Nate Silver: TRUMP now leads in 538's now-cast,estimate of what would happen in an election today
- Thread starter Spectrum
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@Day_Carver told you
The new in CNN/ORC Poll finds that Donald Trump earned a 6-point convention bounce and now leads Hillary Clinton 48% to 45%. When the third party candidates are included The Donald leads Hillary by five points:
The new in CNN/ORC Poll finds that Donald Trump earned a 6-point convention bounce and now leads Hillary Clinton 48% to 45%. When the third party candidates are included The Donald leads Hillary by five points:
- Donald Trump - 44%
- Hilary Clinton - 39%
- Gary Johnson - 95
- Jill Stein - 3%
this means he's going to continue to rant about black people, mexicans, and muslimsTrump's favorability rating is also rose -- 46% of registered voters say they have a positive view, up from 39% pre-convention. The Donald is now seen as honest and trustworthy by 43 percent, up from 38 percent. Hillary, on the other hand, is now seen as not trustworthy or honest by 68 percent -- her worst rating on that measure in CNN/ORC polling.
2nd for me...
Although she was a better choice overall, I never fully accepted the 2nd Aunt Vivian.
*two cents*
The DNC hasn't even started yet. Trump ain't winning but he is without a doubt the biggest troll of all time.
For many whites, the election of a Black president was the biggest mind fuck of their lives.
And the concept of Black empowerment, general racial equality, level playing field, etc., is a deep mind fuck for the white race.
And the concept of Black empowerment, general racial equality, level playing field, etc., is a deep mind fuck for the white race.
I wish I shared the optimism of people who believe there's no way he can win but I don't have that kind of faith in people.
This orange racist who can't complete a sentence to save his life and lies with ease and doesn't even make an attempt to cover it could very well be our next president.
So deep they don't realize that just the opposite has happened.
Just delusional stupid asses
Yeah, it's very real. A lot of CACs are embarrassed to admit they are voting for him. His support is definitely more than polls are showing
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect
I know. Who in the world wants Trump to have access to the nuclear arsenal? Hillary should run a commercial like LBJ did in the 60's.
Yes, he was expected to get a bump because of the convention; And Hillary should get a bump also; This happens all the time for both parties; but again trump is right there; If/when Hillary gets her bump as expected, I think we will get a better picture of what the election looks like...
this is a good article(below) and its agreeing to what you have been saying also...
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-is-trump-getting-a-convention-bump/
and this article,below, still has Clinton leading and thats with the bump that Trump received after the repub convention; I think once Clinton gets her bump, she will be on the right path
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
I am going to predict that Donald trump is going to win and I have never felt that way until today. Seriously, when I see how the media doesn't go after this guy I realized something that Rush Limbaugh once said, his ratings go up when a Dem is in office, he was huge during clinton, fell off during Bush and went back up during Obama. Now the mainstream media wants Trump to win because everyday would be ratings gold for them. Fuck that this country would be on the verge of collapse, as the old newspaper expression goes "if it bleeds, it leads."
The media is focusing on the new DNC emails which is despicable but what is not being focused on is the very transparent attempt by the Russian government to directly affect our election in favor of Donald Trump. Trumps Russian connection's are deep right up to his campaign manager Paul Manafort and Trump himself. Yet the non functioning media is more enamored by the minutiae of DNC party intrigue.
Whites especially poor whites are so resentful of the changing demographics that they will ignore that fact that this person is not only and idiot but dangerous and will vote against the country's interest just to stick it to the establishment and people of color.
Germany, before WWII, was a normal country suffering through hard economic times, but Hitler came along and said these hard times are caused by one group of people, Jews. he put a face to their problems , but he had an Other to blame for systemic economic problems (the entire world was going through the Depression). We are seeing this and the problem is that Trump solution's are unconstitutional and he just blows that off saying that the Constitution is not paramount to our safety. We should do whatever it takes to ensure our safety.
We are living in dangerous times and people are going to talk about NOT liking Hillary or the DNC screwed Bernie and we have an internet troll running for president that if with executive power and a mandate from white voters and control of both the House and Senate and appointing of very Right leaning Justice, will have NOTHING to stop him from enacting any laws that will ban Muslims, that will put in place Draconian measure against blacks and will NEVER investigate police departments.
For the first time in my life, I would seriously think about leaving this country is Donald Trump is elected and he had the House and Senate as Republican.
The media is focusing on the new DNC emails which is despicable but what is not being focused on is the very transparent attempt by the Russian government to directly affect our election in favor of Donald Trump. Trumps Russian connection's are deep right up to his campaign manager Paul Manafort and Trump himself. Yet the non functioning media is more enamored by the minutiae of DNC party intrigue.
Whites especially poor whites are so resentful of the changing demographics that they will ignore that fact that this person is not only and idiot but dangerous and will vote against the country's interest just to stick it to the establishment and people of color.
Germany, before WWII, was a normal country suffering through hard economic times, but Hitler came along and said these hard times are caused by one group of people, Jews. he put a face to their problems , but he had an Other to blame for systemic economic problems (the entire world was going through the Depression). We are seeing this and the problem is that Trump solution's are unconstitutional and he just blows that off saying that the Constitution is not paramount to our safety. We should do whatever it takes to ensure our safety.
We are living in dangerous times and people are going to talk about NOT liking Hillary or the DNC screwed Bernie and we have an internet troll running for president that if with executive power and a mandate from white voters and control of both the House and Senate and appointing of very Right leaning Justice, will have NOTHING to stop him from enacting any laws that will ban Muslims, that will put in place Draconian measure against blacks and will NEVER investigate police departments.
For the first time in my life, I would seriously think about leaving this country is Donald Trump is elected and he had the House and Senate as Republican.
I''m talking about Trump connecting with Independents. Independents are supposed to be the reasonable voters
No need to be scared brotha.. This shit hole of a country deserved everything they get
@Spectrum we quoting CNN polls now? Might as well say that's a Fox News poll
Wassup with them Nate silver tweets is he putting out a hypothetical if trump wins vs Hillary leading or is he saying trump is out right leading and will win?
He's saying based on the #s now. But it's pre Dem convention. Pretty much he's saying that the reality that it's even this close at this point should be scaring people.
I''m talking about Trump connecting with Independents. Independents are supposed to be the reasonable voters
Anyone who says their independent you automatically have to assume they are republicans.. Bush fucked up so bad that folk didn't even want to admit they were republicans and you saw a lot of them claiming independent..
That's all that shit is man...
We are really surrounded by idiots
I mean most of us already knew this but this shit right here might be the most blatant evidence ever
I mean most of us already knew this but this shit right here might be the most blatant evidence ever
his supporters don't give a fuck about any of that
Ronald Reagin MK II
Why be scared ? It's not like the majority of presidents have ever done anything but make our lives hard.
Let the crakkas be scared , they are the ones bout to get a wake up call.