Nates been fucking up lately.Nate Silver’s 538 model is giving Donald Trump a heart-stopping 35 percent chance of winning as of this weekend.
He ratcheted the panic up to 11 on Friday with his latest forecast, tweeting out, “Trump is about 3 points behind Clinton ― and 3-point polling errors happen pretty often.”
He is admittedly NOT using pure mathematics...he's adjusting the model to fit his insticts...which is a departure from all past years where he was right.