Al Qaeda ramps up its propaganda

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<font size="5"><center>Al Qaeda ramps up its propaganda</font size>
<font size="4">The bin Laden video is the latest
of the group's 2007 media blitz: 63 messages, so far</center>
</font size>


By Dan Murphy and Jill Carroll
Staff writers
The Christian Science Monitor
July 16, 2007 edition

Jerusalem and Cairo - A new video from Al Qaeda's media arm, with previously unseen and undated footage of Osama bin Laden praising the group's "martyrs," underscores the extent to which the group's propaganda campaign has improved in both production quality and volume over the past year.

Experts on the group say that nothing in the video indicates the Al Qaeda is, or is not, planning a major strike on Western targets, despite comments from US Homeland Security chief Michael Chertoff last week saying that he has a "gut feeling" that Al Qaeda may stage a spectacular attack this summer.

But there is no question that Al Qaeda propaganda outlets have been working at a high rate over the past year, with frequent and timely broadcasts from the group's No. 2, the Egyptian doctor Ayman al-Zawahiri, who, like Mr. bin Laden, is believed to live in either Afghanistan or the tribal areas of neighboring Pakistan.

Al Sahab, the group's media wing, has released at least 63 audio and video messages so far this year, compared with 58 in 2006, according to the Associated Press. In many of those, Mr. Zawahiri has been able to respond to the news events within days, getting his group's perspective on radical Islamic sites websites.

Zawahiri has issued at least 10 messages since January on events such as the Hamas takeover of Gaza to the Pakistani mosque siege.

Some analysts say this new technological prowess by Al Qaeda indicates that its leadership has recaptured the reins and it is far from being cut off and on the run.

This assessment is bolstered by a report from the US intelligence establishment that Al Qaeda has been gaining strength in many areas. Last week, the AP reported a leak of a US intelligence summary titled "Al Qaeda better positioned to strike the West." That summary effectively declared that US operations against Al Qaeda since 9/11 have been a failure.

It says the organization has "regrouped to an extent not seen since 2001," that it has established effective havens in Pakistan for training and operational planning and that it has improved its ability to infiltrate operatives into Europe.

This newest video has attracted a fair degree of interest because of the footage of bin Laden. According to a translation by CNN, bin Laden asked in the video: "What is this status that the best of mankind wished for himself?" "He wished to be a martyr. He himself said: 'By Him in whose hands my life is! I would love to attack and be martyred.' "

But experts say there's nothing to date in his brief and vague comments incorporated there and that his contribution could be months, if not years, old.

"If you look at the video, a lot of it looks rehashed, looks like it's from the archive. There's nothing in the video so new and unusual," says Evan Kohlmann, an author who closely tracks the propaganda efforts of Al Qaeda and other jihadi groups. "I don't really understand what it is about this video [that's attracting attention] other than it's coming in a week when Michael Chertoff said he had a 'gut feeling' Al Qaeda will attack again." He said there have been other videos released in the past year with short clips of bin Laden taken from around the same period as the latest clip, which he suspects is pre-9/11.

Rita Katz, who runs the Search for International Terrorist Entities (SITE) institute, the world's most active tracker of jihadi propaganda, agrees that the latest video is no departure from the norm. "The phones have been ringing off the hook [but] there's nothing in this video. It's just another propaganda video. The video of bin Laden is old."

The only point of interest in the latest tape, from Ms. Katz's perspective, is its focus on "martyrs" from Afghanistan.

Al Qaeda's media arm has put out similarly slick montages of men who have died in Iraq and other locations in the past, but she said as far as she knows this is the first one focusing on Afghanistan.

The 40-minute video, dedicated to Muslims who have left their homes to fight jihad, included a series of animated scenes showing green fields overlaid with Arabic names written in gold, representing Arab fighters who had died in Afghanistan.

The Islamic hadith, or sayings attributed to the prophet Muhammad, make a number of references of praise for those who fight and die for God and Islam, promising them paradise.

Where the debate arises for Muslims is in the matter of what causes are merited, and whether the killing of civilians are allowed, whether the cause is just or not.

