2020 Democratic National Convention- Biden accepts nomination, Obama's Gettysburg Address
- Thread starter Rembrandt Brown
- Start date
I thought he was a'ight.
Cory ain't lovin' her right.
Bitch almost said great and caught herself lmao
It was a truly shameful display. Where was I last night?
So neither you nor Franklin watched the convention? I thought you were all knowing and all seeing.
The nerve of this motherfucker, especially while he is backing the most Godless President in history.
Because he is a much better actor than they are.
Trump will probably try and personally have the rest of the debates called off after Biden clowns him in the first one...
Yep, I cant stand Rev. Bitch Ass Coon either!!!
I hope we see this BidenTrump will probably try and personally have the rest of the debates called off after Biden clowns him in the first one...
or this one
Every time they execute, the Biden team removes one more opportunity for Trump to make up ground. Now considering this isn't a traditional campaign season and we're post-dem convention, there are fewer opportunities to Biden to give the media something to dominate a cycle as he's not really going to be on the campaign trail (Biden's campaign just announced it). So Trump has the debates but I can't imagine him changing the trajectory there. He lost all 3 debates to Hillary and he's even worse now than then (cognitively).
So Trump needs a black swan event while we're in a black swan event (Covid). That seems unlikely. No one is going for the opening of an investigation shit that Comey did last time. So I think even Barr creating some type of orchestrated bullshit for Trump using the DOJ really won't work. I can't imagine the media falling for the same bullshit again and they don't have the same feelings Biden as they did for Hillary.
So that leaves Trump cornered. He KNOWS his base is shrinking and Biden is a superior candidate (that's why he was trying to conjure up something with Ukraine shit. Throw the pandemic and the economic collapse on top of it, he's cooked.
Considering his businesses and freedom are at stake and not just the political race, I expect Trump to go to any length in an attempt to steal this election. It's inevitable that he's going to try everything.
So Trump needs a black swan event while we're in a black swan event (Covid). That seems unlikely. No one is going for the opening of an investigation shit that Comey did last time. So I think even Barr creating some type of orchestrated bullshit for Trump using the DOJ really won't work. I can't imagine the media falling for the same bullshit again and they don't have the same feelings Biden as they did for Hillary.
So that leaves Trump cornered. He KNOWS his base is shrinking and Biden is a superior candidate (that's why he was trying to conjure up something with Ukraine shit. Throw the pandemic and the economic collapse on top of it, he's cooked.
Considering his businesses and freedom are at stake and not just the political race, I expect Trump to go to any length in an attempt to steal this election. It's inevitable that he's going to try everything.
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Biden (D) | Trump (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 8/6 - 8/18 | -- | -- | 49.8 | 42.2 | Biden +7.6 |
| Economist/YouGov | 8/16 - 8/18 | 1246 RV | 3.4 | 50 | 40 | Biden +10 |
| The Hill/HarrisX | 8/15 - 8/18 | 2840 RV | 1.8 | 46 | 38 | Biden +8 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 8/12 - 8/18 | 2500 LV | 2.0 | 48 | 44 | Biden +4 |
| The Hill/HarrisX | 8/11 - 8/14 | 2823 RV | 1.8 | 45 | 39 | Biden +6 |
| CNN | 8/12 - 8/15 | 987 RV | 4.0 | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden
Those +4s scare me. I know Rasmussen is not the most reputible but they aren't alone. The Hill, +6 above, also had a +4 last week. +4 is the margin of error in the CNN poll.
Hillary won the popular vote by 2.5% in 2016. In 2020, Trump and his allies are knocking on millions of doors per week, Biden is knocking on none. His allies aren't knocking on many.
Add to that the coronavirus vote dropoff without cheating. (People who would register in a normal year but won't this year, people not at the same address, regular problems with mail-in ballots.)
Then factor in the cheating.
Maybe I'm a pessimist but I feel like Trump is the favorite right now. Folks better snap out of relax mode.
No jinxing Biden!
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Biden (D) Trump (R) Spread RCP Average 8/6 - 8/18 -- -- 49.8 42.2 Biden +7.6 Economist/YouGov 8/16 - 8/18 1246 RV 3.4 50 40 Biden +10 The Hill/HarrisX 8/15 - 8/18 2840 RV 1.8 46 38 Biden +8 Rasmussen Reports 8/12 - 8/18 2500 LV 2.0 48 44 Biden +4 The Hill/HarrisX 8/11 - 8/14 2823 RV 1.8 45 39 Biden +6 CNN 8/12 - 8/15 987 RV 4.0 50 46 Biden +4 RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - General Election: Trump vs. Bidenwww.realclearpolitics.com
Those +4s scare me. I know Rasmussen is not the most reputible but they aren't alone. The Hill, +6 above, also had a +4 last week. +4 is the margin of error in the CNN poll.
Hillary won the popular vote by 2.5% in 2016. In 2020, Trump and his allies are knocking on millions of doors per week, Biden is knocking on none. His allies aren't knocking on many.
Add to that the coronavirus vote dropoff without cheating. (People who would register in a normal year but won't this year, people not at the same address, regular problems with mail-in ballots.)
Then factor in the cheating.
Maybe I'm a pessimist but I feel like Trump is the favorite right now. Folks better snap out of relax mode.
When you look at some of the state polling, it seems like +8 is way more likely than +4. For instance, you can't be down 2 points in Texas and only up 4 nationally. Texas hasn't changed that much. Same thing goes for Georgia and other places. Also, when you're polling at 50% or above, you have to lose support for the opponent to catch up.. unlike the race with Hillary where there were 15% undecided and she was never really getting over 44%.. so there aren't large swaths of undecided voters to break towards Trump late.
All the data (from midterms to now) suggest that we're going to see record-breaking turnout. I think this is going to be like Wisconsin... even the need to vote in person during a pandemic is not going to slow voters down.
I hear you though... even if it indeed is +8, it's still too close for comfort and whatever support Trump was going to lose, he's already lost it... so nothing that happens on his end is likely to hurt his support if 180,000 deaths and -38% gdp growth haven't
He still has a great chance at winning, but Trump is clearly the underdog at that point.
Last edited:
Daily Kos
Daily Kos is a progressive news site that fights for democracy by giving our audience information and resources to win elections and impact government. Our coverage is assiduously factual, ethical, and unapologetically liberal. We amplify what we think is important, with the proper context—not...
Similar threads
- Poll