if you went to a gun store recently, that's all the polling you need.
Biden's Lead Over Trump Diminishes in New National Poll
- Thread starter FLoss
- Start date
Let’s bet , if I’m wrong I’ll post Porn only for a month strait . If you’re wrong you will do the same.Truth you wanna make a bet?
An incumbent has never won re-election when he polled below 42%
Bet
Polls showed trump losing last time till he found some back woods people to rally him.
When trump signs a deal with the same Mexico he demonized and is now calling them great people it’s a eyebrow raiser
.
Quoted for future reference.
I actually hope I lose but we all know Trump ain’t going away.
Everytime he comes out from the basement lol.That's fucking impossible.
Fuck this thread....... YOUR SIG THOUGH...
Yeah ok. I take it you don’t like the results of the poll. Why don’t you stop being a sensitive little bitch and email the writer of the article.
Cac's went gun crazy from 2008-2016. Nothing got them going like Obama.
Yeah, right. BGOL is your creative outlet for coke induced rants at 3AM. BTW, "only porn" means only porn related commentary like "OMG" and "raw."
Exactly
Ah, so that explains why ruby red Texas turned into a toss up state.
I bet your name is Todd
why did trump want the borders in place?
To make money building them
I find that hard to believe based on @Mo-Better ’s allusion.
Good I don’t like these polls saying Biden has a 12-15 point lead makes people complacent thinking it’s safe not to vote
If he would just be quiet, stop tweeting and expressing every thoughts that comes to mind while watching TV, he probably wins
Trump is gonna give a damn good show by time elections.
Biden can only revert to adding a handicapped, veteran woman as VP, or better yet a Latino woman.
But I think it's gonna be Trump for the win.
Would have been awesome if they placed Maxine Waters on the roster... but that's asking way to much
Biden can only revert to adding a handicapped, veteran woman as VP, or better yet a Latino woman.
But I think it's gonna be Trump for the win.
Would have been awesome if they placed Maxine Waters on the roster... but that's asking way to much
Russians....
Biden’s Polling Lead Is Big — And Steady
The race between President Trump and Joe Biden is verging on a landslide. That’s not a word we use lightly. Over the past month, Biden’s lead over Trump has bee…
JUL. 9, 2020, AT 5:59 AM
Biden’s Polling Lead Is Big — And Steady
By Geoffrey Skelley
Filed under 2020 Election
The race between President Trump and Joe Biden is verging on a landslide. That’s not a word we use lightly.
Over the past month, Biden’s lead over Trump has been both incredibly stable and unusually large. Amidst Trump’s unpopular handling of the protests that followed the police killing of George Floyd, Biden’s lead has hovered within a tight band of 8.9 to 9.6 percentage points since mid-June, according to FiveThirtyEight’s national polling average.1
This is a sizable enough lead that Trump’s reelection chances are in a precarious position. Take what CNN analyst and FiveThirtyEight alum Harry Enten found earlier this month when he looked back at presidential elections where an incumbent was running since 1940. He calculated, on average, a 7-point difference between the final national popular vote margin and the polls conducted four months out. That might sound like a lot of movement — and it is — but the problem for Trump is even if the polls swung toward him by 7 points, he would still trail Biden by about 2 to 3 points nationally. The median difference Enten found, 4.5 points, would leave Trump in even worse shape.
[Related: Our 2020 National Polling Averages]
Of course, if the polls did swing 7 points in Trump’s favor, leaving him only 2 to 3 points behind Biden nationally, Trump could still win — after all, he won in 2016 despite losing the popular vote by about 2 points. But this isn’t an easy reelection path, particularly if Biden’s lead holds.
New national surveys mostly confirmed Biden’s sizable lead. This week, The Economist/YouGov found Biden up 9 points, 49 percent to 40 percent, and last week a survey from Research Co. found the same. Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research, a pollster Trump often cites in support of his presidency, this week found Biden up 10 points, 50 percent to 40 percent. But not every recent poll has been quite so bullish for Biden — a new poll from Reuters/Ipsos found Biden up 6 points, while a survey last week by Yahoo News/YouGov put him up by just 5 points, 45 percent to 40 percent. Plus, a survey from The Hill/HarrisX found Biden up by just 4 points.
[Related: How Popular Is President Donald Trump?]
Additionally, Trump got a few favorable polls in Florida and Pennsylvania. In surveys conducted just before the Fourth of July, Trafalgar Group found Trump tied with Biden in Florida and trailing Biden by just 5 points in Pennsylvania. That might not sound like particularly good news for Trump in Pennsylvania, but considering Biden’s average lead there is more than 7 points, anything that shows that lead waning is a win for Trump. However, the fact that Trafalgar is a Republican pollster with a slight bias toward the GOP isn’t great news for Trump, as in many ways these polls offer his best-case scenario, and that scenario still isn’t very good. It has Trump either barely breaking even (Florida) or still underwater (Pennsylvania).
Elsewhere, state-level polls didn’t offer Trump much of a silver lining. Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling found Biden up by 17 points in Colorado, which Trump lost by 5 points in 2016, and ahead by 11 points in Maine, which Trump lost by just 3 points last time. The pollster has a slight Democratic bias, but Biden’s lead in these polls are sizable enough to suggest that Trump will have a difficult time competing in these states.
[Related: Our Pollster Ratings]
In fact, although the battleground states skew slightly more Republican than the nation as a whole — as you can see in the table below — Biden continues to lead in nearly every one of them, including places like Georgia, which The Cook Political Report just moved into its “toss-up” category. If Biden won all the states that the election handicapper rates as solidly or slightly Democratic, it would now give him more than 270 electoral votes because of his advantage in these key states.
Fixed that for you...
1. 933 voters is a small sample.
2. "A margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points"-- That goes in either direction, so it could be off by up to 6.4%. THE HEADLINE IS WITHIN THE MARGIN OF ERROR!!! This is literally a nothing story-- less than nothing, as Biden may be up .4% over where he was previously according to this shitty poll.
By the time this Covid19 shit peaks with 2 or 3 thousand deaths a day... Trump will probably resign
Keep playing around with Biden for the win.
You may regret that in the worst way.
I think that if Trump wins, this Earth may be obliterated in the next couple of years. No one will survive another world war.
Yup, yup, especially with a virus out here.
Not at all. Biden's lead has actually improved over the last few weeks.
projects.economist.com
President—Forecasting the US 2020 elections
Our final pre-election forecast is that Joe Biden is very likely to beat Donald Trump in the electoral college
Well apparently Biden's lead hadn't dminished enough 
Trump giving the boot to his campaign manager.
Trump giving the boot to his campaign manager.
Well apparently Biden's lead hadn't dminished enough
Trump giving the boot to his campaign manager.
Some people on BGOL think Thanos/Trump is inevitable - this thread will either age badly or will be deleted once Trump not only loses but will lose at record levels not seen in a generation.
Well apparently Biden's lead hadn't dminished enough
Trump giving the boot to his campaign manager.
A sign that their internal polls are bad also.
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