• Material from the Associated Press was used in this story.


http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0716/p01s03-wome.html
 
Analysis

<font size="5"><center>U.S. may be numb to terror
threats as real evil lurks</font size></center>


BY JAMES GORDON MEEK
DAILY NEWS WASHINGTON BUREAU
Sunday, July 15th 2007, 8:56 AM

To Americans who have grown skeptical of terrorism warnings, the professionals in the intelligence community say they understand. They also say this time, it could be for real.

That's because the level of worldwide jihadist activity this year appears disturbingly familiar to those who hunted Al Qaeda even before the 9/11 attacks.

"What you've been seeing has had a feeling, to me, a lot like the summer of 2001, where you've got a lot of things happening," a senior U.S. intelligence official said on Friday.

"It would not surprise me at all to see another terrorist event this summer in the United States," the official told the Daily News.

Yet many Americans have grown deeply distrustful of such doomsday scenarios which rarely materialize.

President Bush has seeded much of this confusion - as he did last week amid reports of Al Qaeda's rebirth - when he simultaneously called Osama Bin Laden a "serious threat" and boasted that the U.S. has hurt his ability to strike the homeland.

Add to that several recent arrests of homegrown terrorists in the U.S. hatching sketchy plots hyped by government officials as "the real deal" with "unimaginable" consequences, and the terror-fatigued public's skepticism may be near a peak.

"This society has been so misled it no longer trusts itself," said Karen Greenberg, director of New York University's Center on Law and Security.

Greenberg said Bush often "overestimates" the threat to the homeland, which makes the public think the government is crying wolf even when the threat is real.

"It's the perfect situation for Al Qaeda, isn't it?" said Michael Scheuer, who led the CIA's Bin Laden hunt in the 1990s.

Both experts agreed that the threat - particularly in Britain - has grown tremendously in the past year.

Like other terror hunters interviewed recently, a senior U.S. intelligence official with decades of experience agreed with Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff's recent "gut feeling" that America faces the highest risk of attack in years.

But it's not because any specific or credible plot has been intercepted or because Al Qaeda "chatter" is off the charts.

"It's kind of hard to put your finger on it," admitted the official, who asked not to be named. "It's coming from a lot of different directions, and then all of a sudden you see what happened in the U.K."

This month, Islamists tried to detonate firebombs there.

Is Bin Laden himself giving counterterror agents the jitters? The answer is yes - sort of.

"We have captured or killed numerous senior Al Qaeda operatives, but we also have seen that Al Qaeda's core elements are resilient," Thomas Fingar, the intelligence community's top analyst, told Congress last week. He said Al Qaeda still aims to kill Americans in great numbers.

Al Qaeda has long had a safe haven along the Afghan-Pakistan border. A leaked report last week said Al Qaeda is now the strongest it's been since 2001.

But a bigger threat than Bin Laden may come from "franchise" Islamic groups, who can sneak into the U.S. through Europe.

Bin Laden also may have urged these followers to act now.

"I've seen so much smoke out there that I feel there is some external pressure on all these splinter groups to do something," the senior intelligence official said.

jmeek@nydailynews.com

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/wn_..._may_be_numb_to_terror_threats_as_real-1.html
 
laden2_188390a.jpg

Images from the latest video released showing the al-Qaeda
leader Osama bin Laden were aired the week of July 9, 2007.
Bin Laden was last heard of in an audiotape posted on the
internet in July 2006.

Funny Thing
The picture on the left looks strangely like the pictures aired
in 2001/2002 which many felt were U.S. fakes and were not
Bin Laden. Now that Al Qaeda has issued the same pictures,
is it bin Laden ???


QueEx
 
QueEx said:
laden2_188390a.jpg

Images from the latest video released showing the al-Qaeda
leader Osama bin Laden were aired the week of July 9, 2007.
Bin Laden was last heard of in an audiotape posted on the
internet in July 2006.

Funny Thing
The picture on the left looks strangely like the pictures aired
in 2001/2002 which many felt were U.S. fakes and were not
Bin Laden. Now that Al Qaeda has issued the same pictures,
is it bin Laden ???


QueEx

good observation.... the man was in poor health well before 911. Its my understanding that under Islam, a death is supposed to be publicly announced followed by an immediate burial within 24 hours.

I've been speculating for quite some time that maybe they maintain his images merely for the "propoganda" value. If so, they are clearly in violation of Islam.
 
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