Why experts are worried about an AI bubble in the stock market

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A growing chorus of voices is warning there could be an AI bubble, as companies with their fortunes closely tied to the technology see their valuations skyrocket.

High-profile figures, from OpenAI CEO Sam Altman to Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, have suggested in recent months that investors have become overexcited about AI, as companies bet big on the technology with multibillion-dollar investments.
This has been compounded by concerns about the increasingly circular nature of AI spending, as the likes of Nvidia, OpenAI and AMD announce new deals that seem to feed themselves.

“The question is — are we in an AI bubble?” said James Angel, an associate professor at Georgetown University’s McDonough School of Business. “You never really know until afterwards whether today’s prices were justified by the future cash flows of these companies or whether investors were overly exuberant.”

Since the advent of OpenAI’s ChatGPT in late 2022, AI has become a major draw for investors. Nvidia, once a relatively obscure company focused on producing chips for video games, has become the most valuable company in the world.

In July, the chipmaker became the first public company to surpass a market capitalization of $4 trillion, as its chips remain the lifeblood of the AI boom. It currently sits at a massive $4.5 trillion valuation.

Tech giants, including Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Google and Meta, have also seen expansive growth over the past three years as they seek to cash in on the AI craze, promising vast investments in the technology.

Other firms have also felt the power of investors’ excitement in AI. Oracle saw its stock surge 40 percent on a single day in September, after projecting massive revenue from several multibillion-dollar cloud computing contracts.


These huge gains have increasingly spurred concerns that stock prices are getting away from their underlying value, the dynamic that results in a bubble.

“When bubbles happen, smart people get overexcited about a kernel of truth,” OpenAI’s Altman told reporters in August, according to The Verge.

“Are we in a phase where investors as a whole are overexcited about AI? My opinion is yes,” he said. “Is AI the most important thing to happen in a very long time? My opinion is also yes.”


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The AI bubble is 17 times thesize of the dot-com frenzy and four times the subprime bubble, analyst says

Why this analyst says the AI bubble is 17 times bigger than the dot-com bust​

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Ten AI startups have gained nearly $1 trillion in market value over the past 12 months.

At this point, even the concept of an “AI bubble” seems to be a bubble. (In fact, Deutsche Bank analysts said last month that the “AI bubble” bubble has already burst.)

Perhaps some corners of the internet are bored of the bubble talk. That’s not making the market any less, um, bubbly.

Just this week, the Financial Times wrote that 10 AI startups — not a dollar in profit among them — have gained nearly $1 trillion in market value over the past 12 months. (That is, to use a technical term, bananas.)

Even as Wall Street analysts and tech media increasingly question the hype, drawing uneasy comparisons to the late 1990s, the AI industry’s response has been to shrug and watch their valuations tick higher and higher. The AI faithful believe the technology will disrupt (in a good way, hopefully!) virtually every aspect of modern life, from phone operating systems to pharmaceuticals to finance. And even if there is a bubble, proponents say, the dot-com bubble gave us companies like Amazon, and the internet became, well, the internet.

There are plenty of skeptics countering the AI hype machine, though few professional market analysts have done so as stridently as Julien Garran, a researcher and partner at the UK firm MacroStrategy Partnership.

Earlier this month, Garran published a report claiming that we are in “the biggest and most dangerous bubble the world has ever seen.” Garran concludes that there is a “misallocation of capital in the US” that makes the current frenzy 17 times bigger than the dot-com bubble and four times bigger than the 2008 real-estate bubble.

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I don't know about all of that stuff but I do know that I saw 2pac doing a whole bunch of shit in the past few days and what made me snap out of my mind playing tricks on me was when 2pac was with Martin Luther King Jr....hold up,hold up.This A.I shit is wild and people just might not be ready for all of that.

Asking ChatGP to simplify laws and charges and the motherfucker is doing it like he's an attorny ...crazy
 
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