I just went and watched the Ramona Shelburne report on this and she said “SHE doesn't think“ LeBron or Rich Paul asked the Lakers to draft Bronny and ”SHE thinks“ they did it on their own, then when asked if any other teams would have drafted Bronny said “SHE knows” the Warriors, Mavs and Suns were interested in him, so chick just said what she thought and the Internet put their spin on it
Age / upside: At ~23, Kuminga is still on an upward trajectory physically and skill-wise. Young wings often make the biggest year-to-year jumps in decision-making and shooting if coached and given usage.
Athletic finishing: He’s an elite athlete who can finish through contact and attack closeouts. When given freedom to hunt shots, his raw scoring ability rises quickly.
Switchable/versatile defender: He can guard multiple spots, which preserves some of the defensive flexibility a Giannis-led team needs.
Why he’s not a straight replacement for Giannis
Different body/skill profile: Giannis is a 6'11" interior force who creates off the dribble, initiates offense as a primary ball-handler, gets huge rebounding and rim pressure, and is a top-tier playmaker for his size. Kuminga is a smaller wing with less natural playmaking, lower rebound/ rim-dominance, and less interior finishing when defenses are set.
Playmaking limitations: Being #1 on the Bucks would require consistent creation for others (drawing help and kicking). Kuminga is still developing as a primary creator — expect more isolation scoring than Giannis-style paint play and playmaking.
Shooting consistency: His three-point and midrange consistency needs improvement to keep defenses honest when usage climbs. Without reliable spacing, his efficiency will drop when he takes on heavy volume.
Experience and decision making: Primary-option responsibilities expose decision-making weaknesses (turnovers, shot selection). Those usually improve with reps, but they’re a limiting factor early.
What to expect if he becomes the #1 option (realistic projection ranges)
(Assuming he is healthy, usage rises to ~27–32% and roster construction supports him)
Points: 20–25 PPG (volume scorer; could spike higher in hot streaks)
Rebounds: 5–8 RPG (not Giannis levels)
Assists: 3–5 APG (improvement possible, but not primary facilitator yet)
Shooting splits (approx.): TS% likely falls compared to when he’s a role player — maybe .540–.575 unless his 3PT% improves significantly. Expect FG% to remain decent (finishes at rim), 3PT in the mid-30s if he develops, otherwise low-30s with heavy volume.
Defense: Positive on perimeter switching, but you lose elite rim protection / defensive gravity Giannis supplies.
How the Bucks (or any team) should adapt/play to maximize him
Surround him with shooters and pick-and-roll/playmaking: Give him kick opportunities and driving lanes. He needs spacing more than isolation volume.
Limit primary ball-handling burden early: Use lineups where a veteran guard (or playmaker) still initiates; let Kuminga attack off reads and spot-ups rather than run the whole offense immediately.
Design finishing opportunities: Attack closeouts, early offense, and pick-and-roll to play to his athletic strengths — not solely isolation on the perimeter.
Strength & load management: Younger athletes with explosive games benefit from targeted strength work and careful load to limit soft-tissue injuries if his workload increases.
Playmaking development plan: Invest coaching reps on reads, pocket passes, and decision speed; even modest growth here multiplies team value.
Summary — practical verdict
Short term: He becomes a high-usage, good-efficiency wing scorer who can carry a team to competitiveness, produce 20–25 PPG, and be an above-average defender on the wing.
Long term / ceiling: He is not likely to replicate Giannis’ unique two-way, MVP-level combination (rim dominance + elite passing + elite rebound + defensive anchor) without significant and somewhat rare skill development (elite playmaking + consistent 3-point shooting). But because he’s young, the developmental upside keeps the possibility open that he becomes a true top-10 player if everything clicks.