinda feel bad for dude, he's an angry rich white male that racist but deep down he's not a politician, just a rich guy playing one of TV. I know deep down he probably doesn't mind losing and going back to his regular life. I would say and still believe he's probably more classist than racist, he's about money first, race second, look how many white dudes he threw under the bus already? The man got no loyalty.
Threw Desantis under the bridge already and DeSantis rode for him for a while now.
Either way, Trump moved the needle for the GOP, good luck for any of them trying to run on the middle ground, if they aren't openly __________ it's a wrap for them. the John Kasich types or Jed Bush types are dead in the water IMO.
In my area Trump is flooding the airwaves with a ’Biden supports defund the police‘ ad with an old lady calling 9-1-1 after noticing someone trying to break into her house. No one answers at 9-1-1 and the intruder breaks in with a crowbar and assaults the old lady. The last image you see is the phone falling to the ground. Cac are eating this shit up.
Trump learned his ways from the Mafia. Look what he's doing by putting his people in place to protect him..DOJ Barr, - myself in the postoffice gotta deal with Dejoy new Postmaster general which donated 2 mill to trump thats how he got the job. And is FUCKING EVERYTHING UP BY PURPOSELY delaying the mail just intime of the Vote by mail..which Trump tried to abolished. But now he got his homie looking out for him. Trump is running the country like John Gotti. Trump is from Queens so you know secretly he idolized him
“And number three, I think the voters that are most animated in opposition to the president tend not to come out to vote ― and that’s young people and the minorities. They’re active in polls, but not necessarily active at actually getting out to the polls,” the senator said.
Prove him wrong. Not by voting but by making sure the people around you vote.
Ya'll better stop talking crazy..
Wasnt he taking part in BLM protests..?
It already is over thanks to COVID19..
Fixed
Shared sentiments.
Some of my local stations here in Phoenix showing that ad..reminds me of this commercial the Phoenix PD did back in the day where the camera(supposedly representing the POV of the intruder )enters the house from the backyard while scary violin music was playing,the last shot was of the living room where this lady w/ rollers in her hair was sitting on the couch watching television..suddenly the camera zoomed in on her face as she was like
Then the announcer: "LOCK-uhh..ALL YOUR DOORS AND WINDOWS."
That’s his opinion but I know what I see and a lot of other people see that’s tangible and a predictor of the election outcome.. Republicans haven’t won shit since 2018 when that blue wave swept in and that was a repudiation of trump, so Romney thinks that blue wave is all of a sudden going to disappear now? Amid a pandemic? Amid an economic collapse? Amid 40 million people being unemployed? All due to Trump’s incompetence? Romney really saying trump will be re-elected again?
Funny how Trump so shook of mail in voter ballots you want to know why? Because Russia did foresee that aspect so now it’s hard for them to cheat.
Funny how Trump so shook of mail in voter ballots you want to know why? Because Russia did foresee that aspect so now it’s hard for them to cheat.
Yeah, he will also lose because he's trying to select a BLACK woman as VP. I don't know what's wrong with the ASSHAT democrats. Do they even want to win? As much as I want to see a black VP, it's not the time to be playing these games. Go grab Beto O'Rourke for christ's sake and win this thing. Grabbing a black woman is giving these white people another chance to pass you by.
Wasnt he taking part in BLM protests..?
Yes, exactly why he flips back to the hardline about Trump for the win, he basically wants to be the GOP front runner 2024 after the dust settles and if Trump is destroyed in the 2020 election but wants to dip his toe in the "fuck Trump I'm not like him" while doing so.
jmo
Similar threads
