What about the past 100 days leads you to believe Russia has a chance at
capturing Ukraine and who exactly is the PR audience for Russia given what has occurred over the last few months ? The highest recent estimate is that Russia may have 320K in Ukraine now. That isnt nearly enough troops and we can see the consequences in real time. They are in a far worse situation now 100+ days in then they were in the opening days of the conflict. These are the Russian positions on February 26th the same day it was reported that Zelensky refused to accept a US offer to be evacuated:
I think the tide of the conflict is pretty easy to read as one side is almost completely dependent on the West for military hardware at this point. In the same way nothing flowed to Kyiv in the opening days of the war, the fact that massive new shipments of equipment were announced today and yesterday should give insight into what everyone is seeing; Nobody in the West is going to back a loser.
As for Arakhamia, he is saying the same thing as everyone else regarding negotiations. Nobody from Ukraine is prepared to negotiate for anything but a restoration of the February 24th borders. Obviously, russia is not going to agree to that. Further, if Ukraine recaptures that territory ,what exactly is there to negotiate with Russia about?
Ukranian Defense minister Reznikov on all of this earlier today:
Ukrainian military forces will liberate the entire territory of the country from Russian invaders, including Crimea.
“We are going to liberate all our territories, all of it all, including Crimea. Crimea is a strategic objective for Ukraine because it's Ukrainian territory. But we will move step by step,” Defense Minister of Ukraine Oleksii Reznikov told CNN in an interview.
Reznikov said the first step would be stabilization of the situation on the ground to prevent further losses against Russian forces.
The second stage, he said, is to push Russian forces back to their positions before the invasion on February 24.
Only in the 3rd stage, the minister stressed, would there be discussions with Ukraine's partners on how to liberate territories, including Crimea.
When asked if attempting to recapture Crimea by military means would further provoke Russia – which considers Crimea to be part of the Russian Federation – Reznikov said that was not a consideration.
"It doesn't matter. Because they [Russians] will see that in Kherson, they will see it in Zaporizhzhia, they will also see it in Mariupol…. but these are Ukrainian lands, and Crimea is also Ukrainian land, no matter what," he said.
Ukrainian military forces will liberate the entire territory of the country from Russian invaders, including Crimea. — Ukrinform.
www.ukrinform.net
This is the meeting that occurred yesterday:
Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III urged nations to "not lose steam" in their efforts to supply Ukraine with the means to defend itself from the Russian invasion during the third meeting of the
www.defense.gov
All of the ultra nationalists telegram channels etc are really upset yesterday/today because they predicted what we have seen in terms of increases in shipment of arms and statements of support. This was just retweeted by Girkin:
The interesting thing about this is that we don't have to simply prognosticate. We can see in real time who is right/wrong just as we have the last few months.
) publishing this on state media unless...
